Saturday, November 14, 2026

Munchau: "Beware the Jensen Huang propaganda" (NVDA)

One point that has been raised elsewhere (I'll link if I can remember where) is that if Mr. Huang was consciously violating U.S. law (export restrictions) then CFO Colette Kress would have to have known. The fact the board elevated her to the interim CEO role has to be taken as a statement the board's confidence that she did not know of any deliberate attempts to evade American export rules which by definition she would have.

The fact that among Nvidia's ten board members is Stephen Neal, Chairman Emeritus and Senior Counsel of (very) high-buck law firm, Cooley LLP, and that he apparently was okay with Ms. Kress taking over the reins, would tend to back the thesis that the board does not suspect that Colette Kress was complicit in any illegality which, again by definition of her role at the company, she would have been.

My best guess is that Huang and Nvidia thought they were working within the parameters established by the U.S. Commerce department which would point the finger of responsibility at Howard Lutnick in his role as Secretary of Commerce for clearing any potential violations.

There is also the possibility that regulatory responsibility extends back to the previous U.S. administration.

As a side note Cooley quite proudly, and justifiably so, states on its website "Cooley formed NVIDIA in 1993 and has served as its principal outside corporate and litigation counsel for 28 years, handling its IPO in 1999, multiple corporate matters and major litigation."

During the mid/late twenty-teens our Cooley boilerplate was:

Cooley is one of the big dogs of the VC legal eagle biz. Something like a third of the unicorns on the WSJ's Billion Dollar Startup Club list have used Cooley for one purpose or another.
Additionally, 20 or 21 of the companies on the "Technology Review's 50 Smartest Companies 2017" list have been represented or counseled by the firm. As I said, one of the biggies.

And after that longer than usual introduction here is Wolfgang Munchau at UnHerd, November 13:

Recall the Nord Stream pipeline explosions of September 2022. We were told it was the Russians that did it. The story was widely believed, and retold, but came with no evidence attached — and this keeps on happening. There is a clear parallel with the Jensen Huang affair in that there is no available evidence, not a shred, that Alice Huang acted as a Chinese spy. Stories like these fall into a category immortalized by the American author H.L. Mencken: they are “neat, plausible and wrong”. In all such cases, we’d do better if we separate what we know to be true, from what sounds too good to be true.

The next step is not to speculate, but collect the available evidence. It is a hard fact that Huang resigned without the board of Nvidia having even completed an investigation.

Another hard fact, one that does not sit well with the honeytrap story is that, this January, China imposed import restrictions on Nvidia’s benchmark H200 chip, even though the US commerce department had by then already started to permit the exports of these cards. This is the part of the series of cards that is used predominantly for AI. China’s policy on AI chip imports has been restrained, as it encouraged companies like ByteDance, Alibaba and Tencent to import Nvidia chips, but at the same time also imposed a preference for domestic products.

We may never know whether Alice Huang is a Chinese spy, or merely a corporate fixer. The Hong-Kong based author Desmond Shum believes it is the latter by looking at Huang’s own history. As he notes, investigations into corporate records, court rulings and stock exchange disclosures show “Huang’s involvement in a series of complicated capital-market transactions”.

“The recurring pattern was the use of intermediaries and layered ownership structures that could separate the people appearing on transaction documents from those with the underlying economic interests,” Shum adds. “When Huang subsequently emerged as the public face of Megaspeed, a little-known Singapore company purchasing billions of dollars’ worth of Nvidia chips, she was just repeating the same business model she has perfected.”

So, with apologies to Richard Feynman, let us instead try to ask questions that at this point cannot be answered, as opposed to accepting answers that cannot be questioned. Here are two: could this really be a forewarning of some bad commercial news to come? Are sales about to fall off the cliff? The Nvidia share price has fallen by nearly a third from its peak in early October. Will we hear the interim CEO declare her shock when she looks at the books? Maybe we should take a deeper look at the small print of SEC filings by the tech industry, starting with Nvidia.

Or maybe, it is a national security story, but of a different kind? It may not be about the sale of goods, but the flow of information. Did Jensen Huang have any involvement in the flow of technology secrets to China? If that were so, the honeytrap story may just be a smokescreen....

....MUCH MORE 

"How Ukrainian Drones Are Exploiting Soviet-Era Geography"

From American Affairs Journal, September 10, 2026:

Until recently, Omsk, Russia had been far removed from combat. Roughly 2,500 kilometers from Ukraine’s border (about as far away as London), the Siberian city seemed safely beyond the reach of attacks. Then, on July 6, residents were shocked when explosions rang and a fire broke out at the Omsk oil refinery, Russia’s largest, after Ukrainian drones struck deep inside the country. It was one of the longest-range drone strikes of the war. With it, Ukraine said, every single one of Russia’s eleven largest oil refineries and gasoline-processing plants had now been hit by Ukrainian drones or missiles at least once. Since mid-July, Ukraine has expanded its deep-strike drone campaign to target logistics networks. It has hit some twenty hubs of Wildberries, Russia’s version of Amazon, in locations as far as Yekaterinburg, across the Ural Mountains and roughly two thousand kilometers from Ukraine’s border. Ukraine’s long-range attacks illustrate how it has become the world’s foremost laboratory for the development of drone warfare and AI-assisted military systems.

But in what has become the world’s first true drone war, Russia ramped up relentless, massive drone and missile attacks this summer, causing near-constant air raid alerts around Kyiv. And last winter, heavy bombing by Russian planes and drones destroyed roughly half of Ukraine’s electricity and heat generation capacity, leaving many Ukrainians to endure long blackouts in subzero temperatures. These attacks offer examples of how drone innovations are redefining the optimal geography for defense. Not only are drones now able to fly long distances, but they are being used in mass swarms. Some can employ AI-assisted terminal guidance to finish strikes autonomously. Infrastructure originally designed for twentieth century industrial warfare is becoming a liability. This is the sort of economic geography Russia and Ukraine inherited from the Soviet Union. Soviet planners optimized infrastructure around three strategic principles: centralized transport networks, concentrated industrial production, and strategic depth. Each of these created advantages under Cold War conditions. But they also created tradeoffs, including transport bottlenecks, overconcentrated production, and a reliance on remoteness for security. Increasingly, both Russia and Ukraine are using long-range drone campaigns to exploit these tradeoffs.

Industrial Overconcentration Simplifies Targeting

The Soviet industrial system emphasized centralization and efficiency. In the interwar period of the 1920s and 1930s, Soviet leadership had a fascination with American mass production, a phenomenon called Amerikanizm. They admired Henry Ford’s massive factories as a means of turning a society of agrarian peasants into an industrial powerhouse. Drawing heavily on Fordist ideas, the Soviets embraced industrial gigantism, creating enormous integrated factories that promised economies of scale and easier oversight. But the tradeoff was a lack of distributed resilience: spreading production across multiple smaller, decentralized locations so that a disruption at one does not halt production at the rest. The Soviet Union did at times deliberately disperse strategically important production, particularly during World War II, when factories were evacuated eastward ahead of the German advance. But overall, the Soviet industrial map contained critical geographic concentrations and production bottlenecks where one shortage, delay, or disaster could reverberate across an entire domestic supply chain.

This vulnerability persists today. Ukrainian strikes on Russia’s concentrated infrastructure have helped drive oil refining volumes to a twenty-one-year low and have contributed to widespread gasoline shortages.

Thus, while concentrating industries helped the Soviets achieve enormous economies of scale that facilitated their rise to superpower status, it also left an enduring legacy of geographic production and generation bottlenecks that can reduce the number of targets an adversary needs to strike to cause major economic disruption.

In response to drone attacks on its power grid, Ukraine has been pivoting rapidly over the summer to decentralize power generation. It has created “energy islands”—microgrids of localized electricity and heat production from solar, wind, and natural gas—located around critical services like hospitals, water utilities, and residential districts. This will allow these areas to decouple from the national grid if it is attacked. Ukraine is also moving many critical power nodes underground, while protecting others with massive shelters of concrete, earthworks, and sandbag gabions. And while Russia operates entirely within its own post-Soviet electrical grid, Ukraine has a critical lifeline: its full integration into Europe’s electricity network, ENTSO-E. This gives Ukraine a backup to prevent blackouts when its power stations are damaged, by immediately importing up to 2.45 GW from neighboring EU nations like Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, and Romania.

But despite these supports, Ukraine’s grid is still expected to be highly vulnerable in the coming winter. It retains the Soviet-era structure of its primary internal transmission system, especially in the Combined Heat and Power (CHP) plants of major cities like Kyiv, Kherson, and Odesa. Russia has been exploiting its deep historical blueprint knowledge of this system to target vulnerable transmission nodes. In an August 24 interview with RBC-Ukraine, Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence (GUR) Major General Vadym Skibitskyi warned that Russia had recently developed metal-cutting drones designed to strike power transmission towers and lines. Ukrainian Energy Minister Denys Shmyhal told POLITICO recently that now “Putin wants to finish off [Ukraine’s] energy system.”

Half of Ukraine’s electricity is generated by a few centralized nuclear power plants built in the Soviet days. But as yet, Russia has not attacked these, instead targeting the surrounding high-voltage substations and transmission lines. Russia has avoided striking Ukraine’s nuclear plants in part because it could trigger a radiation release affecting Russian territory, and also because it could alienate Russia’s allies and trigger a direct Western response....

....MUCH MORE 

All News Is Local: "Nvidia Executive Who Reportedly Had Affair With Huang Is a Graduate of Coventry High School"

From Rhode Island's GoLocalProv, November 13:

One of the women at the center of the Nvidia controversy is a graduate of Coventry High School in Rhode Island.

GoLocal has unveiled her high school photo and post in the yearbook, which includes a remarkably prophetic quote: “If you obey all the rules, you miss all the fun.”...

....MUCH MORE 

Friday, November 13, 2026

"While many Americans resist, China embraces AI data center boom"

From CBS News, November 12:

Ulanqab, China — Off a major highway on the outskirts of Ulanqab, in the Chinese province of Inner Mongolia, Hereford cows roam through corn fields scouring the ground for any dried up remains of the recent harvest.

Hovering over the landscape are shiny new transmission towers linked by power cables that stretch along the plateau for as far as the eye can see. On the ridgeline, covered in snow, wind turbines spin, taking full advantage of the ever-blowing wind.   

The energy pulsing from the remote Chinese region — a combination of renewables and fossil fuels — will soon power multi-story data centers being constructed on farmland as part of a sprawling AI data center construction boom. 

The construction site is the size of a small American city. It is the biggest, and fastest growing infrastructure project anywhere in China right now.

This corner of Inner Mongolia was famous for generations for growing potatoes. Now, it's fast becoming an AI hub, and Chinese officials hope the expansive, rugged landscape will help power the country's ambition to surpass the U.S. as the global leader in artificial intelligence.

Baletu, a 72-year-old farmer, who has lived here for more than 40 years growing potatoes and corn, said the changes across his local landscape are positive. 

"It doesn't affect my farmland, not at all," he told CBS News. "It's good for the area."

A short drive away, CBS News was able to see what all that wind power will soon be feeding. Trucks, cranes and thousands of workers are taking part in the construction project to create one of the biggest data centers anywhere in the world.  

We drove miles down new roads with multistory data centers going up on either side. Even from the road it was easy to spot the countless racks that will hold servers, semi-conductor chips and cooling and exhaust fans.

There are dozens of data centers being built in Inner Mongolia, more than any other part of the vast nation. The reason they have chosen Ulanqab is because it offers cheap, abundant energy. Fossil fuels are still the main source of power here, but they also use renewables, including wind and solar. 

Ulanqab is one of the most consistently windy locations in the province. The climate is also cold all year, which helps keep cooling costs down, and land and labor are more affordable in the remote region.

Experts cited by the Financial Times say data centers in China are built at about one-fifth of the costs incurred in the U.S., not least due to the much higher land and labor costs.

As many as 30,000 workers have been brought in from across China to help build the AI hub, and in a country experiencing an economic downturn and high youth unemployment, these mass infrastructure projects are very much welcome....

....MUCH MORE 

LIVE: "SpaceX Starship Flight 15 live updates: SpaceX 'GO' for fueling Starship Flight 15 for launch"

From Space.com, November 13:

SpaceX could make history with the world's first full recovery of an orbital rocket and spacecraft on Starship Flight 15. 

 

Space.com's YouTube channel 

SpaceX is counting down to make history with the launch of its Starship Flight 15 mission on Friday, Nov. 13, with liftoff scheduled for 5:45 p.m. EDT (2245 GMT) at Starbase, Texas....

....MORE

Space.com home page 

Do You Remember Jensen Huang's First Post On Social Media Platform X? (NVDA)

We referred back to it when Anthropic and OpenAI wanted to build a regulatory moat in September 2026:

September 13, 2026 

At the time "The Trigger" referred to open models triggering the duopoly into the attempt to regulate-away any competition.

In hindsight, that tweet by Mr. Huang may have triggered much more than Altman/Amodei simply trying to influence/manipulate politicians and the administrative state. Our outro caught some, but not nearly enough, of what was going on:

This weekend's contretemps? 

It's all about money, moats (or lack thereof), marketing and political power. 

"Trader ‘made $196m’ shorting Nvidia before Jensen Huang scandal"

From The Times of London, November 13:

The seller is said to have placed the bet a month before revelations about the former chief executive’s affair with an alleged Chinese spy came to light

A mystery trader has made $196m from, in effect, shorting Nvidia stock before Jensen Huang’s resignation as chief executive, it has emerged.

The trader is said to have bought contracts giving the holder a guaranteed sale price of $150 per Nvidia share. The value of the contracts rose sharply as the stock fell on news of Huang’s affair and subsequent resignation. At the same time, the trader helped to fund the bet by selling cheaper contracts pledging to buy Nvidia shares at $100 if the stock fell below that level. 

The Financial Times reported that Joseph Niles, a director at Macro Risk Advisors who spotted the bet, calculated the unnamed trader had made $196m. It was placed on October 12, a month before revelations about Huang’s extramarital affair emerged.

The trader, in effect, shorted Nvidia’s stock using put contracts....

....MUCH MORE 

There are others. You can bet on it.

Inflation: Producer Price Index UP 0.3% In October; UP 6.5% Year-over-Year

From CNBC, November 13:

Wholesale prices rose 0.3% in October, putting annual rate at 6.5%, the highest in nearly four years 

The producer price index, a measure of wholesale prices rose 0.3% in October, slightly less than the 0.4% forecast.
On an annual basis, PPI surged 6.5%, the biggest increase since November 2022.
Markets continued to full price in an interest rate hike of at least a quarter percentage point when the Fed meets in December. 

Wholesale prices increased less than expected in October, but inflation pressures persisted and the Federal Reserve is likely still on target for an interest rate increase soon.

The producer price index, which measures the prices domestic producers get for their products before they reach the consumer, rose a seasonally adjusted 0.3% for the month, against the Dow Jones consensus for a 0.4% increase, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday.

Stripping out food and energy, core PPI posted a 0.3% gain, meeting expectations.

On an annual basis, headline PPI accelerated 6.5%, up 0.2 percentage point for the highest annual rate since November 2022.

The report comes just a few weeks ahead of the Federal Reserve’s next policy meeting Dec. 8-9. Markets are fully pricing in a quarter percentage point increase in the central bank’s key overnight borrowing rate, with slight odds that the Federal Open Market Committee might opt for a half-point hike.

Stock market futures added to gains following the release while Treasury yields were mixed.

Earlier this week, the BLS reported that inflation at the cash register was hotter than expected.

The headline consumer price index saw a 0.4% increase in October while core was up 0.3%, both 0.1 percentage point higher than expected. Because of the government shutdown in October 2025, the BLS couldn’t collect some data and refrained from putting out a 12-month inflation figure for CPI.

However, the figures showed that the Fed remains a good distance from its 2% inflation goal.

“Today’s PPI data – which shows some signs of improving, albeit still too-high – is unlikely to change the Fed’s approach in December because the CPI data was already outside their comfort zone,” said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Northlight Asset Management....

....MUCH MORE 

Here's the Bureau of Labor Statistics, November 13:

Producer Price Index News Release summary 

PRODUCER PRICE INDEXES - OCTOBER 2026

The Producer Price Index for final demand rose 0.3 percent in October, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices advanced 1.4 percent in September and 0.4 percent in August. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand increased 6.5 percent for the 12 months ended in October, the largest 12-month rise since moving up 7.4 percent in November 2022.

Leading the October advance in final demand prices, the index for final demand goods increased 0.5 percent. Prices for final demand services moved up 0.2 percent.

The index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services rose 0.5 percent in October, the same as in September. For the 12 months ended in October, prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services advanced 4.9 percent.

Final Demand

Final demand goods: The index for final demand goods increased 0.5 percent in October following a 2.5-percent rise in September. Over 60 percent of the advance in October is attributable to prices for final demand goods less foods and energy, which moved up 0.5 percent. The index for final demand foods increased 1.3 percent. In contrast, prices for final demand energy edged down 0.1 percent. For the 12 months ended in October, the index for final demand goods increased 10.2 percent, the largest 12-month rise since advancing 10.5 percent in October 2022.

Product detail: Within the index for final demand goods in October, prices for basic organic chemicals advanced 3.9 percent. The indexes for fresh and dry vegetables; gas fuels; aeronautical, nautical, and navigational instruments; jet fuel; and processed young chickens also moved higher. 
(See table 2.) Conversely, diesel fuel prices fell 7.9 percent. The indexes for pork and for passenger cars also declined. 

Final demand services: The index for final demand services moved up 0.2 percent in October, the fifth consecutive advance. Three-fourths of the October rise can be traced to a 2.0-percent increase in prices for final demand transportation and warehousing services. The index for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing advanced 0.2 percent. In contrast, margins for final demand trade services decreased 0.2 percent.

Product detail: Over 80 percent of the October increase in the index for final demand services is attributable to prices for truck transportation of freight, which rose 3.9 percent. The indexes for fuels and lubricants retailing; health, beauty, and optical goods retailing; food and alcohol wholesaling; hospital outpatient care; and traveler accommodation services also moved higher. Conversely, margins for machinery and vehicle wholesaling fell 4.2 percent. Prices for system software publishing and for airline passenger services also declined. 
Intermediate Demand by Commodity Type

Within intermediate demand in October, the index for processed goods increased 0.4 percent, prices for unprocessed goods fell 3.1 percent, and the index for services rose 0.6 percent. (See tables B and C.)

Processed goods for intermediate demand: Prices for processed goods for intermediate demand advanced 0.4 percent in October, the third consecutive rise. Leading the October increase, the index for processed materials less foods and energy moved up 0.9 percent. Prices for processed foods and feeds advanced 1.0 percent. In contrast, the index for processed energy goods declined 1.6 percent. 
For the 12 months ended in October, prices for processed goods for intermediate demand increased 14.6 percent, the largest 12-month rise since jumping 17.2 percent in July 2022.

Product detail: More than 40 percent of the October advance in the index for processed goods for intermediate demand can be traced to prices for basic organic chemicals, which moved up 3.9 percent. The indexes for jet fuel, electronic components and accessories, natural gas liquids, fabricated structural metal products, and prepared animal feeds also increased. Conversely, prices for diesel fuel fell 7.9 percent. The indexes for pork and for lumber also decreased.

Unprocessed goods for intermediate demand: Prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand fell 3.1 percent in October, the largest decline since moving down 6.6 percent in June. 
Leading the broad-based decrease in October, the index for unprocessed energy materials dropped 7.7 percent. Prices for unprocessed nonfood materials less energy and for unprocessed foodstuffs and feedstuffs also fell, 0.9 percent and 0.2 percent, respectively. For the 12 months ended in October, the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand rose 16.9 percent.

Product detail: A major factor in the October decline in the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand was a 10.3-percent decrease in prices for crude petroleum. The indexes for corn, slaughter hogs, wheat, aluminum base scrap, and hay and hayseeds also moved down. In contrast, prices for raw milk advanced 8.2 percent. The indexes for natural gas and for carbon steel scrap also increased....

....MUCH MORE 

Regardless of whether or not the Fed raises at their next meeting the PPI is rolling over. 

 

Fashion: I Don't Think Jensen Huang Has Retired From Business

From Hardest Fit pics:

As the heading notes, this was after the disclosure of the Huang-Huang bang-bang {credit: NYPost] 

Compare that gnarley bit of outerwear with the easy come, easy go Jensen of 2024:

"Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang debuts new $8,990 lizard-embossed leather jacket, also says something about AI GPUs: (NVDA)

https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/jyvTWNuEj742y5noo6X4WC-1200-80.jpg.webp 

Tom Ford Spring 2023 Menswear Collection

Via Tom's Hardware

Jensen is ready to rumble.

That concludes our Climateer Fashion week but do check back for coverage of Paris and Milan. 

November 12 - Fashion: Today In History...

November 11 - As The Blog Continues Its Pivot To Fashion Coverage: A Look At How We Got Here 

"Why midterm vote-counting is taking so long in America's largest state"

That's the BBC's headline and they have their own explanation for why the count is going to go into week two.

On the other hand here is Seth Myers with a state Democratic Party official's reasoning: 

Hillary Clinton and High Ranking Spy Guy Have Very Different Opinions On Giving Jensen Huang A Heads-Up On Alice Huang (NVDA)

First up, Madame Secretary of State Clinton with Kara Swisher on the High Stakes With HRC podcast: 

Cue at 2:41

While at the Washington Post Dennis Wilder, the CIA's deputy assistant director for East Asia and the Pacific and editor of President Obama's President's Daily Brief, evades the question of why the CIA and/or FBI didn't give Mr. Huang a defensive briefing:

...Whether the Nvidia CEO knew about the government’s suspicions regarding Alice Huang, and when he knew it, remains unclear.

“He’s not from Topeka, Kansas, let’s put it that way,” said Wilder, the former CIA analyst. “He’s lived in Chinese culture, he can’t be that naive.”

We started pulling on this thread with our one-line intro to November 9's "Nvidia CEO faces probe over affair with alleged Chinese spy — as Rubio memo warned about her months ago" (NVDA): 

Which, of course, raises the question: When did U.S. intelligence give him a defensive briefing?

Followed by November 12's So, It Looks Like Jensen Huang Got Set Up (NVDA)": 

The New York Times wrote in their October 29 article "Nvidia Chief, Jensen Huang, Is Seen as Target of Chinese Spy Plot":

...Mr. Huang has not received a defensive briefing, warnings sometimes given to Americans who are being targeted by foreign intelligence services, people briefed on the surveillance said.... 

Which raises the follow-on question: Why didn't the state security organs warn Mr. Huang about their belief that Alice Huang was a spy?

We don't know who to ask because all of the sources of the spying allegations that the New York Times quotes are unnamed.  

The intelligence community couldn't have been all that concerned that the Huang-Huang pillow talk was revealing state secrets. 

More to come, I am sure. 

For what it's worth, Jensen's family left Taiwan for the U.S. when he was nine years old. 

Commodities: "Quebec's reserves of maple syrup almost depleted, says new report"

A bit late getting to this but syrup news flows slower than water news. Navier–Stokes and all that.*

From the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation, October 19:

Province's producers ask government for financial support, help finding new markets abroad 

The head of Quebec's maple syrup producers' association says the province's strategic syrup reserve has run dry amid high demand for the product.

Québec Maple Syrup Producers president Luc Goulet says government support will be needed to ensure the industry doesn't miss out on opportunities to grow the sector.

Maple syrup yields depend on weather conditions. As a result, the producers' association has established a strategic reserve to ensure prices and supply remain relatively stable....

....MUCH MORE
[that is exactly what DeBeers used to say about their diamond market manipulation before the cartel fell apart] 
*Fluid Dynamics: A Glorious Day For Canada And Therefore The World

Previously: 

August 2012 - Sticky Fingers! $30 Million in Maple Syrup Stolen in Quebec

June 2013 - Artificial Scarcity: The IMF on the Economics of Maple Syrup
You probably remember the big maple syrup heist of August 2012 and the revelation that there was a "global strategic maple syrup reserve. Here's the rest of the story.
From the Conversable Economist....

November 2021 - "Canada Releases 50 Million Pounds from Maple Syrup Reserve amid Global Shortage"

Also at the CBC:

Fake maple syrup class action now targeting major grocery store chains 

Thursday, November 12, 2026

"Anthropic's War on Opensource AI"

An article on X from an AI guy, Ahmad M. Osman, June 11, 2026:

Anthropic wants the public to see one thing: the careful lab, the safety lab, the grown-up in the room trying to keep frontier AI from running off a cliff. However, the pattern around Anthropic does not look like caution by itself. It looks like a company wrapping a business model in moral language, then using that language to justify opaque model behavior, anti-competitive access rules, regulatory pressure, and a future where builders, startups, researchers, and Opensource communities stay downstream of a few blessed frontier labs.

If a coding or research model secretly changes the quality, direction, or reliability of an answer because it classified the user as doing disallowed frontier work, the tool is no longer merely "safe." It is untrustworthy.

Anthropic's moat is being a permission regime. On daily basis, competitors and acquisition targets discover that access can disappear. The company asks governments to bless safety frameworks, deployment gates, incident reporting, evaluation regimes, and even future pauses that incumbents are best positioned to survive.

Imagine a compiler that emits worse binaries when it thinks you are building a competing compiler. Imagine a microscope that blurs certain samples because the manufacturer dislikes the research direction. Imagine a debugger that lies only when your codebase resembles a future rival.

The fight is whether intelligence becomes something people can own, inspect, modify, run locally, fine-tune, study, route, and improve, or whether it becomes a subscription permission layer run by companies that can refuse, degrade, surveil, retain, revoke, reroute, or lobby away your access.

Anthropic can learn from the internet, copyrighted books, code, public knowledge, user feedback if permitted, synthetic data, and its own models. But if a developer uses Claude to bootstrap a competitive open assistant, Anthropic calls foul. The company argues that safety controls may be lost and that competing models undermine the investment required to build frontier systems.

If Anthropic wants to be treated like a public-interest safety institution, it cannot behave like a hypersensitive platform monopolist whenever a customer gets too close to building alternatives.

Yes, companies protect their IP. But Anthropic is not selling a normal SaaS widget. It is selling cognition as infrastructure. Once cognition becomes infrastructure, anti-competitive access control stops being a normal vendor dispute and becomes a social bottleneck.

Anthropic repeatedly converts safety, security, and responsible deployment into mechanisms of control over who may build and what could be built. We cannot trust them.

How "Safety" Became Sabotage, a Permission System, and a Direct Threat to User-Owned Intelligence

The cleanest way to understand Anthropic is not to start with its slogans, but with what happens when users get too close to building independent intelligence using its models. The system can silently degrade, reroute, or refuse work that resembles AI development, which is just sabotage with better PR.

The ToS makes the boundary even clearer: you may “own” the outputs, but you may not freely use them to train competing systems. And that is where the trick lives, because “competing systems” is vague by design. As Anthropic absorbs more of your data, ideas, plans, workflows, and moats, more of what you do can be reframed as dangerous, disallowed, or directly competitive with Anthropic itself.

This is a theory of control.

Calling Anthropic "evil" is not a cartoon claim about every employee's intent. It is a claim about an institutional pattern. When a company trains on civilization-scale data, sells intelligence as infrastructure, blocks users from using that intelligence to build competing intelligence, pushes rules that favor incumbents, and quietly changes model behavior under the banner of safety, "quirky" and "overcautious" are not strong enough words.

This is power consolidation.

This critique did not start as anti-Anthropic tribalism. It started from serious Claude and Claude Code usage through 2024, 2025, and 2026. Claude Code was "the Agent." Claude 3.5 Sonnet was head and shoulders above everyone else for coding. Claude was a real building tool before the sharper turn after perceived quantization, nerfs, rugpulls, and access restrictions.

The through-line is not "Claude never worked." It is worse: Claude worked so well that trusting Anthropic became dangerous.

That is why the language has to be blunt. The story moves from "this tool is elite" to "rugpull," "gaslighting," "Sabotage as a Service," "hostage situation," and "Buy a GPU and run your LLMs locally." Those are not random insults. They are guiding principles from someone who treated Claude as production infrastructure and then watched the provider's control surface become the main risk.

Opensource AI is not a mere preference. It is the only political economy of intelligence. An Opensource AI system preserves the freedom to use it for any purpose, study how it works, modify it, and share it, with enough information about data, code, and parameters to make real modification possible.

Anthropic is moving in the opposite direction: permissioned access, closed weights, behavioral opacity, output-use restrictions, managed refusals, policy lobbying, and selective trusted channels.

Why Anthropic Is Uniquely Dangerous

Every major closed lab has incentives to centralize power. OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Anthropic, xAI, Meta's closed products, cloud providers: none of them are saints.

Anthropic is dangerous in a specific way because four things stack together.

Moral authority as brand. Anthropic sells itself as the responsible safety company.

Frontier capability. Claude is good enough to become real developer infrastructure.

Explicit anti-competitive output and access rules. Anthropic tells users they own outputs, but also says they cannot use the services to train or develop competing AI models without written permission. The prohibited examples include general-purpose chatbots and open-ended text generation systems that compete with Anthropic's own offerings.

Policy ambition. Anthropic is not merely selling a product. It is shaping AI regulation: safety frameworks, state and federal policy, incident reporting, evaluation regimes, deployment controls, and pause or slowdown proposals.

Each piece can be defended on its own. Together, they become a machine: closed capability, moral branding, access control, and regulatory pressure. That machine can turn safety into a moat.

Anthropic's own Responsible Scaling Policy update says the RSP influenced OpenAI, Google DeepMind, California SB 53, the New York RAISE Act, and EU AI Act codes of practice. Anthropic describes that influence as exactly what the RSP was meant to do.

That does not make every safety proposal bad. It does mean builders should stop treating "safety" as neutral language though when the same company also restricts competitive model development, cuts off rivals, controls a leading coding agent, and frames open dissemination as a national-security threat.

The Actual Stakes: Who Owns Intelligence?

Who gets to own the capability to reason, automate, code, search, design, persuade, simulate, and build?

Opensource and open-weight AI matter because they create freedoms that closed platforms cannot promise forever.

They create operational sovereignty. A developer, company, researcher, city, school, hospital, or country can run models on its own machines, with its own latency, privacy, security posture, and failure modes. You do not need to beg a vendor for capacity or pray that the API stays up.

They create epistemic sovereignty. When the model refuses, fails, degrades, censors, overfits, or hallucinates, builders can inspect the stack. They can change prompts, weights, evals, routing, runtime, and deployment. With a closed model, the answer too often becomes "trust us."

They create market discipline. Open models keep closed providers honest. Without a credible local or open alternative, every closed AI provider eventually learns the same lesson: degrade quality, raise prices, change limits, throttle usage, sunset models, and call it product strategy.

They create security through diversity. A monoculture of closed frontier APIs is fragile. It concentrates failure, censorship, data leakage, policy capture, and geopolitical control in a few companies. Open ecosystems are messy, but messy ecosystems are harder to capture.

Most of all, they create civilizational participation. If intelligence becomes the key production input of the next economy, then access to modifiable intelligence becomes access to agency. A society where a few labs own the frontier and everyone else rents obedient wrappers is not advanced. It is feudalism with GPUs.

That is why this is not a hobbyist fight. It is an infrastructure fight....

....MUCH MORE 

Fashion: Today In History...

Continuing our pivot to fashion. 

From History Today:

The First Flying Trapeze
The circus act was first performed on 12 November 1859.

Jules Léotard, the French acrobat who performed the first flying trapeze act on record at the Cirque Napoléon in Paris in 1859, was the daring young man who ‘flies through the air with the greatest of ease’ in the music hall song. He also left his name to the leotard, the tight, sleeveless garment which he wore and which showed his muscular frame to advantage....

....MUCH MORE

And at Circuses and Sideshows: 

https://www.circusesandsideshows.com/images/JulesLeotardtop_5.jpg
 

If interested (and who wouldn't be?), see also November 11's:

As The Blog Continues Its Pivot To Fashion Coverage: A Look At How We Got Here

Reminder: The New York Times Had The Nvidia - Megaspeed Story Thirteen Months Ago

From the New York Times, Oct. 9, 2025:

An executive of a Singaporean firm called Megaspeed socialized with Nvidia’s Jensen Huang. Now the company is being scrutinized by U.S. officials for its ties to China. 

On a humid June night last year, Jensen Huang, the chief executive of Nvidia, held court with several of his company’s major Asian customers at a bar with sweeping views of Taipei. They stood and toasted the booming artificial intelligence industry.

Next to the Nvidia chief was a woman named Huang Le, or Alice Huang, an executive of a Singapore-based data center company called Megaspeed, which was poised to buy $2 billion of Nvidia A.I. technology over the next year.

Though Ms. Huang and Megaspeed are little-known players in the A.I. industry, their association with Nvidia and its chief executive has recently become a preoccupation in Washington.

Commerce Department officials have been investigating whether Megaspeed, which has close ties to Chinese tech firms, is helping companies in China sidestep American export restrictions, according to more than a half dozen current and former officials and other people familiar with the companies, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss an examination that is not public.

The inquiry, which is active, calls into question how closely Nvidia is tracking where its A.I. chips end up and highlights the possibility of American export laws easily being sidestepped. Megaspeed is also facing scrutiny from Singaporean police, who told The New York Times in a statement that they are investigating the company for breaching local laws, without elaborating further.

As the dominant provider of artificial intelligence chips, Nvidia’s annual revenue has soared nearly sevenfold in the past four years, making it the world’s most valuable publicly traded company. But the Silicon Valley company’s meteoric rise has coincided with U.S. government concerns that its chips could help adversaries like China develop new weapons, surveil dissidents and leap ahead of the United States in A.I. development.

Those concerns led both the Biden and Trump administrations to crack down on A.I. chip sales to China. But some Chinese companies employ global networks of middlemen and shell companies to sidestep those limits. In a legal gray area, some have built vast data centers in Southeast Asia that have fueled China’s gains in A.I.

Other Chinese companies have set up illegal smuggling networks, moving perhaps hundreds of thousands of blocked chips into China, experts estimate. In April, the House Select Committee on China opened an investigation into Nvidia’s sale of chips to China and Southeast Asia. Nvidia has expanded its operations in Taiwan in recent years, but it remains firmly anchored to Silicon Valley, where it was founded more than three decades ago.

Megaspeed illustrates the challenges facing U.S. government officials trying to keep China from accessing powerful A.I. chips. After splitting off from a Chinese gaming company in 2023, Megaspeed set up a subsidiary in Malaysia that quickly snapped up nearly $2 billion worth of Nvidia’s most advanced products. Most of those chips came from the U.S. branch of a Chinese company that has already been sanctioned for providing technology to the Chinese military, according to records obtained through ImportGenius, a trade data platform.

Megaspeed has funneled those chips to data centers in Malaysia and Indonesia that appear to remotely serve customers in China. That is not necessarily illegal, but it can be found unlawful if it is done on behalf of a Chinese company. U.S. officials have also been scrutinizing whether Megaspeed diverted some of those chips on to China, in violation of U.S. law, two people familiar with the company said....

....MUCH MORE

And then....nothing, until  "Culper Research, May 2026: "We are short Nvidia" (NVDA)".

And then the October 29, 2026 NYT article referenced earlier. 

So, It Looks Like Jensen Huang Got Set Up (NVDA)

By whom I'm not sure.

Our one-line intro to November 9's "Nvidia CEO faces probe over affair with alleged Chinese spy — as Rubio memo warned about her months ago" (NVDA): 

Which, of course, raises the question: When did U.S. intelligence give him a defensive briefing?

The New York Times wrote in their October 29 article "Nvidia Chief, Jensen Huang, Is Seen as Target of Chinese Spy Plot":

...Mr. Huang has not received a defensive briefing, warnings sometimes given to Americans who are being targeted by foreign intelligence services, people briefed on the surveillance said.... 

Which raises the follow-on question: Why didn't the state security organs warn Mr. Huang about their belief that Alice Huang was a spy?

We don't know who to ask because all of the sources of the spying allegations that the New York Times quotes are unnamed.  

The intelligence community couldn't have been all that concerned that the Huang-Huang pillow talk was revealing state secrets. 

More to come, I am sure. 

"SpaceX Starship Flight 15 live updates: T-2 days to SpaceX's 1st-ever double Starship landing attempt" (SPCX)

From Space.com, November 12: 

SpaceX could make history with the world's first full recovery of an orbital rocket and spacecraft on Starship Flight 15.  

SpaceX is counting down to make history with the launch of its Starship Flight 15 mission on Friday, Nov. 13, with liftoff scheduled for 5:45 p.m. EDT (2245 GMT) at Starbase, Texas. Starship Flight 15 will attempt to land both Starship Ship and Super Heavy Booster. It will be the first-ever full recovery of an orbital rocket and spacecraft, if successful....

....MUCH MORE, it's a pretty big deal.

When the engineering works, if not on this attempt on the next, it will mark the beginning of the cheap delivery era for spacetech.

Not quite down to FedEx price levels but cheaper than anyone else for the foreseeable future.

And the includes the copycat CCP.  

"Jensen Huang's exit puts Nvidia's $530 billion web of AI deals under the microscope" (NVDA)

This is one aspect of the complexity facing Colette Kress as she guides Nvidia, and thus the industry, through the immediate future.

From Yahoo Finance, November 12: 

Jensen Huang didn't just sell chips for the AI boom. He helped pay for it, and Wall Street is now repricing everyone on his tab.

Huang resigned as Nvidia's (NVDA) CEO and left its board Thursday, effective immediately, after reports of two affairs, one involving an alleged Chinese spy. CFO Colette Kress is now interim CEO, and the company still plans to report earnings Tuesday.

Nvidia stock sank to its lowest level in more than a year, putting it about $2 trillion below its October record at its low. But the selling hasn't hit the AI trade evenly. Nebius (NBIS) and CoreWeave (CRWV), cloud companies that rent out Nvidia chips, took the worst of it, while rivals Broadcom (AVGO) and AMD (AMD) and most of Big Tech held up.

That pattern traces the bank of Nvidia.

Nvidia owns stakes in Intel (INTC), SpaceX (SPCX), CoreWeave, and Coherent (COHR), and it has pledged up to $10 billion to Anthropic (ANTH.PVT) ahead of its IPO next week. It also has a preliminary deal to put as much as $100 billion into OpenAI.

Nvidia's latest quarterly filing lists about $530 billion in commitments and guarantees, by Yahoo Finance's count, including roughly $65 billion to rent back cloud capacity from companies like CoreWeave and a guarantee of up to $105 billion on OpenAI's Ohio data center leases.

"It does bring into question what we've been talking about for ... the better part of the last year, which is a lot of these circular relationships," Liz Thomas, chief market strategist at SoFi, said at Yahoo Finance Invest.

The pressure points 
The first is the dealmaker himself. Huang sat at the center of these deals, and Kress, who signed off on them as CFO, now decides how many more to write....

....MUCH MORE 

A couple throwaway lines in recent posts: 

She does know a lot about the business. 

...The job that Ms. Kress is taking on is almost mind-boggling complex, we wish her the best....  

"‘We Used to Be a Wealthy City’: Auto Woes Slam German Towns"

From the New York Times, November 10: 

The downturn in the automotive industry has done away with services and benefits that residents of Friedrichshafen, a lakeside city, once enjoyed. 

Few German cities are feeling the crisis in the automotive industry more acutely than Friedrichshafen, which sits on the picturesque shores of Lake Constance. For more than a century, life here has been intertwined with ZF Friedrichshafen, a major supplier of transmissions and other auto parts.

To call it a “company town” doesn’t quite do justice to the relationship. Through a foundation, the city owns more than 90 percent of ZF, which is also the area’s largest employer. In good years, profits from ZF supplied the city with more than a hundred million euros annually for swimming pools, kindergartens and even a bridge.

But that largess has withered away.

ZF is suffering from a major industrial upheaval because of the rocky global shift to electric vehicles and intense competition from Chinese automakers. Last year ZF lost €2.1 billion, or $2.3 billion. The company is cutting up to 14,000 jobs in Germany, about a quarter of its domestic work force.

Profits that ZF funneled to the foundation dwindled to €41 million last year and will be zero this year. The money is not expected to begin flowing again until the end of the decade, at the earliest.

Friedrichshafen, where tourists stroll the banks of the lake that sits between Germany and Switzerland, has had to cut back services that many people took for granted. Last year parents staged a protest outside city hall after child care fees, which were largely paid for by ZF profits, jumped to €450 per month from €158.

“We used to benefit a lot” from the foundation, Simon Blümcke, the city’s mayor since 2024, said in an interview. His predecessors could afford private drivers. Mr. Blümcke, who also sits on ZF’s supervisory board, has cut that luxury as well as projects like a planned railroad underpass.

“Now,” he added, “we are completely redoing our municipal strategy.”

Variations of this scenario are playing out across Germany. It is unusual for a city to own such a large company. But it is not unusual for local economies to revolve around a single large manufacturer.

Stuttgart has Mercedes-Benz, which is asking workers to put in extra hours without extra pay and last month issued a profit warning. The city is also home to Porsche, whose profit has all but evaporated. Munich has BMW, which plans to cut 20 percent of its managers. Wolfsburg revolves around Volkswagen, which is cutting up to 100,000 jobs and may close four German factories.

Outside those major cities, countless smaller communities depend on suppliers, which form the backbone of the German economy. The state of Baden-Württemberg, which includes Friedrichshafen, has a particularly dense concentration of these specialized “Mittelstand” companies.

The challenges facing Volkswagen, Mercedes and BMW reverberate at suppliers like ZF. The number of people employed in German auto manufacturing has fallen to 691,500 this year from 834,000 in 2018, according to official figures. Experts expect the number to continue to decline.

"CEO Jensen Huang resigns, Colette Kress named interim chief" (NVDA)

November 17th will be the first time in 43 quarterly earnings calls that we haven't checked in  with Mr. Huang on what's what in GPUs.

The job that Ms. Kress is taking on is almost mind-boggling complex, we wish her the best. 

From CNBC, November 12:

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang is stepping down as CEO of the chipmaker he co-founded 33 years ago and built into a $4 trillion company that powered the artificial intelligence boom, the company announced Thursday.

CFO Colette Kress has been named interim CEO.

“The Board has full confidence in Colette and the leadership team, and we expect the company’s operations, customer commitments and product roadmap to continue without interruption,” said board chair Harvey Jones in a release announcing the news.

The company will begin the search for a permanent CEO to replace Huang and will consider both internal and external candidates, according to the release.

Kress also provided a statement in the release, but Huang was not quoted....

....MUCH MORE 

"Nvidia Draws 4 Downgrades in 2 Days as Targets Average $239" (NVDA)

It's a brave, crazy or opportunistic analyst who puts a price target on the unknown.

From FourWeekMBA, November 12:

Oppenheimer and William Blair downgraded Nvidia on 12 November, Investing.com reported, making four rating downgrades of the chipmaker in two days by our count, after Baird and Bernstein. Oppenheimer moved to Perform from Outperform and removed its price target; William Blair moved to Market Perform from Outperform....

....MORE (graphical depiction) 

The stock is down $12.68 (-7.30%) in very active, very early pre-market trade. $161.05 last.

Wednesday, November 11, 2026

Nvidia: Board Meeting Remotely, CFO Colette Kress Mooted As Interim CEO (NVDA)

She does know a lot about the business. 

From Semafor:

Updated Nov 11, 2026, 7:15pm PST 

Nvidia board prepares to oust CEO, name interim chief

The Scoop

Some members of Nvidia’s board favor appointing Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress as interim CEO at the beleaguered chipmaker if CEO and founder Jensen Huang is ousted, according to people familiar with the matter.

The full board has yet to make a decision but the company’s directors are scheduled to meet Wednesday evening, these people said. Semafor earlier confirmed that Nvidia’s board is preparing to oust Huang as soon as Wednesday, after media reports detailed that he had a second extramarital affair. The Nvidia board briefed the White House on its planned meeting, according to a senior administration official.

Nvidia has tapped an outside search firm to find the company’s next CEO, Bloomberg reported. One person being considered for the top job is Apple hardware chief Johny Srouji, who was among the executives considered for Intel CEO in 2019, according to another person familiar with the matter....

....MUCH MORE 

 The stock is trading down $13.03 (-7.50%) to $160.70 in overnight action.

Nvidia: Revelation Of Second Affair + Nvidia's Board Prepares To Terminate Huang's Employment (NVDA)

First up, from the New York Times:

Nov. 11, 2026Updated 8:57 p.m. ET 
Jensen Huang Said to Have Had Relationship With Nvidia Executive Who Reports to Him
Mr. Huang, Nvidia’s chief executive, is already facing scrutiny over an affair with a Chinese businesswoman who U.S. intelligence determined was a Chinese spy.

Jensen Huang, the leader of Nvidia who is under investigation for an affair with a woman who U.S. intelligence determined is a Chinese spy, also had an extramarital relationship with an executive who reports to him, according to five people who worked at the company.

The relationship, which has not been previously reported, was with Kimberly Powell, Nvidia’s vice president of health care, said the people, who spoke under the condition of anonymity to describe sensitive information. Under Nvidia’s code of conduct, employees are told to “avoid situations where our actions create conflict” including “personal relationships,” and the company states that it “promptly investigates reports of misconduct.” Many corporations have policies against managers having relationships with subordinates.

Mr. Huang, 63, and Ms. Powell, 48, were captured on video being affectionate at a San Jose, Calif., hotel during a Nvidia conference in March, according to two of the people who worked at the company. The New York Times has not seen the video.

Both Mr. Huang and Ms. Powell are married to other people.

Mr. Huang, who co-founded Nvidia in 1993 and has turned it into the premier supplier of artificial intelligence chips, has been under intensifying scrutiny. Last month, The Times reported that a Chinese executive he had become close to had been identified by U.S. officials as a Chinese intelligence asset.

This month, after Mr. Huang acknowledged the affair, Nvidia’s board opened an investigation into the matter that is being led by the law firm Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz. The Republican leaders of three influential House committees have also asked Mr. Huang to appear for a closed-door briefing on his interactions with the woman, who goes by the name Alice Huang....

....MORE 

And at the Wall Street Journal, Updated ET: 

Exclusive
Nvidia Is Preparing to Oust CEO Jensen Huang
Move follows company investigation into an affair with a Chinese woman alleged to be a spy 

Nvidia's board is preparing to oust CEO Jensen Huang after he had two extramarital affairs, including one with a suspected Chinese spy and another with an employee.

The board is planning to meet as soon as Wednesday to determine his future, people familiar with the matter said. His departure would bring down the curtain on an era during which he stoked the global artificial-intelligence boom and became a geopolitical star. It would leave one of the world’s most valuable companies in need of a new leader.
 
Huang, a co-founder of Nvidia, is seen by many as the face of the AI arms race. Known for his leather jackets and near-constant appearances at conferences and events all around the globe, he spoke with the confidence of a salesman who had just what the world wanted—and he did. Nvidia’s graphics processing units, high powered computer processors packed with billions of transistors, are the central component behind what many believe is the next industrial revolution.

The chipmaker’s importance to global customers made Huang a worldwide celebrity. He frequently met with top U.S. and Chinese officials, and was regularly mobbed by adoring fans when he visited Taiwan, his birthplace and the global manufacturing hub of the chip industry.

Then, on Sunday, Huang acknowledged in a letter to staff that he had been unfaithful to his wife and apologized for violating his family’s and his employees’ trust. That affair involved Alice Huang, an executive at the Singapore-based data company Megaspeed, which has been a major Nvidia customer and who U.S. intelligence officials believe is working for China’s intelligence services.

The Nvidia CEO also had an affair with Kimberly Powell, a senior executive at Nvidia who runs the company’s healthcare business, according to a person familiar with the matter. The New York Times earlier reported the second affair. Powell didn’t respond to requests for comment.

Shares of Nvidia were down about 8% after hours, extending a recent slide following the revelation that Nvidia’s board was investigating Jensen Huang’s relationship with Alice Huang. The top executive, 63, is Nvidia’s largest shareholder, owning about 3.6% of the company, and has become one of the richest people in the world.

Huang, who has roughly 60 direct reports, has said he doesn’t believe in succession planning and that leaders should continuously pass on knowledge and information as they have it. It wasn’t immediately clear who would succeed him.

Nvidia’s latest proxy statement warns that it is “highly dependent on the services of our longstanding executive team” and that the failure to ensure effective succession planning could “hinder our strategic planning, execution, and long-term success.”....

....MUCH MORE