Thursday, October 17, 2024

Reserves: "New NY Fed tools suggests balance sheet draw down has more room to run"

From Reuters via MSN, October 17:

The Federal Reserve faces no imminent pressure to stop the ongoing contraction of its balance sheet, according to a new tool launched Thursday by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

The new gauge, which the bank calls Reserve Demand Elasticity, seeks to measure how liquid bank reserves, a key aspect of financial sector liquidity, are. The bank said the new measure will help Fed officials better manage the uncertain process of cutting their holdings of bonds, in a process called quantitative tightening, or QT. 

The new tool is designed to serve as an early warning indicator of impending reserve scarcity. The bank said in a blog posting that the measure will help spot the transition point between abundant levels of liquidity, toward the “ample” but undefined level of reserves policymakers say they are aiming for.

As of data available on Oct. 11, the measure indicates “reserves remain abundant. These latest RDE estimates are indistinguishable from zero, meaning that the federal funds rate does not significantly respond to shifts in reserve supply.” For reference, negative RDE readings suggest tighter liquidity.....

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Here's the New York Fed - Reserve Demand Elasticity (RDE)