Tuesday, June 23, 2026

"Fertilizer prices fall on slow demand, Chinese exports and Iran"

From Nikkei Asia, June 23: 

Industry figures divided on market's future direction 

BANGKOK/SHANGHAI -- Fertilizer prices have fallen sharply since the end of April, providing relief for farmers battered by spikes following the outbreak of the Iran War. However, some industry insiders have warned that the market could remain turbulent for months.

Urea is the most common nitrogen-based fertilizer, one of three key elements for plant growth, along with phosphorus and potassium. Most urea is produced using natural gas, and some 30% to 35% of global exports usually pass through the Strait of Hormuz, according to the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization. When the strait closed after the war started on Feb. 28, the spot free-on-board Middle East urea price per metric ton shot up from $492.50 per metric ton to $900 on April 23.

Farmers, particularly in many Asian countries, scaled back their use of fertilizer or held off planting out of fear they would only harvest financial losses due to increased prices for fertilizer, fuel and other inputs and warnings about the looming El Nino weather phenomenon.

But prices then started dropping, reaching prewar levels in the first week of June, before the ceasefire was announced.

Several factors are behind the downtrend, with lower demand, the result of the higher prices, and China's authorization of new exports in late May being the main catalysts, experts told Nikkei Asia. The announced Iran-U.S. ceasefire could provide further downward pressure on prices.

"The primary driver for the recent 'free fall' in the urea prices has been the lack of demand," said Pranshi Goyal, senior urea analyst at commodity consultancy CRU Group. "May is a seasonally slow month. Moreover, poor affordability has deferred stocking up decisions, and buyers [are sitting still] in the hope that a resolution in the Middle East is reached soon.

"In June, price declines have extended further with the return of China, a key exporter, which had restricted its exports since the beginning of the year."

The Chinese government has not publicly announced an easing of export curbs. However, Reuters reported in late May that it had issued fresh export quotas.

Analysts said the apparent move was in response to weaker domestic demand. As of June 10, domestic urea inventories had risen 7.6% from a week earlier to 959,400 tons, according to Chinese data provider OilChem. It attributed the increase to a temporary lull in agricultural fertilizer demand, weak industrial demand and stockpiling by producers expecting export restrictions to be relaxed....

 ...MUCH MORE

Nuclear: Canada Will Be Pitching It's Homegrown Candu Reactor (but also leaving open the choice of A Westinghouse Or A GEV/Hitachi) CCJ

Westinghouse is 49% - owned by one of the component companies of our hyperconcentrated electrical mini-portfolio, the world's #2 uranium miner, Cameco.

From the Globe and Mail, June 22:

Nuclear strategy raises questions about Canada’s predilection for Candu 

The federal government seeks to reinvigorate Canada’s homegrown Candu reactor and sell more units abroad, according to a strategy for nuclear energy unveiled Monday.

In the document, dubbed the Nuclear Energy Strategy, the government said Canada could capitalize on a surge of global interest in nuclear power by bolstering the domestic supply chain for the Candu reactor, the Canadian-made technology used to build and operate nuclear-generating stations in the country since the 1960s.

However, the government emphasized that provinces that pursue new nuclear plants – the strategy wants 10 new nuclear-generating stations built in the coming decades – will decide which reactor technologies they wish to build, and mentioned other reactor designs, including Westinghouse Electric’s AP1000 and GE Vernova Hitachi’s BWRX-300. 

Still, the Candu was singled out dozens of times in the strategy. The government said it would work to ensure its commercial viability and assess whether heavy water (a unique requirement for Candu reactors) should be produced domestically. And it set an export target of “at least four new international CANDU markets by 2040.”

Energy Minister Tim Hodgson said reactor safety requirements introduced since the 2011 accident at Japan’s Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station must be integrated into an updated Candu design, though other improvements have been introduced to Candus during mid-life overhauls.

“We will ensure Candu is a viable technology for the different provinces to choose from,” Mr. Hodgson said. 

The Candu was developed largely between the 1950s and the 1980s by Atomic Energy of Canada Limited, a Crown corporation. The government still owns the intellectual property, but AECL’s reactor division was sold to AtkinsRéalis Group Inc. (formerly SNC-Lavalin) in 2011....

....MUCH MORE 

Along with the sidebars, an excellent overview of what's what in Ottawa and points West.

The BWRX-300 is a mini-nuke:

May 2025 - Nuclear: "Canada to Build $15 Billion Modular Nuclear Plant, First in G-7" (GEV)
This puts the SMR wannabes on notice, they had better pick up the pace or bow out of the race....

 August 2025 - Poland's First Small Modular Reactor Will Be A GE Vernova-Hitachi BWRX-300 (GEV

"LVMH CEO Bernard Arnault Says He Uses A.I. Weekly to Design Products"

From Observer, June 18:

LVMH CEO Bernard Arnault says he uses A.I. weekly for product design as the luxury giant expands its tech push across brands. 

LVMH CEO Bernard Arnault built his luxury conglomerate on heritage brands and centuries-old notions of craftsmanship. But the 77-year-old mogul is now embracing A.I., like many of his peers. Speaking at this year’s VivaTech conference in Paris, Arnault said he personally experiments with A.I.-assisted product design on a regular basis. “Every week, we have a design session with A.I.,” he said during an onstage conversation with VivaTech co-founder Maurice Lévy yesterday (June 17). “With a young guy who is making the program work, and myself, and we design products. And then we make them a reality. And maybe one of them would be a big success.” 

The remarks offer a glimpse into how LVMH is engaging with A.I. as the luxury sector adjusts to softer demand following a pandemic-era boom. At VivaTech, LVMH unveiled DreamGallery, an immersive experience showcasing how A.I. is being applied across its value chain, from product creation to traceability and customer experience.

At Louis Vuitton, that includes a partnership with Comelz, an Italian leather-processing machinery specialist. The companies are developing a machine that creates a digital twin of leather hides, then uses A.I. to identify their characteristics and suggest optimal cutting patterns. Artisans can then validate or adjust the suggestions and “retain full control over the final decision,” the company said.

Louis Vuitton designers are also using A.I. tools to test colors, visualize materials and produce e-commerce assets, Soumia Hadjali, a senior digital and client development executive at the brand, said during an NRF event in January. At the same time, the company is drawing a clear boundary around the client relationship, keeping the technology out of direct interactions between client advisers and shoppers....

....MUCH MORE 

If one's tastes trend toward the luxe, we have quite a few posts on M. Arnault, including:

French Cryptocurrency Wallet Maker Valued At Over $1.5 Billion  

And: 

"France’s former intelligence chief accused of spying for Louis Vuitton billionaire"

We noticed he was taking delivery of truckloads of Ruinart. Your average spy has never heard of Ruinart and here he was quaffing it by the bucketload. Suspicious.

Capital Markets: "Stocks Slide, Tech Hit, Greenback Trades Higher but Market Turns more Cautious on Yen"

From Marc to Market:

The markets have weathered the US tariffs and war in the Middle East. A new disruption has emerged—unwinding tech investment--. The S&P and Nasdaq are poised gap lower and the South Korea’s Kospi dropped 10% today (and is still up nearly 95% for the year). The risk-off has pushed yields lower and the dollar higher. 

The euro has been sold to a new low for the year, slightly above $1.1400. The yen is the only G10 currency holding its own today as Japan’s finance minister has played up talks with US Treasury Secretary Bessent, who has been quiet about the exchange rate through the BOJ intervention in April and May. With the BOJ rate hike delivered this month (but not in April), we have suggested Japanese efforts may receive more support from the US (as was the case in January)....

....MUCH MORE  

"KOSPI's Historic 9.99% Single-Day Plunge"

From Korea's Chosun Daily, June 23:

Sell-side circuit breakers triggered as foreign investors net sell 4T won; individuals net buy 8.5T to limit losses 

The KOSPI, which had been soaring past the 9,000-point mark, plummeted nearly 10%, marking a "Black Tuesday."

According to the Korea Exchange on the 23rd, the KOSPI closed at 8,203.84, down 9.99% from the previous trading day—the largest single-day decline on record. The exchange activated the sell-side circuit breaker at 11:40 a.m. and the first-stage circuit breaker around 2:40 p.m. that day....

....MUCH MORE 

Small Nukes: "Here comes the next-generation reactor for Arctic floating plants"

From the Barents Observer, May 27:

The RITM-200S is a significantly upgraded next-generation small modular reactor designed for floating nuclear power plants. Installation work is now set to begin at a shipyard in St Petersburg. 

Rosatom on May 27 announced via Telegram that construction of the first reactor aimed for Russia's second-generation floating nuclear power plants has been completed. The reactor will now be sent by rail to the Baltisky Shipyard in St. Petersburg where it will be installed.

The Barents Observer has previously reported about the arrival of the first multistory barge-structure from China to the the yard earlier this spring. 

Each of the new floating nuclear power plants will be equipped with two RITM-200S reactors, a slightly modified version of the RITM-200 reactors Russia is using on its newest generation nuclear-powered icebreakers. 

While the icebreaker reactor model has a thermal capacity of about 175 MWth, the ones designed for power plant use have a capacity of about 198 MWth.

A total of four second-generation floating nuclear power plants - destined for Cape Nagloynyn on the northern coast of Chukotka in Siberia - will be built and delivered to the Arctic by 2031. 

According to Rosatom, the production plant in Podolsk has now delivered 13 RITM-200 reactors and one RITM-200S reactor. The state nuclear corporation added that 14 more are at various stages of production....

....MUCH MORE 

Possibly also of interest, January 2022 - "China Powers Up the World’s First Commercial Onshore Small Modular Nuclear Reactor"

Russia of course has the floating power plant anchored off Pevek 800km northwest of the Bering Strait, and in a pinch the nuclear icebreakers can supply a lot of juice. Additionally Kaz Minerals will be installing four modular nukes to power their giant Siberian copper mine, all links after the jump....

And a short diversion from May 2024 - "Small modular nuclear reactors get a reality check in new report" with this outro:

The Do-It-Yourself series had some ideas for our more energetic (so to speak) readers:

News You Can Use: "How to Build a Practical Household Bike Generator" 

Or, should one be more ambitious:

Say Goodbye To Big Tech Deplatforming/Cancellation/Censorship: Host Your Own Blog, Website, etc. 

News You Can Use: "'Collapse OS' Is an Open Source Operating System for the Post-Apocalypse"

Okay, Now That You Have Your Blog or Website Running On Your Own Undeplatformable Servers, It's Time To Consider Building Your Own Internet

Build Your Own Web 

Build Your Own Supercomputer (NVDA) 

Build Your Own Nuclear Power Plant 

 Surviving in Your Doomsday Bunker with Portable Nuclear Power to Spare

News You Can Use: "Aquatic refuges for surviving a global catastrophe"
Panic Rooms? Bunkers? New Zealand hidey-holes? Bond-villain island lairs?
Pish-posh.
What you want is a nuclear submarine....

News You Can Use: "How to Predict An Alien Invasion" (and how to rebuild the world from scratch)

Monday, June 22, 2026

"How to turn compute into a financial asset"

From The Economist, June 22:

Entrepreneurs, exchange operators and AI firms are creating tradable instruments backed by processing power 

IN 2014, AS cloud computing was taking off, a group of German technologists and financial-platform operators had an idea. They launched the Deutsche Börse Cloud Exchange, on which firms could buy and sell spare access to computing power.

The effort to turn processing power into a liquid asset did not scale well, according to Randolf Roth, its chief executive and veteran of the exchange business. Standardising central processing units (CPUs), the general-purpose chips that predominated at the time, proved too difficult and integrating different types of cloud capacity too expensive. Hopes that futures and options would follow in the wake of the original launch were dashed. The venture shut down in 2016.

But Mr Roth and his partners were early to an idea whose time really may have come. Businesses around the world spent $129bn on cloud services in the first quarter of the year, estimates Synergy, a research firm, more than would be spent in a year a decade ago. Immense investment in data centres is under way. America’s five cloud “hyperscale” giants are poised to spend around $700bn on capital expenditure this year.

The hottest part of the market is not for CPUs but for the graphics-processing units (GPUs) used to train and run AI models. Some companies now spend more on artificial intelligence, and by extension on processing power, than on wages for employees. “Compute”, once a piece of techno-jargon for digital oomph, has entered common parlance. Those who sell it want to turn their assets into cashflows. Those who buy it want to hedge against sharp movements in the prices of a costly, critical input. And middlemen are racing to create financial instruments to match the two groups.

Companies that own and operate data centres certainly want to wring more out of their hardware. Some “neocloud” firms, which focus on high-end GPUs for AI, have used the value of the chips as collateral for loans. In 2024 Macquarie, an Australian investment bank, helped organise a $500m loan to Lambda, a neocloud, with the loan backed by the borrower’s valuable chips from Nvidia, which furnishes most of the world’s AI silicon. The same bank approved another GPU-backed loan to Fluidstack, another neocloud, in April last year for an undisclosed amount.

Debt backed solely by GPUs remains rare, even for neoclouds with masses of chips. Some of what looks like GPU-backed lending is actually more pedestrian. CoreWeave, the largest neocloud, runs 49 data centres. Its compute-related power capacity is one gigawatt, around the same as a medium-sized nuclear reactor. Since 2023 the company has used chips as part of the collateral for a series of loans from alternative-asset managers such as Blackstone and Magnetar Capital. These are backed by chips but also guarantees from CoreWeave’s clients with multi-year contracts for cloud capacity.

The guarantees let lenders take comfort that CoreWeave can pay back its debts while sparing them from having to think too hard about how fast its GPUs will lose their value. This funding structure is also reassuringly familiar, even if the technology is not: it is common in toll roads and other old-economy infrastructure finance.

Although such instruments serve big compute sellers well, big buyers need something different. Locking in a price with a multi-year neocloud contract insures a buyer against compute getting more expensive but not against it getting much cheaper. So as large companies the world over spend ever more on compute, they want to be able to hedge against price volatility just as they insure against changes in energy tariffs, interest rates or foreign-exchange movements—ideally in deep and liquid derivatives markets.

https://www.economist.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=600,quality=100,format=auto/content-assets/images/20260627_EPC257.png 

Two startups want to help businesses do this, by turning nascent indices tracking compute costs into a futures market. Silicon Data, founded in 2024 and backed by DRW, a trading firm, has paired up with CME Group, which operates large derivatives exchanges. Ornn, created by recent graduates of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and run from a flat rather than an office just a few months ago, has paired up with Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, to do the same. Both aim to launch compute futures later this year, to be traded on their partner exchanges.

Each firm has its own indices tracking the hourly rental price of specific advanced chips such as the H100, Nvidia’s workhorse GPU....

....MUCH MORE 

Related:

September 2025 - Felix Salmon On Turning AI Compute Into A Tradable Commodity

And then we package it, throw a pretty wrapper around the package—perhaps a posh frock, create derivatives and hoo boy, there is money to be made!

Just kidding. While Collateralized Compute Obligations are almost alliterative, a major selling point, that's not where this story is going. Yet. 

February 21 -  "The financialisation of AI is just beginning"

June 9 -  "Big Banks Eye New AI Compute Trading Market" (plus using prediction markets)

"AI models capable of devastating attacks on governments and business months away, rare Five Eyes statement warns"

Trust no one, including the spy guys and gals. 

Signal agencies in Australia, the US, the UK, New Zealand and Canada sound alarm after Trump blocks foreign nationals from Anthropic’s Fable AI model 

Powerful AI models capable of devastating new cyber attacks on governments and businesses are mere months away, intelligence agencies for the Five Eyes have warned in a rare joint statement, urging leaders to “act now”.

The surprising public intervention by signals agencies for Australia, the US, the UK, New Zealand and Canada comes after the Trump administration earlier this month decided to block “foreign nationals” from using a much-hyped AI model built by tech company Anthropic, called Fable.

The statement, issued late on Monday night, Sydney time, said while AI “would help us improve cyber defence over time, it also accelerates the speed, scale, and sophistication of cyber threats”.

“Frontier AI models are anticipated to exceed current industry expectations, fundamentally transforming both offensive and defensive cyber capabilities. The timeline is not years, it is months,” the warning by Five Eyes agencies said.

“In this environment, cyber resilience is integral to advancing business continuity, market confidence, and long-term value.”

The cybersecurity agencies said the leaps in AI models showed the technology would lower barriers for bad actors and increase the speed and complexity of attacks.

“A whole-of-organisation and whole-of-society response is required,” the statement continued. The Five Eyes is an intelligence alliance set up between the five countries after the second world war.

“Cyber risk can no longer be treated as a purely technical issue. This is a core business risk and leadership responsibility.”

Generative AI models are powerful new tools capable of looking for vulnerabilities in cyber security systems, and they can help exploit those vulnerabilities as well as repair them.

“What’s different about the latest [AI models] ones is they’re very good at generating exploits,” Olivia Shen, an expert in national security and AI at the University of Sydney’s United States Studies Centre, said.

While no AI models or companies are mentioned in the Five Eyes statement by name, many around the world have their eyes on Anthropic’s advanced tier of tools.

One of the major tech company’s latest inventions is called Fable 5, a supposedly more community-friendly version of Mythos – a powerful AI model released earlier this year capable of detecting vulnerabilities in cyber systems that is only available to vetted organisations and companies because of concerns it could be exploited....

....MUCH MORE 

Here's hoping we won't have to use the old "The calls are coming from inside the house" movie trope.

Whenever I hear a spook talk, Brennan, Clapper, Dearlove, Steele, any of them, I am reminded of the John le Carré line:

“What do you think spies are: priests, saints, and martyrs? They’re a squalid procession of vain fools, traitors too, yes; pansies, sadists, and drunkards, people who play cowboys and Indians to brighten their rotten lives. Do you think they sit like monks in London balancing the rights and wrongs?”
— Alec Leamas, The Spy Who Came In From The Cold, 1963
They lie for a living. They're professional liars, the very nature of their business is lies and trafficking in lies.
[note: le Carré worked for both MI5 and MI6, he knew these people]

Possibly also of interest:

May 18 - "UN leads call to prepare ‘for when digital systems fail’

I see headlines like that and wonder if they know something that I should know.
And then I think "Nah, it's probably nothing."...
***
With the outro:

If interested see also "The WEF - Carnegie Endowment Cyber Threats Report" wherein the suggestion is made that the thing to do in anticipation of cyberattacks is merge the major banks, their regulators, and law enforcement into one entity.

And related:

Memory: "Micron Earnings Seen Rising 987% Amid AI Megatrend" (MU)

From Investor's Business Daily, June 22:

Wall Street analysts expect memory-chip maker Micron Technology (MU) to post blowout results for its fiscal third quarter late Wednesday. Micron stock is trading in record high territory as the company benefits from insatiable demand from AI data centers.

Analysts expect the Boise, Idaho-based company to earn an adjusted $20.76 a share on sales of $35.75 billion, according to FactSet. That would translate to year-over-year growth of 987% in earnings and 284% in revenue. Micron is on pace to post its sixth consecutive quarter of triple-digit percentage gains in earnings. Analysts see such gains continuing for three more quarters.

For the current quarter, Micron's fiscal Q4, Wall Street is modeling earnings of $25.39 a share, up 738%, on sales of $43.14 billion, up 281%.

On Monday, Needham analyst Quinn Bolton reiterated his buy rating on Micron stock and raised his price target to 1,550 from 500.

On the stock market today, Micron stock climbed 6.8% to close at 1,211.38. In intraday trading Monday, it hit a regular-session all-time high of 1,213.56.

"We believe the memory market has continued to strengthen over the past 90 days and see market fundamentals remaining stronger for longer as a result of continued strong demand, a robust pricing environment, and limited capacity additions," Bolton said in a client note....

....MUCH MORE 

"A viral doomsday scenario aims to shake Europe out of its AI complacency"

As we've said, in this race being eighteen months behind doesn't just mean you're eighteen months behind. It means you are behind forever.

From The Guardian, June 20:

Does a thought-experiment about US ascendancy in the technology say as much about AI jitters as it does about the reality? 

It’s 2031 and the US and China are about to tear Europe into pieces.

The US ploughed vast sums into datacentres and the EU did not. China built robots and Europe did not. American companies “restructured” their workflows around AI and fired people, while EU workers went on long lunch breaks and handed over administrative tasks to the AI model Claude.

Now the chickens are coming home to roost. Europe’s economy is a shambles because it does not have its own AI. Populism is surging, the euro is wobbling, cyber-attacks are shredding EU businesses. Brexit seemed like a good idea. It looks like the end of the European Union.

That, at least, is the vision of a speculative thought experiment, called Europe 2031, penned by Brussels-based thinktankers and published fortuitously one day before the Trump administration decided to block “foreign nationals” from using a much-hyped AI model built by Anthropic, called Fable.

In the heady week of G7 talks that followed, the scenario has gone viral – feeding a feverish discussion of the urgency for EU tech sovereignty. It has been read by members of the European parliament and, say its authors, was brought up in track 1.5 discussions between British and German officials earlier this week.

Its authors say they feel “vindicated”, by the attention it has received and by the fact that one of their predictions – that the US would restrict global access to advanced AI models – appears to have briefly come true. They hope the scenario will spur Europe towards a dramatic course-correction on AI.

The piece is part of a burgeoning genre of fictional AI doomsday scenarios, created by obscure figures, which have gained surprising traction among policymakers over the past year. In 2025 there was AI 2027, a thought experiment which culminates in a superintelligent AI killing all of humanity to make way for more datacentres; in February, another speculative scenario imagined AI upending the US economy. (The first was read by US vice-president JD Vance, the second contributed to a stock market wobble.)

One complication of all this might be that their thought experiment is at times based on current developments in AI whose outcome is uncertain or in doubt.

Maximilian Negele contributed to Europe 2031, he says, because of the “incredible translation barrier” between Brussels and San Francisco, where AI is being developed. Formerly at US thinktank Rand, he left his job this year to focus on the project.

“As somebody who travels to San Francisco quite a bit and talks to people there, what is happening in Europe just seemed like a slow-moving car crash to me,” he says.

The scenario unfolds from the perspective of a fictional bright-eyed Brussels staffer, Caroline Dubois, who has a German friend, Christian Vogt, with a startup in San Francisco. On a visit, she’s impressed by America’s “70 or 80-hour” working weeks and discomfited by the conviction among tech bros that everything is about to change....

....MUCH MORE 

Capital Markets: "Sterling Proves Resilient as Starmer says Good Bye"

 From Marc Chandler at Bannockburn Global Forex:

Conflicting news from the Middle East initially lifted oil prices and weighed om risk-taking appetites, but US-Iran negotiations continue and both sides report progress. Oil prices have come back off. The dollar is mostly firmer but so far has held above last week’s lows against the euro and sterling. The yen snapped a five-day slide ahead of the weekend but is softer today, and the greenback is knocking against the recent high (~JPY161.80). The Canadian dollar is extending is slide into the eighth consecutive session. 

Given the light economic diary today, politics are in the spotlight. The UK’s sixth prime minister since Brexit a decade ago has resigned and will oversee the selection process of his successor. Sterling was initially sold but has come back to record near session highs late in the European morning. US-China tensions have taken a turn for the worse. Apparently in response to the US decision this month to add some of China’s largest companies to a list of companies that aid the military, Beijing has sanctioned two US rare earth companies. It maybe mostly symbolic as the two companies reported have reported largely cut off inputs from China....

....MUCH MORE 

Sunday, June 21, 2026

"Secretive Wall Street powerhouse Jane Street seizes the AI spotlight"

From the Wall Street Journal via MSN, June 19: 

Mystery has long shrouded Jane Street, the Wall Street trading giant. Its traders rely on proprietary algorithms, making it hard to understand how the firm generates all its profits. It’s privately owned and only trades with its own money, so its moves are difficult to track. It’s also an unusually flat organization, with no one leader at its helm to speak on business television or serve as its public face. 

The firm’s location adds to its enigma. Jane Street occupies a nondescript office building in Brookfield Place across from the World Trade Center, rather than the Greenwich Village street it randomly picked for its name.

Now, as the firm pushes to become an artificial-intelligence powerhouse, it’s edging into the spotlight.

Jane Street has surged in size from a handful of staffers when it was founded 26 years ago to 3,500 employees, and it wants to get much bigger, with plans to recruit more than 500 employees this year. To become a major AI investor and supercharge its trading with the technology, it needs to catch the attention of AI startups and talent.

Jane Street executives say they never set out to build a secretive firm. Rather, many of them are engineers, mathematicians and others who are naturally uncomfortable in the public eye.

“We are culturally insular,” said John Daniel Case, a Jane Street trader who works on AI investments, during a rare interview at the firm’s headquarters. “But we’re expanding to businesses that are more public-facing.”

The firm’s culture is on display across its 40,000-square-foot trading floor, where young staffers—mostly male—sit at their desks in T-shirts, some in shorts and flip flops. Throughout the day, the lighting changes color to match the circadian rhythms of its traders: amber in the morning, blue-white at midday and an amber glow late in the day. 

During breaks, employees play videogames or poker, a nod to geeky math culture the firm has embraced. Among the few well-known details about Jane Street: the famously complicated puzzles and problems it gives job candidates.

Staying out of the spotlight has gotten a lot harder as Jane Street has grown, with its profits now topping those of Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, helped in part by gains from investments in Anthropic and other private companies. Its activities are increasingly drawing scrutiny, too, including accusations of market manipulation.

Jane Street is leaning in to its wonky image to attract new recruits, portraying itself as more akin to a college math department than a hedge fund.

In a recent ad on the Dwarkesh Podcast, an influential tech show, host Dwarkesh Patel said Jane Street offered employees courses and lectures, and that its apprenticeship model produces “some of the most competent researchers and engineers in the world.”

“If you’d like to work for a place like this, Jane Street is hiring,” Patel said.

The firm also wants to get the word out about its AI investments and deals for computing power, eager to let AI companies know that it’s eager to make new investments—and wants to be a partner for their businesses.

The shift is catching some by surprise. In April, Jane Street cut a deal to invest $1 billion in AI computing company CoreWeave and spend $6 billion to use its AI cloud platform. After inking the transaction, the firm asked CoreWeave to publicize the deal in a press release.

“We said, ‘Wait, what?’ ” says Brannin McBee, a CoreWeave co-founder who was familiar with Jane Street’s penchant for secrecy. He said it was a smart way to signal to job candidates that the firm would have ample computing power for their AI work

Like many quant firms, Jane Street has long relied on machine learning, a form of artificial intelligence, to build the trading models that dictate its moves. But it accelerated its focus on AI after the release of ChatGPT in late 2022, which set off the AI revolution.

Jane Street now has a portfolio of private companies worth $20 billion. That figure includes a stake in Anthropic that was purchased in 2024 from the estate of FTX. The bankrupt crypto exchange’s founder, Sam Bankman-Fried, is one of Jane Street’s most famous alums and worked at the firm from 2014 to 2017, roaming the office in a hoodie and no shoes....

....MUCH MORE 

"The Tight Family Trust That Reigns Over The New York Times"

The writer doesn't much care for dual-class/super-voting shares. He's not alone.

From Richard Pollock's The World in Crisis substack, May 19: 

How a Family Trust Insulates The Times From Public Accountability 

A great deal already has been written about the dishonest Nicholas Kristof New York Times column which alleges Israeli atrocities against Palestinian prisoners.

But behind this latest case of deceitful Times coverage is the fact that from its inception, the ownership of the company has been controlled by a family trust, deliberately designed to be insulated from any public accountability.

The dirty little secret is that the “New York Times Company” has two classes of stock: Class A and Class B.

Class B was created in the 19th century by founder Adolph Ochs-Sulzberger. Class B shares are solely controlled by an iron-clad family trust. This structure was intentionally designed to protect the Ochs-Sulzberger family power as it published the paper as it saw fit, and eliminated any potential interference from its public stockholders, known as Class A.

If you go to AI, it observes, “The Ochs-Sulzberger trust is a powerful family trust that controls the majority of the Class B voting stock of The New York Times Company. Established to maintain independent, family-led stewardship, it effectively prevents hostile takeovers and keeps editorial and corporate control in the hands of the descendants of Adolph S. Ochs.”

AI adds, “It ensures that power and financial stakes are passed down to the succeeding generations of the Ochs-Sulzberger clan.”

Presently, 70% of the Times board is chosen by the family. Thirty percent of the board is decided by stockholders.

The author Susan E. Tifft and Alex S. Jones exposed this primitive form of family control in their scathing,1999 book on the Sulzberger empire titled, The Trust: The Private and Powerful Family Behind the New York Times.

They wrote, The New York Times is uniquely insulated when it comes to its own newsroom. This structure was intentionally designed by the founding Ochs-Sulzberger family to protect the newsroom from corporate takeovers or activist investors.”

Tifft and Jones were given full access to the Sulzberger family and to the Times archives.

They describe many of the Times’ most fatal reporting errors.

According to Christopher Ogden in a New York Times book review of the Tifft-Jones book, during World War I the paper demurred on unconditional German surrender. “Ochs’ failure to press editorially for an unconditional German surrender…prompted criticism that the paper was treasonous.”

Later, during World War II, the Times continually downplayed the consequences of the Holocaust on the Jews. And when the Times.published a front-page story on the liberation of the Nazi concentration camp of Dachau, it never mentioned the word Jew, according to Tifft-Jones.

Adolph Ochs, the founder, ”toiled to ensure that The Times never earned the moniker ‘too Jewish,’ according to Anna Baldwin in a review of the Tifft-Jones book.

“Ochs assiduously declined to promote Jewish editors,” according to Baldwin.

After Adolph, Arthur Hays Sulzberger led the paper from 1935 to 1961. He was a reform Jew. Sulzberger was an enthusiastic supporter of the American Council for Judaism, founded in June 1942 to oppose Zionism. It was Hays who ignored the Holocaust and the plight of the Jews.

In a 2001 article for the Times, former Executive Editor Max Frankel wrote that Arthur Hays Sulzberger downplayed the Holocaust. The editorial page “was cool to all measures that might have singled [Jews] out for rescue or even special attention.”

Here is the line of descendants:

Arthur Gregg (A.G) Sulzberger is the current Chairman of the New York Times Company. He is the fifth-generation descendant of the Ochs-Sulzberger clan to serve as chairman.

Arthur Ochs Sulzberger, Jr., (known as Punch, Jr.), A.G.’s father, was publisher of the company from 1992 to 2017. He was chairman from 1997 to 2020. He currently is Chairman Emeritus. Punch, Jr. reportedly was raised in his mother’s Episcopalian faith and later stopped practicing religion, according to the Times of Israel.

Punch, Jr.’s grandfather, Arthur Ochs Sulzberger, Sr. (known as “Punch, Sr.) was publisher of the Times from 1963 to 1992. When Punch Sr. stepped aside as chairman, he was “ceding the crown of the multibillion-dollar public company to his son, Arthur Sulzberger Jr., in an exercise of divine right that Arthur of Camelot would have appreciated,” according to Christopher Ogden in his review of the Tifft-Jones book for the New York Times.

Gabriel Sherman, wrote in New York Magazine as the 2015 succession fight emerged among three family members. He then counted six family members in top positions at the Times: “A total of six fifth-generation cousins currently hold positions at the Times.”....

....MUCH MORE 

We've looked at the issue from a few different angles.

In 2011 "Mispricing of Dual-Class Shares: Profit Opportunities, Arbitrage, and Trading". 

In the 20-teens we saw "Zeitgeist: "Zuckerberg’s control over Facebook ‘akin to a dictatorship,’ says California pension fund" (FB)". 

And "Why Uber Won’t Fire Its CEO

In 2009 it was "The Berkshire Hathaway Arbitrage (BRK.A: BRK.B)

A good overview was "Perpetual Dual-Class Stock: The Case Against Corporate Royalty"
The author is a commissioner on the SEC and a recovering academic.
(enough footnotes to make Matt Levine envious)
Another: "The Untenable Case for Perpetual Dual-Class Stock"
From The Harvard Law School Forum on Corporate Governance and Financial Regulation: 
 
So it goes. 
(no word on Vonnegut's thinking re: super-voting shares) 

And nota bene: if you think you've found an arbitrage rather than a pair trade, check whether "A" is good delivery for "B" and vice-versa, if you prefer your vice-versa.

Our out-the-door flashback from 2017:

Zuckerberg says he has no plans to run for president: report (FB)
Mr. Zuckerberg still has to resolve the shareholder lawsuit on his "Ya got it, ya sell it, ya still got it"*  controlling shareholder plan, now, after discovery, with more Andreessen.

Then he's going on his 50-state "meeting people in small towns-2017 tour".
Then he has to talk with President Obama's campaign wizard David Plouffe about whether David is happy in his brand-new perch at the Chan-Zuckerberg Initiative.

Then he...
Hell who knows, 2020 seems a long way off and right around the corner at the same time....

*I think the "...Got it, sell it, still got it" formulation is the punchline to "Why do Goldman bond salesmen envy hookers" or something, now used as voting control strategy in the Valley, see for example GOOG-GOOGL-GOOGLIEST (class B for Larry and Sergei with 10x votes). 

Strait of Hormuz: "Iran Waived the Toll and Built the Tollbooth"

Saudi Arabia is not-at-all pleased with the current and prospective state of affairs regarding the Persian Gulf.

From House of Saud, June 20:

Iran's post-waiver "insurance fee" invokes UNCLOS Art.26(2) — the only legal basis for charging vessels in its territorial sea. Saudi exposure: $2B/year.

LONDON — Iran charged nothing for the first sixty days of Hormuz corridor transit, and eighteen of twenty vessels used the route on Day One — which was the point. The “insurance fee” Tehran plans to impose when the free window closes around mid-August is not a toll in softer language but a precise legal construction: an invocation of UNCLOS Article 26(2), the only provision in international maritime law that permits a coastal state to charge vessels during innocent passage, applied to a 5-nautical-mile corridor that Iran designed to ensure innocent passage — rather than the unchargeable transit passage regime through international waters — is the only available option.

The distinction is geographic before it is legal. The standard Hormuz Traffic Separation Scheme runs through international waters under UNCLOS Article 38, where fees are categorically prohibited — Article 44 bars strait states from “hampering” transit, and tolls are conspicuously absent from the permissible regulations in Article 42. Iran’s Larak-Qeshm corridor routes vessels inside its 12-nautical-mile territorial sea, switching the governing legal regime from transit passage to innocent passage, which carries a narrow exception for charges linked to “specific services rendered.” The entire architecture of the post-waiver fee rests on that five-nautical-mile shift, and Saudi Arabia — facing approximately $5.5 million per day in exposure at full throughput — has the least political room of any Gulf state to challenge it, because a formal challenge would grant the corridor the legal standing it currently lacks.

Table of Contents

  • Five Nautical Miles Inside Iran’s Territorial Sea
  • What Does UNCLOS Article 26 Actually Permit?
  • The Insurance Label and the Article 26 Fit
  • Why Can No Court or Institution Block This?
  • How Did Ninety Percent of Vessels Comply Before a Fee Was Charged?
  • The Treaty Iran Cites but Never Ratified
  • Can Saudi Arabia Challenge the Fee Without Legitimizing the Corridor?
  • What Iran Built While the Fee Was Free
  • Frequently Asked Questions

Five Nautical Miles Inside Iran’s Territorial Sea

The Strait of Hormuz has operated under the UNCLOS transit passage regime — Article 38 — since the convention codified the rules for international straits in 1982. Under transit passage, ships and aircraft enjoy the right of continuous, expeditious movement through straits used for international navigation, and Article 44 places an explicit obligation on bordering states: they “shall not hamper transit passage.” Article 42 lists the regulations that strait states may lawfully impose — safety of navigation, pollution prevention, customs enforcement at loading and unloading points — and the omission of fees from that list, as the Dubai-based maritime law firm Hadef Partners noted in their May 2026 analysis via Lexology, “is deliberate.”....

....MUCH MORE 

One possible solution that I have not seen discussed anywhere else, is to demand the toll be payable in TrumpCoin and only TrumpCoin.

And then, prior to the toll being imposed do an airdrop (distribution) of TrumpCoin to the Arab shippers.

Also at House of Saud and reflecting the Saudi zeitgeist:

Kuwait Ships First — at Saudi Arabia’s Cost 

Qatar PM Arrives for Iran Nuclear Talks That Exclude Saudi Arabia 

Saturday, June 20, 2026

The Fault(s) Dear Brutus: "California’s tectonic systems at highest levels of stress in 1,000 years – study"

From The Guardian, June 16:

San Andreas and San Jacinto fault systems in ‘critically loaded state’, increasing chance of ‘big one’ quake in future 

Southern California’s San Andreas and San Jacinto fault systems are at their highest levels of tectonic stress in 1,000 years in what scientists describe as a “critically loaded state”, according to a study published earlier this month.

“Our results show that stress levels on multiple fault segments are now at or above the highest values seen in the past millennium and that the region may be capable of a large through-going rupture involving both fault systems,” Liliane Burkhard, the lead author of the study published in the Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, said in a statement.

Cajon Pass, which sits at the junction of the faults, could play a key role, acting as an “earthquake gate” that can block large ruptures from traveling between the faults or involve both systems in one event, according to the research. It has been more than a century since the last major event, and stress “has continued to accumulate and is now at unprecedented levels”, which has increased the chances of a large quake in the future.

“The conditions that determine whether the ‘earthquake gate’ at Cajon Pass opens or stays closed appear to be related to how closely the stress levels on the two fault systems are aligned with each other at the time of rupture,” said Burkhard.

“Right now, with stress at historically high levels across the region and more than 160 years elapsed since the last major rupture, the system is in a critically loaded state.”....

....MORE 

Fluid Dynamics: A Glorious Day For Canada And Therefore The World

Although the research wasn't performed in Canada you know the keepers of the global strategic maple syrup reserve were watching with intense interest.

From Nautil.us, March 6, 2026:

Physicists Uncover How Long It Takes to Get the Last Drop of Syrup
How to tackle a common kitchen problem with fluid dynamics 

No one likes to waste food, not even the stubborn remnants of ketchup at the bottom of the bottle. So what do you do? Turn it upside down, obviously. Unfortunately, this tried-and-true method can take quite a bit of time. Now, new research published in Physics of Fluids can tell you just how long the wait will be.

Physicists Thomas Dutta and Jay Tang of Brown University were motivated to tackle this culinary conundrum based on their own experiences in the kitchen. Tang wanted to know the best way to empty water from a cast iron wok, while Dutta was inspired by his grandmother’s routine of getting the last drop of liquid from every condiment jar.  

“In both cases, the relevant physics involves the flow of thin layers of fluid on a surface,” Dutta said in a statement. “This physics is everywhere in our regular research as well, so we decided that this would be a nice training exercise.”

Their regular research, investigating how colonies of bacteria spread on moist surfaces, involves the work of another team-up: Claude-Louis Navier and Sir George Gabriel Stokes. Developed in the 19th century, their Navier-Stokes equations describe the movements of viscous liquids and were instrumental in their most recent research....

....MUCH MORE 

We have quite a few posts on turbulence and fluid dynamics. The post (probably) most remunerative for the reader is:

"Think You're Smart Don'tcha: Figure This Out And Make A Million Bucks" in 2021:

In last week's post "Fluid Dynamics (and the filth on your phone)" I made the assertion "This is one of those fields of study that are so mind-bogglingly complex that....", without supplying any supporting statements or facts.
(in these situations the reader can assume I am relying on the Charlie Munger all-purpose turnaround: "Think about it a little more and you will agree with me because you're smart and I'm right.")
 
But for folks who require a bit of backup, here is Ars Technica, followed by the Clay Mathematics Institute, along with a cameo by Feynmann for added "Appeal to Authority":...

I Don't Think The Wars In The Middle East Have Ended

The first reason to think there is more to come is the fact this fellow is still alive:

August 5,  2024 - Iran: "Advisor to IRGC Commander: Zionist Regime Will Not See 80th Birthday, Heavy Blow Awaiting It

Lifted in toto from Iran's Fars News,

An advisor to the commander-in-chief of Iran's Islamic Revolution Guard Corps (IRGC) emphasized that the Zionist regime, through its mistake in assassinating Hamas leader martyr Ismail Haniyeh, will receive an unpredictable blow, adding that the Israeli regime will not see its 80th birthday.

On Sunday morning, Hossein Taeb, speaking to a gathering of Basij university professors in Mashhad in Northeastern Iran, referred to the anti-Zionist operation " Al-Aqsa Storm" carried out by Palestinian resistance factions as the pinnacle of the defeat of the Zionist regime and the United States. 

He said Israel wants to compensate for its defeat in this operation by fomenting war in the region and dragging the US and the West into these conflicts.

Taeb said the operations to assassinate Ismail Haniyeh and the commander of the Lebanese resistance movement, Hezbollah, were carried out by Israel with American permission.

He stated that the Zionist regime, through its mistake in assassinating Haniyeh, will suffer an unpredictable blow.The advisor to the IRGC commander, referred to the power of the resistance front, adding that today the resistance, despite its asymmetric warfare tactics, is a coordinated front whose elements operate in harmony from Yemen to Iraq and Lebanon.

A quick check of the encyclopedia puts the birthday bash at May 14, 2028. 

And even when he perishes, there are more like him among the Ayatollahs and mullahs and the IRGC, Twelver Shia, lusting after apocalypse as religious destiny.

Regarding Iranian proxies, Hamas still rules Gaza and seems oblivious to the history of Black September. As noted ten days after the perverted atrocities of October 2023:

October 17, 2023 - Dead Man Walking: "Far from Gaza hardships, Hamas chief and family enjoy easy life in Qatar"

I would expect the Israelis to hunt down and kill every Hamas leader that they don't find in Gaza. 

Operation Wrath of God which followed the 1972 Munich massacre of 11 Israeli Olympic team members would be the template. And this time, since we are talking the slaughter of 1300 people, including dual-nationals and foreign citizens, the Western governments might be more inclined to turn a blind eye to any mysterious deaths on their territory.

As for Qatar, we shall see....

Which was followed by "Israel: "Shin Bet has new unit to eliminate perpetrators of the Hamas massacre"" on October 21, 2023. 

On May 21, 2026 the Times of Israel quoted the Wall Street Journal:

Israel has list of all Oct. 7 participants, aims to kill or arrest each one — WSJ 

Regarding Hezbollah in Lebanon, they will be used by Iran to disrupt the timing and timeline of any negotiations with the U.S. From The Times of Israel liveblog, June 20, 2026

27 said killed in south Lebanon strikes; Hezbollah says it attacked IDF troops overnight
ToI Staff
Israeli military says it's targeting terror group after some 50 projectiles fired at troops just hours after ceasefire * Lebanese soldier among those killed 

The Houthis remain in control of Yemen with the geographical mastery of the Bab el Mandab strait and the approaches to the Suez Canal.

So no, I don't think the wars in the Middle East have ended. When I raised this point in a conversation last week I was directed to "The Peace of Amiens, 1802". 

Which was followed by "The Redeclaration of War, 1803: The 'Truce' of Amiens". 

If interested see also Muhammad and the Treaty of Hudaybiyya.

Friday, June 19, 2026

"AI data centers just got a government-mandated fast lane to the grid"

From TechCrunch, June 18:

The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) told grid operators on Thursday to fast-track interconnection requests from data centers and other large electricity users.

Under the orders, six major grid operators have to show that data centers are “able to connect to the transmission system in a timely and orderly manner.” Data centers will be responsible for paying the costs of the interconnection. Commissioners approved the orders unanimously.

FERC also provided an opening to grid tech startups, directing grid operators to consider “alternative transmission technologies.” The commission didn’t name specific technologies, but the directive could include things like solid-state transformers or superconducting transmission lines.

Grid operators now have 30 days to submit a report detailing how much generating capacity they have to spare, if any. They also have 60 days to “defend or revise” electricity rates within their regions. FERC also directed grid operators to be more accommodating to behind-the-meter power for data centers.

While FERC’s directives gave data centers a fast lane to connect, they did not address the shortage of generating capacity.

Grid connections have been slow to materialize in part because new power plants are also having problems connecting. At the end of 2023, grid connection requests for power plants exceeded the total capacity of the existing power plant fleet, meaning the line to get on the grid was longer than the grid itself could theoretically serve.

Against this backdrop, electricity demand from data centers is expected to nearly triple through 2035. Grid operators, which had grown accustomed to near-zero demand growth over the last two decades, have strained under the load. Some, like PJM, the country’s largest grid operator, have descended into something resembling chaos, with major utilities threatening to withdraw....

....MUCH MORE 

"Oil prices turn negative after U.S. official says Israel, Hezbollah agree to ceasefire"

 From CNBC, June 18/19:

  • U.S.-Iran follow-up talks in Switzerland were canceled, raising doubts about a lasting peace.
  • Oil prices fluctuated as traders reassessed risks around the Strait of Hormuz.
  • OPEC rejected forecasts that global oil demand will peak soon. 

Oil prices turned lower after Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah agreed to a ceasefire from 4 p.m. local time on Friday (9 a.m. ET), a U.S. official told CNBC.

The report comes shortly after follow-up talks between the U.S. and Iran in Switzerland were abruptly called off, underscoring lingering uncertainty over efforts to turn an interim agreement into a lasting peace settlement.

International benchmark Brent crude futures for August were last seen 1% lower at $79.02 per barrel, erasing earlier gains, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures for July traded 0.8% lower at $75.96. Both contracts were on track for a weekly loss of about 8%....

....MUCH MORE 

XTX Markets sues Dell over $70m price increase for data centre servers

What I think happened is a couple traders tried to include a laptop and 27" gaming monitor in the corporate order and, well, things sort of spun out of control when fatfinger forgot to review the cart before proceeding to checkout.

From The Irish Times, June 15:

Dell sued by Finnish company over $70m price increase for data centre servers
Technology group XTX Finland OY claimed the price had been fixed 

The Irish-registered Dell technology firm is being sued by a Finnish company over a price increase of up to $70 million (€60 million) sought for providing servers for a 15,000 sq m data centre.

Global algorithmic trading and financial technology group XTX Finland OY has brought High Court proceedings against Dell Products Unlimited Company of Dublin, a global supplier of technology products.

The case was admitted to the fast track Commercial Court yesterday by Judge Rory Mulcahy on consent between the parties.

Paul Gallagher, barrister for XTX, said the case concerned 1,680 servers which are now going to be delivered but the dispute is over the uplift in price. It was his client’s position that there was a fixed price and some $70 million put into escrow but they were anxious to get that money as soon as possible....

....MUCH MORE 

More seriously, as noted exiting April's "Jane Street Signs $6 Billion AI Cloud Agreement with CoreWeave":

...That last paragraph is key, the lines between trading houses and AI shops is disappearing. 

Previously on XTX:

December 2022 - Volatility Is Our Friend: "Ex-Deutsche Bank Trader Builds $6 Billion Fortune on Trading Boom"

December 2024 - Attn: Math Mavens - Billionaire Trader Alex Gerko Is Willing To Bet Up To $1 Million On You & AI/Machine Learning

January 2025 - Quantitative-Trading Firm XTX Markets To Build €1 Billion Finnish Data Hub in Machine-Learning Bet

January 2026 - "Quants, lawsuits and politics: Inside London’s ‘super-secretive’ trading firms"

"Marvell details vision of optically-interconnected data centers spanning across thousands of kilometers..." (MRVL)

From Tom's Hardware, June 15:

A data center that never ends? 

While hyperscalers rush toward expansion amid the swelling demand for AI data centers, Marvell last week shared its vision for an optical interconnect solution that can theoretically pool resources between discrete data centers across thousands of kilometers.

Optical interconnections are steadily being deployed across the industry, over both short and long-distance connections, and we're going to be seeing much more in the future, according to Matt Murphy, Chief Executive at Marvell, speaking at Computex 2026.

Constrained by distance


Today, connecting multiple data centers within a single campus is not easy or cheap, but relatively straightforward. However, Marvell envisions that in the future it will need to connect data centers that are located at considerable distances from one another.

Pooling resources
Murphy presented a rather interesting vision: firstly, optics will expand scale-up domains from 72 or 144 accelerators to 1,000 or more. But after that, optical connectivity will enter servers themselves. This will enable developers to disaggregate CPUs, accelerators (Marvell calls them XPUs), and memory into separate pools as distance will no longer matter, enabling better configurability and utilization....

....MUCH MORE

Once more, to quote the grizzled old traders of my youth, "Pay attention or pay the offer."

March 31 - Photonics: "Nvidia Invests $2 Billion in Marvell, Announces Partnership" (MRVL; NVDA)

And many more. 

Thursday, June 18, 2026

Average U.S. Gasoline Price Falls Below $4.00, First Time Since March*

 Granted, the average price didn't clear the round number by much, $3.9990 last.

But we take what we can get. 

Here's the AAA map and commentary

*March 31: $4.02 

Nio's CEO William Li Warns of 15% To 20% Decline In China's New Car Market This Year

Hi-ho, it's off to Europe we go.

From CNEV Post, June 14:

Nio's William Li warns of China auto sales drop while backing own growth 

  • William Li expects domestic retail sales in China's auto industry to fall by 15% to 20% this year.
  • He also reaffirmed expectations of Nio achieving a 40% to 50% annual sales growth this year.

William Li, founder, chairman and CEO of Nio Inc (NYSE: NIO), issued a stark warning that domestic retail sales in China's auto industry could fall by 15% to 20% this year. At the same time, he reaffirmed expectations for the company to achieve strong growth against the broader market trend.

Speaking at the China Auto Chongqing Summit on June 13, Li painted a grim macroeconomic picture for attendees. He noted that China's auto industry has entered the most brutal final stage of competition starting this year. The entire market is undergoing a fundamental shift from an era of incremental expansion to a saturated market driven by replacement demand.

Despite the challenging macroeconomic environment, the Chinese EV maker remains highly optimistic about its own growth....

...Regarding the overall domestic market, Li pointed out that any illusions within the industry about a sales rebound should be completely shattered. In the first five months of this year, the domestic auto retail market fell by 19.5% year-on-year.

Entering June, the decline widened further, with the drop in the first few days even exceeding 22%, he noted.

Li emphasized that the auto industry is a marathon on a muddy road....

....MUCH MORE 

"Nvidia Takes the Lead in Another AI Market Beyond Chips...." (NVDA)

From TipRanks, June 18:

Story Highlights

  • Nvidia became the top vendor in data center Ethernet switching for the first time.
  • IDC said Nvidia’s switching revenue jumped 193% year-over-year in the first quarter.
  • The gain shows Nvidia is expanding beyond GPUs into a larger share of AI infrastructure spending.

Nvidia is best known for its AI chips, but the company has now taken the lead in another fast-growing corner of the AI market. According to new data from market research firm IDC, Nvidia became the top vendor in data center Ethernet switching by revenue during the first quarter of 2026. The company generated $2.1 billion in switching revenue during the quarter, up 193% from a year ago, giving it a 21.5% share of the data center Ethernet switching market.

The huge win highlights how Nvidia is becoming much more than a chip supplier. As companies build larger AI systems, they need not only powerful GPUs but also high-speed networks that can connect thousands of those chips together....

....MUCH MORE

If there is any money to be made from artificial intelligence Mr. Huang seems bound-and-determined that it go to Nvidia. 

In other news, the move to optical and photonics from wires is real and accelerating.

From Nvidia's blog, June 16:

Coherent Breaks Ground on Expanded Texas Facility, Scaling AI’s Optical Backbone 
Coherent’s expansion at its Sherman, Texas, campus scales what it calls the world’s first volume production 6-inch indium phosphide fab, a key supplier across NVIDIA’s AI stack. 

AI runs at the speed of light. More and more, that light is made in Texas.

Coherent broke ground today on an expanded manufacturing building in Sherman, Texas. 

The company makes the lasers, optical components and compound semiconductors that wire AI systems together — and runs what it calls the world’s first 6-inch indium phosphide fab. 

NVIDIA founder and CEO Jensen Huang and Coherent CEO Jim Anderson were on hand for the ceremony, joined by Sherman Mayor Shawn Temann and Adriana Cruz, executive director of Texas Economic Development and Tourism, who delivered remarks.  

The expanded building will scale production of the same InP wafers that carry data between chips, servers and data centers at the speed of light — the optical backbone of modern AI infrastructure.

It’s the kind of milestone that turns a commitment into construction: a concrete step in expanding advanced semiconductor manufacturing in the United States.

“AI is the ultimate general-purpose technology,” Huang said during a conversation with Anderson at the groundbreaking. “Because intelligence is fundamental — the ability to process information, to reason and solve problems — it affects every single industry.”

Public programs like the CHIPS Act, funded at roughly $50 billion, were designed to bring chip manufacturing back to the U.S. 

As part of today’s event, Coherent is announcing a $50 million CHIPS Act grant to help finance the expanded Sherman facility — building on roughly $17 million in earlier support from the Texas CHIPS program and the Sherman Economic Development Corporation.

NVIDIA’s own commitment to produce up to $500 billion of AI infrastructure in the U.S. through industry partnerships with new sites in Arizona and Texas adds private-sector momentum....

....MUCH MORE 

Previously:

March 2 - Connecting it all together: "Nvidia to invest $4 billion in two photonics companies" (NVDA; LITE; COHR)

March 12 - FrenchTech: "Nvidia-backed startup Scintil Photonics starts testing laser chips"

March 31 - Photonics: "Nvidia Invests $2 Billion in Marvell, Announces Partnership" (MRVL; NVDA) 

April 8 - Photonics: "How Nvidia learned to embrace the light in its quest for scale" (NVDA)

And many more going back to NVLink in 2015.

As noted exiting from that March 2 post:

...This network stuff is not new. You may recall that Nvidia purchased networking gear specialist Mellanox for just under $7 billion in 2019, back when a billion was real money. 

"Connecting The Dots On Why Nvidia Is Buying Mellanox" (NVDA)

A year later we saw Mellanox InfiniBand system interconnects in five of the world's top ten fastest supercomputers. (and more than half of the Top500).

In the most recent earnings report, "NVIDIA Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript - February 25, 2026 (NVDA)" this was highlighted:

Networking revenue -- $11 billion for the quarter, over 3.5x year over year; full-year Networking exceeded $31 billion, up more than 10x versus fiscal 2021 (year of Mellanox acquisition [sic]). 

n.b. 2020 was the year Mellanox was integrated into NVDA, not 2021. 

Mr. Huang is not fooling around. 

Well maybe fooling around a little bit. He is a master showman/salesman and would not turn down an opportunity to do a photo op for a partner company:

https://blogs.nvidia.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/26tx-coherent-factory-DEB30838-DL-edit-1-scaled.jpg