And another cool spring akin to 2019 and you could see a half-dozen major bankruptcies among the E&P folks (looking at you EQT, CHK)
First up, the expectations from FX Empire:
...The price action suggests that traders are expecting a lighter-than-average withdrawal. According to Natural Gas Intelligence, estimates have been pointing to a withdrawal in the upper 120s Bcf to lower 130s for this week’s EIA report.
Bloomberg is looking for a range of 122 Bcf to 134 Bcf, with a median pull of 129 Bcf. Reuters forecasts a median draw of 131 Bcf. The Wall Street Journal predicts a draw as low as 109 Bcf, but its average is 127 Bcf. Meanwhile, the Natural Gas Intelligence model predicts a 125 Bcf withdrawal.
In 2019, the EIA recorded a 228 Bcf withdrawal for the similar period, while the five-year average withdrawal is 143 Bcf....MOREAnd from the Energy Information Administration:
for week ending January 31, 2020 | Released: February 6, 2020 at 10:30 a.m.
... Working gas in storage was 2,609 Bcf as of Friday, January 31, 2020, according to EIA estimates. This represents a net decrease of 137 Bcf from the previous week. Stocks were 615 Bcf higher than last year at this time and 199 Bcf above the five-year average of 2,410 Bcf. At 2,609 Bcf, total working gas is within the five-year historical range.......MORE
Finally the price action on what, in days of yore, would have been considered a bullish report.
From the CME :
Up 2.4 cents at 1.885.
Meh.