Friday, July 26, 2024

"U.S. Accuses Prominent Short Seller Andrew Left of Fraud"

I always wondered why guys like Left got away with, what is on its face, stock manipulation.

From the Wall Street Journal, July 26:

Citron founder manipulated stocks by issuing misleading research reports that led to quick trading profits, prosecutors allege

Federal prosecutors on Friday charged famed short seller Andrew Left with fraud, accusing him of routinely making exaggerated or misleading statements about stocks to quickly profit on price moves caused by his reports.

The charges mark a major turn of fortune for the bombastic investor, who called his firm Citron Research because it analyzes the “lemons” of the stock market. He scored a major hit a decade ago with well-timed bets against onetime highflier Valeant Pharmaceuticals International but hadn’t matched that success more recently.

An indictment returned by a Los Angeles grand jury accused Left of essentially trading on his name and reputation, announcing his bets and naming price targets far from where a stock was trading. Left quickly closed his positions after his statements caused prices to move in the direction he wanted, the indictment says.

An attorney for Left didn’t immediately return messages seeking comment.

His appearances on cable news networks and statements on social media magnified the impact of his reports and caused others to follow his bets, according to prosecutors.

Left “used his platform as a securities commentator to manipulate the markets and enrich himself in the process,” said Los Angeles U.S. Attorney Martin Estrada, whose office brought the case.

The Securities and Exchange Commission also sued Left and Citron in Los Angeles federal court, accusing him of civil securities fraud.

Left, who operated out of Los Angeles for most of his career, faces criminal charges of securities fraud and lying to federal investigators. The indictment says he manipulated the prices of at least 15 stocks over a five-year period, earning illegal profits of $16 million. He sometimes suggested stock prices would fall by 50% or more but closed his positions after share prices had moved only a couple of percent, according to the indictment.

In an interview with The Wall Street Journal in 2015, Left said he tried to make Citron’s research more appealing than the typical Wall Street fare. “Sometimes you have a great story and the biggest challenge is, ‘How do I get people to read it?’ ” Left said at the time. “Wall Street research is painfully boring. I enjoy being entertaining.”

Many stocks that Left alleged to be powered by fraud later became targets of regulators. More than 50 companies covered by Citron Research were the subject of regulatory investigations, lawsuits or exchange delisting since 2001, his website says. He was sometimes right when he accused companies of questionable or fraudulent practices.

His work on drug giant Valeant, which questioned how it used a network of pharmacies it controlled, was largely on the mark. An executive at Valeant was later convicted of involvement in a kickback scheme that funneled business to the pharmacies.

Left’s indictment caps a three-year effort by the Los Angeles U.S. Attorney’s Office and fraud-section prosecutors in Washington, D.C., to examine the tactics short sellers use to instigate and then profit from a stock’s decline. Short sellers borrow shares from other investors and then sell them, in hopes that they can buy them back cheaper later and pocket the difference.

The Justice Department seized hardware, trading records and private communications as prosecutors looked for wide-ranging conspiracies and evidence of market manipulation, The Wall Street Journal reported two years ago....

....MUCH MORE

HT that the story was out there, ZeroHedge.

One recent short seller that we commented on: ""Hindenburg Research Targets Equinix In New Short Report Claiming Data Center Firm Is Selling 'AI Pipe Dream' (UPDATED)" EQIX"

And some previous posts on Citron, apparently I was trying to start a fight and maybe get some sweet, sweet legal discovery:

2017: "How the Hell Did Bloomberg Do An Article On Andrew Left's Latest Short Target And Not Mention His NVIDIA and Tesla Short Fails?"

2017: "As NVIDIA Hits Intraday and Closing All-Time Highs Citron's Mr. Left Has a New Tactic (NVDA)"

2017: "NVIDIA: How Have Citron Research's Previous Tweets Affected Their Targets? (NVDA; TSLA)"

2017: Another Huge Miss From Citron and Andrew Left: Who Is This Guy? (TSLA; NVDA; MBLY; CC)

What the Hell?

At $186 the guy says Tesla is going to $100, it's at $281.
At $119 he says NVIDIA is going to $90 gets the initial drop and chickens out. Today the stock is at $108.
He says he's switching the short from NVIDIA to Mobileye with a $35 target.
17 days later MBLY agrees to be acquired by Intel at $63.54.

We have many more posts on Citron and Left including the 2022 investigations:

"FBI Raids and Subpoenas Have Been Occurring on Wall Street. What’s Up?"

"Stellantis considers selling Maserati as orders go into reverse" (STLA)

Part of a bigger suite of changes at the marque collector.

From The Telegraph via MSN, July 25:

Stellantis is considering putting Italian carmaker Maserati up for sale after shipments halved, triggering a €349m (£294m) writedown on the brand. 

The owner of the Jeep, Peugeot and Vauxhall brands said revenues from its Maserati cars fell to €631m in the first six months of 2024, down from €1.3bn a year ago.

sell off underperforming brands, adding there was “absolutely no taboo” about ditching assets.

Maserati, whose supercars cost as much as £222,000, has pledged that all of its models will have an electric alternative from next year as part of its “Folgore” line – Italian for lightning. It also committed to a fully electric line up by 2030.

The company recorded its first operating loss since its owner Stellantis was created by the merger of Fiat Chrysler and France’s Peugeot in 2021.

The division lost €82m in the first half of the year, compared to a €121m profit 12 months earlier. 

Stellantis has previously prided itself on ending the “boom and bust” of the luxury brand, saying it expected the division to be consistently profitable.

On Thursday, the company took a €300m writedown on the business, which Natalie Knight, its chief financial officer, said was down to “resetting” the division’s business plan. Maserati has been told to cut costs as it waits for its bet on EVs to pay off.

Maserati started selling its first electric vehicle, the £180,000 GranTurismo Folgore, in February, although it did not start delivering the cars until June, meaning it will have only had a minor impact on the figures....

....MUCH MORE

And from the Associated Press, July 25:

Carmaker Stellantis pledges to tackle problems in North America as profits plunge

Stellantis CEO Carlos Tavares pledged action to tackle problems in North America and elsewhere Thursday after reporting a plunge in first-half earnings.

U.S.-European automaker Stellantis reported net profits down by half in the first half of the year due largely to lower sales and restructuring costs.

The carmaker, which was created in 2021 from the merger of Fiat-Chrysler with PSA Peugeot, reported net profits of 5.6 billion euros ($6 billion) in the period, down 48% compared with 11 billion euros in the same period last year. Revenues in the period dropped 14% to 85 billion euros.

Tavares acknowledged that the performance “fell short of our expectations, reflecting both a challenging industry context as well as our own operational issues.” He said the issues were being addressed, and expressed hope the launch of 20 new vehicles this year would improve profits.

He pointed to North America as a place where there is “significant work to do,” including inventory management and sliding market share.

The company reported adjusted operating income of 8.5 billion euros ($9.23 billion), down 5.7 billion euros from the first half of last year. Stellantis said the drop was primarily due to decreases in North America....

....MUCH MORE

On a generally up day STLA is down $0.64 (3.54%) at $17.45.

"The Zombie Mall King Doesn’t Want to Be a Bottom-Feeder Forever"

Although Bloomborg has reduced or eliminated the use of SEO-optimized headline* we still see ghosts of past glory from time to time.

From Bloomberg Businessweek, July 18:

Jamie Salter has bought and revived dozens of bankrupt retailers from Barneys to Brooks Brothers. Now he’s going after bigger game.

Almost every US president has been inaugurated in a Brooks Brothers suit. Civil War soldiers were outfitted in the brand. Hollywood costume designers consistently turned to Brooks Brothers’ archives, whether for The Great Gatsby’s double-breasted waistcoats, the slim 1960s tailoring in Mad Men or the wide lapels of ’80s power suits in Wall Street. But as casual Fridays—and then casual every days—chipped away at suit supremacy, comfort replaced custom tailoring. After a couple of failed ownership changes, the 202-year-old company finally sought Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection soon after the pandemic shut down offices, obviating the need for pants, let alone sport coats. The only one celebrating? Jamie Salter, ready to pounce on the iconic retailer for a fire-sale price, adding it to his portfolio of famous dead brands.

Since its start in 2010, Salter’s Authentic Brands Group LLC had been stalking troubled retailers and picking through their corporate carcasses for one valuable thing: their name. By the time Salter subsumed Brooks Brothers, he’d already bought Aeropostale, Barneys New York, Forever 21, Frye, Jones New York, Nine West and Volcom, disassembling and resurrecting them into hundreds of products. It was a business model with little overhead: Authentic purchases a store chain’s intellectual property, usually for somewhere in the low-mid nine figures, and finds contractors to do the design, manufacturing and pretty much everything else but marketing. That way it gets brands that every shopper knows without taking on all the debt, rent and headcount that sank said brands. By the end of the pandemic, Authentic had devoured a mall’s worth of zombie brands, including Eddie Bauer, Izod, Lucky Brand, Van Heusen and part of JCPenney.

The feast was years in the making. Well before Covid-19 decimated foot traffic and Amazon.com seduced shoppers, the private equity industry had ravaged retail through leveraged buyouts that left many too heavily indebted and eventually needing to file for bankruptcy. “People thought the value of a bankrupt brand was zero,” Salter says. “But why would it be zero? So I came up with a strategy to put a value on it.”

Authentic, which Salter says was valued at about $17 billion this year, now owns more than 50 brands and is the third-largest licensor of IP after Walt Disney Co. and media conglomerate Meredith Corp. Its portfolio generates more than $29 billion in annual retail sales, according to the company, which collects a guaranteed minimum royalty of about 5% of each licensee’s annual estimated sales, even if they don’t hit those numbers. But even with those kinds of numbers, Salter, a feisty extrovert with a habit of making midnight brainstorming calls to his business partners, doesn’t want to be a bottom-feeder forever.

During the past four years, Authentic has pushed beyond bankrupt brands into bigger deals, more countries, healthier targets and entirely new industries. The shift began in 2019 with its purchase of Sports Illustrated. Two years later, Salter made his biggest acquisition yet, buying Reebok International Ltd.—fading, though hardly on its deathbed—for $2.5 billion from Adidas AG. Soon after, he bought a majority stake in David Beckham’s lifestyle brand for about $269 million in a deal that made the soccer star a top Authentic shareholder, alongside fellow celebrity-entrepreneur Shaquille O’Neal. Last month, Authentic announced it would continue chasing massive sports-related deals, buying Champion from Hanesbrands Inc. for $1.2 billion. “This was his vision,” Beckham says of Salter’s desire to be a sports and entertainment mogul. “And if me and Shaq have played a little bit of a part in that, well, then that was always the plan on Jamie’s side.”....

*At least I think they were trying to optimize. It is possible they were simply nuts:

November 2013
Strange Bloomberg Headlines Are Still With Us
After last August's Hoyt Review (Recommendations Following a Review of the Relationship Between the News and Commercial Operations of Bloomberg LP) there was fear among the cognoscenti* that the era of Search Engine Optimized Bloomberg headlines had come to an end.

It appears those fears were misplaced at least as far as the SBH Tumblr was concerned: 
UBS Sees Banker Grounds Riff Like Keith Richards Winning Asia Equity Deals

Sex With Dementia Facing Boomers Spurs Elderly Care Group to Seek Policies
Crop Insurance Hazards Shown in Lost Pheasants in Grasslands

Fed Bubble Agonistes Persists as Zero Rates Prompt Great Debate 

France Ranks Companies in Carrot-Baguette Gender-Equality Push

Public Vasectomy With Band-Aid Promotes Family Planning
*See:
Quartz: Bloomberg’s very strange headlines are in danger of making sense

FT Alphaville: Goldman Gratuity Rankles Hoyt Scolding Newspersons: Compliance
Alphaville Looks at Strange Bloomberg Headlines

And our own posts: 
Bloomberg Goes SEO Crazy in the Headline: "Obama $8 Billion Solar Betamax Unwinds as China Backs Rival" (FSLR; GE; SI)
On Bloomberg Headline Writing
From the Strange Bloomberg Headlines blog
Really Bad Business Writing (plus Orwell's rules of writing)

Transmission/Grid: Prysmian Has Received A €450 million Contract From The European Investment Bank (PRY:Milan)

Time to string some lines.This is the name for transmission cable. 

Press Release from the company, July 24:

EIB provides €450 million to Prysmian to promote European energy transition 

  • Operations will take place in Finland, Italy and France.
  • The new funds will go towards manufacturing extra-high-voltage submarine power cables and high-voltage onshore cables, and other upgrades to existing cables.
  • The project supports the objectives of REPowerEU, for which the EIB has earmarked additional financing of €45 billion by 2027.
The European Investment Bank (EIB) and Prysmian, world leader in the power and telecom cables sector, have signed a new, €450 million finance contract to facilitate electricity transmission and distribution in Europe.

With a view to meeting the growing demand for renewable energy in general and offshore wind in particular, Prysmian will use the EIB funds to build new production lines for extra-high-voltage submarine cables, lines for high-voltage onshore cables and other technical improvements to existing lines.

The EIB-financed investment will enable Prysmian to double its production capacity for extruded cables at its three factories in Pikkala (Finland), Pozzuoli (Italy) and Gron (France) from around 2 000 km a year to over 4 000 km a year. This will help to meet EU targets for clean energy transmission via submarine cable solutions and long-distance interconnections, improving the integration and efficiency of renewable energy.

According to Prysmian estimates and in line with time frames and procedures that are still being defined, this investment will also promote the creation of new jobs, thereby generating major economic benefits for the countries involved.

The project is fully in line with the EIB’s climate action and environmental sustainability goals and the REPowerEU framework, which the EU bank has committed to support with €45 billion of additional investment by 2027. In addition, almost half of the operations covered by the agreement will take place in cohesion regions such as Campania in Italy and Burgundy in France, thereby helping to address regional economic disparities and promoting more balanced and inclusive economic development....

....MUCH MORE

The stock is sort of boring:

 Chart Image

5 years of prices via TradingView  

In a good way. 62.00 EUR up 0.50 (+0.81%) last.

Previously:

January 2024
"There’s a Shortage of Electrical Wires, Transformers. That’s Good for These Stocks."
April 2024
Grid: How U.S. Electrical Transmission Lines Will Be Rebuilt—Reconductoring
April 2024
Electrical Transmission: Speaking Of The Farsighted Italians...

Our interest had been in General Cable which PRY snatched up in 2017, as noted in the reconductoring post.

Associated Press: JD Vance Did Not Have Sex With A Piece Of Furniture

So no coucher for the Veep candidate?

From CNN's Andy Kaczynski:

Inflation: June Headline Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index Up 0.1% MoM; Up 2.5% YoY

From the Bureau of Economic Analysis, July 26:

....Prices
From the preceding month, the PCE price index for June increased 0.1 percent (table 5). Prices for goods decreased 0.2 percent and prices for services increased 0.2 percent. Food prices increased  0.1 percent and energy prices decreased 2.1 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.2percent. Detailed monthly PCE price indexes can be found on Table 2.4.4U.

From the same month one year ago, the PCE price index for June increased 2.5 percent (table 7). Prices for goods decreased 0.2 percent and prices for services increased 3.9 percent. Food prices increased 1.4percent and energy prices increased 2.0 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 2.6 percent from one year ago....

....MUCH MORE (10 page PDF)

Thursday, July 25, 2024

"Salmon’s Getting More Expensive. Blame Bloodsucking Sea Lice"

 From The Wall Street Journal July 23:

Atlantic salmon, though unremarkable in size, is a big fish in the culinary world. But producers face a pesky problem to keep salmon king.

Health-conscious consumers who covet its brain-enriching Omega-3 have helped make salmon one of the fastest-growing food sources on the planet. Victoria Beckham told The Wall Street Journal last year she considers it a dietary staple. She’s not alone. In America, salmon is the second-most popular seafood after shrimp.

The fish frenzy has driven prices higher and spawned new billionaires, such as Gustav Magnar Witzøe, a 31-year-old Norwegian heir to a salmon fortune and a fashion model who made a splash at this year’s Met Gala in a salmon-colored Versace cape.

Norway’s fjords and coasts are the farmed fish’s top habitat, with around 500 million salmon swimming in the chilly waters—a ratio of roughly 90 Norwegian salmon to every Norwegian human.

Atlantic salmon farming, introduced as overfishing and river pollution shrank the wild salmon population, increased 74 times from 1985 to 2022. Salmon are bred in tanks on land, then moved into the ocean, where they swim in giant ring-shaped nets until they’re ready for human consumption.

But these days, the industry is swimming upstream.

Crosscurrents
Atlantic salmon production dipped in 2022 and ’23, as disease outbreaks and a surge in jellyfish attacks ravaged the fish. Norway’s plentiful fjords have filled up. The coastlines of Chile—the world’s second-largest producer—are also saturated. There aren’t many new places to rear the fish, which require year-round cool temperatures and mild currents. 

Some analysts anticipate a sharp slowdown as governments move to curtail farming, concerned in part that farmed salmon—bred selectively to gain weight quickly—are escaping their nets and spreading their wonky genetics to their cousins in the wild. Canada, a top producer, recently stopped granting new licenses to coastal open-net salmon farms in British Columbia to protect the state’s wild salmon population. 

Another big reason governments are clamping down: an explosion of bloodsucking, treatment-resistant fish lice.

These parasites are no small-fry. They lay hundreds of eggs at a time and quickly permeate shallow coastal waters, sucking at the flesh of cooped-up salmon.

To fight infestation, companies are employing an ever-expanding arsenal, from mechanical brushes that delouse fish to underwater lasers that zap these villains of the salmon-farming world.

“They are spending so much money trying to come up with new ideas and tools to combat the problems,” said Lars Daniel Garshol, lead salmonids analyst at Kontali, a Norwegian seafood analysis company. “But they’re having a hard time solving them.”

Lumpfish lunch?
Take, for example, this fishy solution: Some farmers began dumping lumpfish—stout, grumpy-looking creatures that snack on sea lice—into salmon pens. Only to have many of the fish take a liking to salmon food pellets over lice. Some also developed cataracts, making hunting the parasites harder.

Researchers are now looking for ways to identify the most eager lice-eaters with the aim of selectively breeding them. A study at Swansea University in Wales concluded that personality tests could be used to build “elite” lines of cleaner fish. Part of the research involved dumping a yellow golf ball and a green Lego brick into lumpfish tanks, to see which fish would be bold enough to make an approach.

There’s also the question of what to do with the fish when their time is up. Researchers with close ties to the industry have tried to find markets that would fancy a lumpfish lunch. It’s a tough sell.

Participants in one study said the fish’s flesh was tasteless, and they were turned off by the fact the fish were raised on lice.

“They thought it was rather scary looking and very unappetizing,” said market researcher Gøril Voldnes of Nofima, a Norwegian government-owned research institute. 

One of the more powerful tools being deployed in the battle against lice—laser death rays—didn’t seem like such a promising notion at the start.

When John Breivik, a veteran of Norway’s oil-and-gas industry, approached salmon farmers in 2010 with the idea of zapping lice with lasers, he was met with incredulity. “Every fish farmer that we met said: This is science fiction, this is ‘Star Wars,’ ” said Breivik.

Stingray Marine Solutions, the company he created with colleagues in 2012, used machine learning to teach underwater lasers to recognize the shape of lice and fire off pulses. Their maximum kill speed is three to five lice a second. Crucially, the beam is weak enough that if it hits salmon, it bounces off their scales.

A Stingray factory opened in November to produce over 1,000 laser sets annually. Each costs around $45,000 a year.

Alf-Gøran Knutsen, a third-generation salmon farmer and first-generation laser-user, is general manager of the Kvarøy Group, a Whole Foods supplier with a salmon farm on the Arctic Circle. A few years ago Knutsen dumped his lumpfish, which struggled with their health, and replaced them with an armada of 82 Stingray lasers.

“Right now we’re at 150,000-200,000 shots per laser a day,” he said. “That’s an insane number, and that also tells you we are able to control the lice situation at the moment.”....

....MUCH MORE

The fact they have to take so many shots tells us this is not an elegant solution.

We too have heard the siren call of laser de-lousing...

July 2, 2020 
Oh it was looking like the future I was promised back in July 2019:

"Remote-controlled Salmon Farms to Operate Off Norway by 2020" 
"And then Mr. Poisonnier, the robots massage the salmon..."

And it just got better and better:
Also at IEEE Spectrum:
Lice-Hunting Underwater Drone Protects Salmon With Laser

Sadly, The Fish Site reports:
Study shoots down sea louse laser

The efficacy of a laser-firing device that has been designed to reduce sea lice pressures on farmed salmon has been called into question by new research.

Innovative lice lasers developed by Stingray have been deployed by numerous salmon farming companies over the course of the last decade, but this newly published study – which took place at a commercial salmon farm operated by Bremnes Seashore in Norway – suggests they are not always effective....MORE

On the other hand lasers seem to work pretty efficiently against slower moving life forms:

2013: Dear Monsanto: "Weed Control Using Laser" (and robots) MON

However, like Mark Twain's cat*, having been burned once we did not pursue the weed-zappers:
"This startup says its new laser-armed weeding robot is already sold out for 2021"
Nyuh, uh, uh. Fool me once....
*From Twain's travelogue Following The Equator:

"We should be careful to get out of an experience only the wisdom that is in it—and stop there; lest we be like the cat that sits down on a hot stove-lid. She will never sit down on a hot stove-lid again—and that is well; but also she will never sit down on a cold one anymore."

"Britain’s Crown Estate Post Record Profits on Offshore Wind Licenses"

 From Reuters via gCaptain, July 24:

Britain’s Crown Estate, which manages King Charles’ public property, posted a record profit for 2023/24 of 1.1 billion pounds ($1.42 billion), boosted by income from offshore wind leases, its results showed on Wednesday.

The Crown Estate, which comprises tracts of land and most of Britain’s sea bed, is an independently run, commercial business, whose profits go to the Treasury.

They are also used as the benchmark for the level of public funding for the Royal Family.

Crown Estate’s net revenue profit reached 1.1 billion pounds for April 2023-March 31 2024, up from 442.6 million pounds for the same period in 2022/23 as it generated bumper revenue from an offshore wind farm lease tender held in 2021 called round 4....

....MUCH MORE

Related, August 2023:
How King Charles III Came To Own The Seabed
Slippery headline. He doesn't really own the primordial goo, just a cut of whatever income it can throw off. 

That piece has links to posts going back to 2008 including one with this bit of doggerel from 2011:

...THE stately Turbines of England,
   How beautiful they stand!
Amidst their tall ancestral trees,
   O'er all the pleasant land.
The deer across their greensward bound
   Thro' shade and sunny gleam,
And the swan glides past them with the sound
   Of some rejoicing stream. 
(of revenue)
-Felicia Browne Hemans (updated)

Solar: "SunPower’s Meltdown Could Have Wide Impact" (SPWR)

From Barron's, July 22:

Hundreds of thousands of homeowners may need to find an alternate servicers. A number of companies could be affected, too.

SunPower, one of the pioneers of the U.S. solar industry, looks to be on the ropes.

The company told solar dealers and installers that it will no longer lease panels to homeowners last week, after saying in April that it would stop selling panels directly. That makes it likely that SunPower will have to stop operating entirely, said Guggenheim Securities analyst Joe Osha in an interview. On Monday, SunPower shares closed at 72 cents, up 5.4% on the day but down 72% in the past week.

“The business is effectively done as an operating entity,” said Guggenheim Partners analyst Joe Osha. “Their network of [solar panel] dealers is basically evaporating as we speak.” SunPower didn’t respond to requests for comment. In December, it had said it might not be able to continue as a “going concern,” putting its future in doubt.

Hundreds of thousands of homeowners have SunPower gear and may need to find an alternate servicer. The company’s meltdown also could impact a broad group of companies in solar, renewable energy, and banking. Companies with ties to SunPower include oil company TotalEnergies , solar equipment-maker Enphase , clean energy finance firm HA Sustainable Infrastructure Energy , and financial giant Bank of America .

Other players that could be impacted include SunPower’s competitors Sunrun and Sunnova Energy International , which some analysts expect to profit from a top competitor’s weakness. As of the first quarter, SunPower was tied for third in solar power system installations, according to energy research and consulting firm Wood Mackenzie. 

One reason SunPower’s influence is so wide is that the company has been around since the dawn of the U.S. solar industry. The California-based company was co-founded in 1985 by a Stanford professor, not long after President Jimmy Carter attempted to jumpstart the industry by putting solar panels on the roof of the White House. In its early years, SunPower mostly focused on making solar equipment. But in 2020, it spun off its solar module manufacturing business into a new publicly traded company called Maxeon to focus on selling or leasing panels to consumers.

In the past few years, most of SunPower’s operations have involved leasing solar panels or the power they provide to homeowners, instead of selling them outright. That model depends on lenders to finance those panels, and dealers to sell and install them for the homeowners. Among the lenders that have worked with SunPower is Bank of America, which declined to comment. The consumers pay a monthly fee for the service, and government subsidies help cover the rest of the cost. SunPower had 586,250 customers as of the end of 2023....

....MUCH MORE

Also at Barron's July 22:

Solar Stocks Aren’t Having a Good Run. Why They’re Still a Buy.
The sector has been hit by high interest rates, low power prices, and uncertainty about the U.S. election. 

Our interest in solar stocks is pretty much confined to the big dog, First Solar about whom we wrote on July 2: "First Solar will report their second quarter numbers in four weeks. We expect beats top and bottom and guidance to match or exceed the street. The Go-Go's are on standby for...". 

Here are our three most recent posts on SunPower

July 19: "Solar: Sunpower Not So Hot (SPWR)"

April 26: "U.S. solar companies, imperiled by price collapse, demand protection"

December 18, 2023: "Solar: Going Concern Warning From SunPower (SPWR)"

GM Walks Away From Big EV Investments

From 24/7 Wall Street, July 24:

  • General Motors Co. (NYSE: GM) has slowed its electric vehicle (EV) plans.
  • Investors will no longer tolerate large EV investments.

General Motors Co. (NYSE: GM) said two things about its electric vehicle (EV) plans when it announced earnings. The first was in the shareholder letter: “As excited as we are about our EVs and our early success, we are committed to disciplined volume growth, which is the key to earning positive variable profits from our portfolio in the fourth quarter, which remains our goal.” Many thought the automaker’s investment in EVs was too aggressive. GM has slowed the process to show investors it will not overspend.

According to The Wall Street Journal, the second sign was “GM Chief Executive Mary Barra told Wall Street analysts Tuesday that GM is deferring investments to ensure the company doesn’t get ahead of demand.” This is part of a significant reversal of GM’s plan to have the capacity to produce a million EVs in 2025. Management said the target was now “flexible” based on demand....

....MORE

Earnings: Ford Reports, Stock Gets Whacked 14% Pre-Market (F)

The company reported after yesterday's close and the stock reacted by dropping ~13%. It was down a bit more than that this morning before recovering a bit to down $1.76 (-12.87%) at $11.91.

First up, from Bloomberg, July 24:

Ford Profit Falls Short on Quality Problems, Warranty Costs

  • Automaker lowers 2024 profit outlook for gas, hybrid vehicles
  • Shares tumble as much as 13% after earnings come up short

Ford Motor Co. posted second-quarter profit that fell short of Wall Street estimates, saying quality problems with its vehicles led to a surge in warranty costs.

The automaker Wednesday reported adjusted earnings of 47 cents a share, missing the 67 cents that analysts expected on average. Second-quarter revenue rose 6.2% to $47.8 billion.

“We still have lots of work ahead of us to raise quality and reduce costs and complexity, but the team is committed and we’re heading in the right direction,” Chief Financial Officer John Lawler said in a statement.

Ford’s warranty costs rose $800 million from the first quarter, Lawler told reporters on a call. He blamed the quality problems on models built in 2021 and earlier.

“That was a one time in the quarter,” Lawler said. “We can’t read this quarter as the year is coming off track — it’s not.”

Ford has struggled to fix stubborn quality problems, which have driven up warranty costs and put the company at a significant disadvantage to rivals, Chief Executive Officer Jim Farley has said.

Last year, Ford spent $4.8 billion fixing customers’ cars. Early this year, the automaker held some 60,000 redesigned F-150 pickup trucks in lots around Detroit for extra quality checks. Farley said that helped the company avoid 12 recalls and said that would be the process going forward for all new models....

....MUCH MORE

Meanwhile MarketWatch points out that Ford still has not figured out how to turn a profit on electric vehicles, July 24: 

Ford saw a $1.1 billion loss in its EV business, dragging Q2 profit well below Wall Street forecast 

Ford’s stock drops more than 11% on well-off-the-mark EPS, another big loss for EV business; CEO Farley flicks interest in EV partnership

Shares of Ford Motor Co. fell 11.6% in the extended session Wednesday after the car maker reported quarterly profits well below Wall Street’s expectations and notched another billion-dollar loss on EVs.

The results also raised concerns about Ford’s F segment dedicated to traditionally powered vehicles. Investors were hoping for a guidance increase for Ford Blue, as the business unit is called. Instead, Ford cut its guidance for Blue.

“The remaking of Ford is not without its growing pains,” Ford Chief Executive Jim Farley said on a call with investors after the results. “We look forward to proving our EV strategy out. That has become more realistic and sharpened by the tough environment.”

Ford is “confident” it can reduce losses and sustain a profitable business in the future, he added. The car maker plans to focus on “very differentiated” EVs priced under $40,000 and $30,000, and on two segments, work and adventure, Farley said.

Larger EVs will be part of the picture, but success there will require more breakthroughs on costs, the CEO said, adding that Ford’s EV journey overall has been “humbling.”

The executive also said Ford is open to partnerships in EVs. “I would just emphasize that the ambition at Ford for partnering on EVs is record level high,” Farley said. “We’re not going to make any announcements in the earnings call, but this is absolutely a flip-the-script moment for our company.”....

....MUCH MORE

Capital Markets: "Yen's Surge Continues, while PBOC Surprises with Another Rate Cut, and US 2-30 Year Yield Curve Ends Inversion"

From Marc to Market:

Overview: The capital markets are in flux. The powerful short-covering rally of the yen and unwinding of carry trades continues. For the second time this week, the PBOC has surprised by cutting interest rates. The dramatic sell-off of equities continues. The unexpected contraction of South Korea's Q2 GSP (-0.2%) is seen as confirmation of broader economic weakness Speculation of a more aggressive Federal Reserve is gaining ground. It is not that the odds of a cut next week have improved much (~10%), but the derivative markets are pricing in about 25% chance of a 50 bp cut in September. The US 2-10-year yield curve is the least inverted in two years (~-13 bp), while 2-30-year curve is positive sloped by the most in two years (+14 bp). The dollar-bloc currencies and Scandis are bearing the brunt of the downside adjustment among the G10 currencies.

Equities are a sea of red after the sharp losses in the US yesterday. The Nikkei was of nearly 3.3% today and most of the bourses, with the notable exception of India were off more than 1%. Taiwan's market remains closed due to the typhoon. Europe's Stoxx 600 is off about 1.5%, which, if sustained, would be the largest loss in three months. US index futures are sporting a softer profile. However, bonds are rallying. European benchmark 10-year yields are more 1-4 bp lower and periphery-core premiums are widening. The 10-year US Treasury yield is off nearly six basis points to a little below 4.23%. The two-year yield is off about seven basis points to slightly below 4.36%. Gold is extending is retreat. It set a record a week ago near $2484 and is now about $110 lower. Nearby support is seen near $2350. September WTI is under pressure. It approached $76 earlier today, its lowest level since early June. Its recent peak was on July 5 around $83.60....

....MUCH MORE

Wednesday, July 24, 2024

Markets: "There's something wrong with our bloody ships today, Chatfield"

Comment of Admiral Beatty to his Flag Captain at the battle of Jutland after HMS Queen Mary blew up, 31 May 1916. It was the second of his ships to be destroyed in 25 minutes:

16:00 hrs-16:05 hrs, Indefatigable explodes leaving two survivors.
16:25 hrs, Queen Mary disintegrates, twenty survive.
2200 of his sailors vaporized.
Admiral Beatty was a bit of a dimwit so he was, of course, promoted, appointed First Sea Lord and granted an Earldom.

Although I had posted the story a few times previously, the most memorable usage was on September 15, 2008:
Things that make you go "Hmmm" (AIG; LEH)
Watching Lehman crossing on the tape at two bits. The world's largest property casualty insurer in the $5's. Hmmm. ...
"There's something wrong with our bloody ships today, Chatfield"
First up, the inspiration for the Battle of Jutland ramble:

Stock market news today: Nasdaq sinks over 3% as Tesla, Alphabet triggered tech sell-off

The Nasdaq led US stocks lower on Wednesday after lackluster Alphabet and Tesla earnings stirred up worries that Big Tech's power to fuel gains is fading.

The benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) tumbled about 2.1%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) dropped about 1%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) led the losses, falling about 3.4%.

Stocks are sinking as investors digest mixed quarterly earnings from Google parent Alphabet (GOOGL, GOOG) and Tesla (TSLA), the first of the "Magnificent 7" megacaps to report. EV maker Tesla's stock price slid more than 11%, while Alphabet shares dropped more than 5%.

Chip stocks also tumbled on Wednesday as Nvidia (NVDA) fell roughly 6% while Broadcom (AVGO) and Arm (ARM) each dropped about 7%....

....MORE at Yahoo Finance

And Also at YF, this time originating at the Motley Fool:

Why Tesla Stock Just Crashed 

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) stock fell 11% through 11:45 a.m. ET Wednesday after the company badly missed analyst forecasts for earnings Tuesday night.

Heading into the second-quarter report, Wall Street forecast the electric car leader would earn $0.62 per share on sales of $24.8 billion. Tesla exceeded the latter expectation, reporting Q2 sales of $25.5 billion. But this sales growth came at a cost to profit: Earnings were only $0.52 per share.

Tesla profits collapse
Not all Tesla's news was bad. Notably, the company's energy generation (i.e., solar panels) and storage (i.e., batteries) division -- which believe it or not is now more profitable (with an 18.9% gross profit margin) than the automotive business, doubled in size to $1.5 billion in sales. And free cash flow for the quarter increased nicely to $1.3 billion.

Automotive sales, however, fell 7% year over year. And total sales were up an anemic 2%, despite beating estimates....

....MUCH MORE

Nasdaq 100 futures are down 700 points and the Nikkei had even bigger problems (both via FinViz):

Nasdaq 100 Chart Daily  Nikkei 225 Chart Daily

"Tesla Stock Slides 8%. Earnings Had No ‘Razzle-Dazzle.’" (TSLA)

In late pre-market trade the stock is down $19.97 (-8.11%) at $226.41. 

From Barron's July 24:

The electric-vehicle maker’s second-quarter earnings per share disappointed investors. Now Wall Street is weighing in on Tesla.

After a better-than-feared first-quarter earnings report, Tesla delivered a worse-than-expected second-quarter result. Wall Street wasn’t impressed with the electric-vehicle maker.

Tesla reported second-quarter earnings per share of 52 cents. Wall Street was looking for earnings per share of 61 cents, according to FactSet. The company earned 91 cents a share a year ago.

The numbers were more complicated than usual. The latest quarter includes a $622 million restructuring charge. In April, Tesla disclosed it was taking a charge for employee layoffs, but the $622 million figure was larger than expected. Backing out the charge would add about 14 cents to earnings per share. Regulatory credit sales, however, were roughly $450 million better than expected. That was a positive to offset the negative of a large charge.

Overall, it wasn’t enough to help the stock. Tesla shares were down 8% in premarket trading at $226.66, while S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were off 1% and 1.5%, respectively.

“Underlying second-quarter results were somewhat worse than expected,” wrote Citi analyst Itay Michaeli in a Tuesday report, adding that several positive catalysts are on the horizon, including the Oct. 10 robotaxi event, and new low-price model slated for early 2025. “Though the softer second-quarter auto margin reinforces the importance of these catalysts to support near-term sentiment.”

Michaeli rates Tesla stock at Hold and cut his price target to $258 from $274. Baird analyst Ben Kallo maintained his Buy rating on the shares with a $280 price target following earnings. He is also focused on catalysts.

“Next year is coming quickly,” wrote Kallo in a Tuesday report. He acknowledged weak second-quarter results, adding that “timelines remain intact for the robotaxi unveil as well as the next-generation vehicle alleviating concerns of a longer-term push-out.”....

....MUCH MORE

If interested see also:

U.S. Politics: Who Is Pushing For Arizona Senator Mark Kelly To Be Veep Or Even Prez?

We're certainly not witnessing a rising groundswell but for whatever reason his name was on the WSJ White House reporter Ken Thomas' list of potential Vice-Presidential candidates. Via the New York Post:

Kamala Harris’ campaign vetting VP candidates – but one major name not on list

And ominously for Vice President Harris Kelly is rumored to be the Chicago crowd's preferred candidate for President. For what it's worth, former Obama Attorney General Eric Holder is in charge of vetting the potential Veep candidates while his former boss has not endorsed Harris and instead has called for an open convention.

Additionally, here's the Arizona Repuplic headline from July 8:

Biden said ‘challenge me.’ At the DNC, Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly should

If all these, admittedly ephemeral, points do indeed mean the Senator is being maneuvered into position, here's hoping for V.P. Harris' continued good health. The Chicago crowd can play rough.

Capital Markets: "Greenback and Yen Extend Gains"

From Marc Chandler at Bannockburn Global Forex:

Overview: The dollar's gains have been extended today, but in the risk-off mode, and unwinding of carry positions, the Japanese yen and Swiss franc are firmer. the dollar has stabilized in late European morning turnover. The Bank of Canada is widely expected to cut rates today and the greenback is pushing against CAD1.38, which it has not traded above for three-months. The US dollar gains, which we anticipated, are coming despite interest rates remaining soft. The US 10-year yield is a little lower around 4.23%, it remains within the range set on Monday. A disappointing Eurozone PMI and the risk-off has seen peripheral premiums widen over core rates in Europe. Leaving aside the Russian ruble and the South African rand, most other emerging market currencies, mostly from central Europe and the Mexican peso are leading the decliners.

It is a poor session for equities. Poor earnings are the main trigger. A typhoon led to the closure of Taiwan and Philippine markets, which spared them, at least for the moment, the downdraft, which created a sea of red for the large bourses. Europe's Stoxx 600 is off 0.65%, giving back more than half of the Monday-Tuesday gains, which had snapped a five-day losing streak. US future indices are off sharply, warned of a gap lower opening. Gold is extending yesterday's recovery sightly and reached a three-day high a little below $2420. September WTI stabilized after plunging to $76.40 yesterday, its lowest level in more than a month. Another drop in private US oil inventories (API). If confirmed today, it would be the fourth consecutive draw, the longest streak since last September. Separately, reports suggest that the wildfires in Alberta, Canada are threatening around 10% of the region's oil output.... 

....MUCH MORE

Tuesday, July 23, 2024

Tesla Q2 2024 Earnings Call Transcript (TSLA)

 From Motley Fool Transcribing via Yahoo Finance:

Q2 2024 Earnings Call
Jul 23, 2024, 5:30 p.m. ET

Contents:

  • Prepared Remarks
  • Questions and Answers
  • Call Participants
Prepared Remarks:

Travis Axelrod -- Head of Investor Relations

Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Tesla's second-quarter 2024 Q&A webcast. My name is Travis Axelrod, head of investor relations and I'm joined today by Elon Musk; Vaibhav Taneja; and a number of other executives. Our Q2 results were announced at about 3:00 p.m. Central Time in the update deck we published at the same link as this webcast.

During this call, we will discuss our business outlook and make forward-looking statements. These comments are based on our predictions and expectations as of today. Actual events or results could differ materially due to a number of risks and uncertainties, including those mentioned in our most recent filings with the SEC. [Operator instructions] Before we jump into Q&A, Elon has some opening remarks.

Elon?

Elon Reeve Musk -- Chief Executive Officer and Product Architect

Thank you. So to recap, we saw large adoption and acceleration of EVs and then a bit of a hangover as others struggled to make compelling EVs. So there have been quite a few competing electric vehicles that have entered the market and mostly, they have not done well, but they have discounted their EVs quite substantially, which has made it more a bit difficult for Tesla. We don't see this as a long-term issue, but really as fairly short term.

And we still obviously firmly believe that EVs are best for customers and that the world is headed for a fully electrified transport, not just the cars, but also aircraft and boats. Despite many challenges, the Tesla team did a great job executing and we did achieve record quarterly revenues. Energy storage deployments reached an all-time high in Q2, leading to record profits for the energy business. And we're investing in many future projects, including AI training and inference and great deal of infrastructure to support future products.

We won't get too much into the product road map here because that is reserved for product announcement events. But we are on track to deliver a more affordable model in the first half of next year. The big -- really, by far, the biggest differentiator for Tesla is autonomy. In addition to that, we have scale economies and, I think, we're the most efficient electric vehicle producer in the world.

So this -- while others are pursuing different parts of the AI robotics stack, we're pursuing all of them. This allows for better cost control, more scale, quicker time to market, and a superior product, applying not to -- not just to autonomous vehicles, but to autonomous humanoid robots like Optimus. Regarding full self-driving and Robotaxi, we've made a lot of progress with full self-driving in Q2. And with version 12.5 beginning rollout, we think customers will experience a step change improvement in how well supervised full self-driving works.

Version 12.5 has five times the parameters of 12.4 and finally merged the highway and city stacks. So the highway stack at this point is pretty old. So often the issues people encounter are on the highway. But with 12.5, we finally merged the two stacks.

I still find that most people actually don't know how good the system is. And I would encourage anyone to understand the system better to simply try it out and let the car drive you around. One of the things we're going to be doing just to make sure that people actually understand the capabilities of the car is when delivering a new car and when picking up a car for service to just show people how to use it. And just driving around the block.

Once people use it, they tend to continue using it. So it's very compelling. And this, I think, will be a massive demand driver, even unsupervised full self-driving will be a massive demand driver. And as we increase the miles between intervention, it will transition from supervised full self-driving to unsupervised full self-driving, and we can unlock massive potential in the fleet.

We postponed the Robotaxi product unveil by a couple of months where it's shifted to 10/10, to the 10th of October. And this is because I wanted to make some important changes that I think would improve the vehicle -- the sort of -- the Robotaxi -- the thing -- the main thing that we're going to show. And we're also going to show up a couple of other things. So moving it back a few months allowed us to improve the Robotaxi as well as adding a couple of other things for the product unveil.

We're also nearing completion of the South expansion of Giga Texas, which will house our largest training cluster to date. So it will be an incremental for 50,000 H100s plus 20,000 of our hardware for AI5 at Tesla AI computer. With Optimus, Optimus is already performing tasks in our factory. And we expect to have Optimus production Version 1 and limited production starting early next year.

This will be for Tesla consumption. It's just better for us to iron out the issues ourselves. But we expect to have several thousand Optimus robots produced and doing useful things by the end of next year in the Tesla factories. And then in 2026, ramping up production quite a bit.

And at that point, we'll be providing Optimus robots to outside customers. That will be a production Version 2 of Optimus. For the energy business, this is growing faster than anything else. This is -- we are really demand constrained rather than production constrained.

So we're ramping up production in our U.S. factory as well as building our -- building the Megapack factory in China that should roughly double our output, maybe more than double -- maybe triple potentially. So in conclusion, we're super excited about the progress across the board. We're changing the energy system, how people move around, how people approach the economy.

The undertaking is massive, but I think the future is incredibly bright. I really just can't emphasize the importance of autonomy for the vehicle side and for Optimus. Although the numbers sound crazy, I think, Tesla is producing at volume with and supervised MSD essentially enabling the fleet to operate a giant autonomous fleet. And it takes the valuation, I think, to some pretty crazy number.

ARK Invest thinks, on the order of $5 trillion, I think they are probably not wrong. And long-term Optimus, I think, it achieves a valuation several times that number. I want to thank the Tesla team for a strong execution and looking forward to exciting years ahead.

Travis Axelrod -- Head of Investor Relations

Great. Thank you very much, Elon. And Vaibhav has opening remarks as well.

Vaibhav Taneja -- Chief Financial Officer

As Elon mentioned, the Tesla team rose to the occasion yet again and delivered on all fronts with some notable records. In addition to those records, we saw our automotive deliveries grow sequentially. I would like to thank the entire Tesla team for their efforts in delivering a great quarter. On the auto business front, affordability remains top of mind for customers and in response, in Q2, we offered attractive financing options to offset sustained high interest rates.

These programs had an impact on revenue per unit in the quarter. These impacts will persist into Q3 as we have already launched similar programs. We're now offering extremely competitive financing rates in most parts of the world. This is the best time to buy a Tesla.

I mean, if you're waiting on the sidelines, come out and get your car. We had a record quarter on regulatory credits, revenue as well. On net, our auto margins remained flat sequentially. It is important to note that the demand for regulatory credits is dependent on other OEM's plans for kind of vehicles they are manufacturing and selling as well as changes in regulations.

We pride ourselves to be the company with the most American-made cars and are continuing our journey to further localize our supply chain, not just in the U.S., but in Europe and China as well for the respective factories. As always, our focus is on providing the most compelling products at a reasonable price. We have stepped up our efforts to provide more trims that have estimated range of more than 300 miles on a single charge. We believe this, along with the expansion of our supercharging network is the right strategy to combat range anxiety.

Since the revision of FSD pricing in North America, we've seen production rates increase meaningfully and expect this to be a driver of vehicle sales as the feature set improves further. Cost per vehicle declined sequentially when we removed the impact of Cybertruck. While we are experiencing material costs trending down, note that there is latency on the cost side and such reductions would show up in the P&L when the vehicles built with these materials get delivered. Additionally, as we get into the second half of the year, it is important to note that we are still ramping Cybertruck and Model 3 and are also getting impacted by varying amounts of tariffs on both raw materials and finished goods.

While our teams are working feverishly to offset these. Unfortunately, it may have an impact on the cost in the near term. We previously talked about the potential of the energy business and now feel excited that the foundation that was made over time is bearing the expected results. Energy storage deployments more than doubled with contribution not just from Megapack but also Powerwall, resulting in record revenues and profit for the energy business.

Energy storage backlog is strong. As discussed before, deployments will fluctuate from period to period with some quarters seeing large increases and others seeing a decline. Recognition of storage gigawatt hours is dependent on a variety of factors, including logistics timing, as we send units from a single factory to markets across the world, customer readiness and in case of EPC projects on construction activities. Moving on to the other parts of the business, service and other gross profits also improved sequentially from the improvement in service utilization and growth in our collision repair business.

The impact of our recent reorg is reflected in restructuring and other on the income statement. Just to level set, this was about $642 million of charge, which got recorded in the period. And I want people to remember that we called it out separately on the financials. Sequentially, our operating expenses, excluding surcharges reduced despite an increase in spend for AI-related activities and higher legal and other costs.

On the capex front, while we saw a sequential decline in Q2, we still expect the year to be over $10 billion in capex as we increase our spend to bring a 50k GPU cluster on line. This new center will immensely increase our capabilities to scale FSD and other AI initiatives. We reverted to positive free cash flow of $1.3 billion in Q2. This was despite restructuring payments being made in the quarter and we ended the quarter with over $30 billion of cash and investments.

Once again, we've begun the journey toward the next phase for the company with the building blocks being placed. It will take some time, but will be a rewarding experience for everyone involved. Once again, I would like to thank the entire Tesla team for their efforts.

Travis Axelrod -- Head of Investor Relations

Great. Thank you very much, Vaibhav. Now let's go to investor questions. The first question is, what is the status on the Roadster?

Elon Reeve Musk -- Chief Executive Officer and Product Architect

With respect to Roadster, we've completed most of the engineering. And I think there's still some upgrades we want to make to it, but we expect to be in production with Roadster next year. It will be something special. Like the whole thing might be.

Travis Axelrod -- Head of Investor Relations

Fantastic. The next question is about timing of Robotaxi event, which we've already covered. So we'll go to the next question. When do you expect the first Robotaxi ride?

Elon Reeve Musk -- Chief Executive Officer and Product Architect

I guess that, that's really just a question of when can we expect the first -- or when can we do unsupervised full self-driving. It's difficult, obviously, my predictions on this have been overly optimistic in the past. So I mean, based on the current trend, it seems as though we should get miles between interventions to be high enough that -- to be far enough in excess of humans that you could do unsupervised possibly by the end of this year. I would be shocked if we cannot do it next year.

So next year seems highly probable to me based on quite simply plus the points of the curve of miles between intervention. That trend exceeds the humans for sure next year, so yes.

Travis Axelrod -- Head of Investor Relations

Thank you very much. Our third question is, the Cybertruck is an iconic product that wows everyone who sees it. Do you have plans to expand the cyber vehicle lineup to a cyber SUV or cyber van?

Elon Reeve Musk -- Chief Executive Officer and Product Architect

I think we want to limit product announcements to when we have a special -- a specific product announcement event rather than earnings calls.

Travis Axelrod -- Head of Investor Relations

Great. Our next question is, what is the current status of 4680 battery cell production? And how is the ramp-up progressing?

Lars Moravy -- Vice President, Vehicle Engineering

4680 production ramped strongly in Q2, delivering 51% more sales than Q1, while reducing COGS significantly. We currently produce more than 1,400 cybertrucks of 4680 cells a week. We'll continue to ramp upward as we drive cost down further toward the cost parity target we set for the end of the year. We've built our first validation Cybertruck with dry cathode process made on mass production equipment, which is a huge technical milestone, and we're super proud of that.

We're on track for production launch with the dry cathode in Q4. And this will enable cell costs to be significantly below available alternatives which was the original goal of the 4680 program.

Travis Axelrod -- Head of Investor Relations

Great. The next question is any update on Dojo?....

....MUCH MORE including the analyst queries which are not as fluffy as the above from shareholders.

Earlier:

Tesla Q2 2024 Conference Call And Bullet Points

Via the Tesla YouTube channel:


The call took a while to get going, we cued the video to the 4:20 mark (please Lord don't let that be Mr. Musk with the 420 stuff again)

And from ShackNews, the bullet points:

  • Call kicks off at 5:30 p.m ET
  • Elon comments
  • EV discounts have made things more difficult for Tesla
  • Says it is a short term issue
  • still believe that EVs are best for customers
  • Elon touts energy division
  • Not going to talk about the product roadmap here
  • On track to deliver a more affordable model in the first half of next year
  • Big differentiator is autonomy
  • Tesla is pursuing AI from an autonomous driving and robot way
  • Made progress in FSD during Q2
  • Improvements on Supervised FSD
  • Finally merging the highway and city stacks in version 12.5
  • Most people actually don't know how good the system is
  • Elon stressing FSD demos
  • unsupervised FSD will be a huge demand driver
  • we postponed the Robotaxi product unveil by a couple months
  • Shifted to 10/10.
  • I wanted to make some important changes that will improve the main thing that we are gonna show
  • gonna show some other things
  • storage business growing faster than anything else
  • supply constrained not demand constrained in storage
  • looking to more than double battery storage output
  • super excited about the progress
  • future is incredibly bright
  • I really just can't emphasize the importance of autonomy on the vehicle side and for Optimus
  • Tesla producing at volume with unsupervised FSD will take the valuation to something much higher
  • Long-term Optimus achieves a valuation of (nearly $10-15 trillion)
  • CFO open remarks...

....MUCH MORE

Full transcript tomorrow.

Earnings: Tesla Reports, Stock Gets Rocked (TSLA)

After dropping $5.13 (-2.04%) during the regular session the stock is down another $16.80 (-6.82%) at $ 229.58 after hours.
From Reuters, July 23:

Tesla misses Wall Street targets as price cuts, incentives weigh

Tesla on Tuesday reported its lowest profit margin in more than five years and missed Wall Street earnings targets in the second quarter, as the electric vehicle maker cut prices to revive demand while it increased spending on AI projects.

The company said it was on track to produce "new vehicles, including more affordable models" in the first half of 2025, although the models will result in achieving less cost reduction than previously expected.
 
Tesla recorded automotive gross margin excluding regulatory credits of 14.65% in the second quarter, compared with estimates of 16.29%, according to 20 analysts polled by Visible Alpha.
 
Its shares were down 5.2% in after-hours trading.
 
"Perhaps more than ever in the company's recent history, Tesla's investors need results; those will have to come fast - both for the humanoid robot and for the Robotaxi," said Thomas Monteiro, senior analyst at Investing.com....
https://www.reuters.com/graphics/TESLA-RESULTS/jnvwabzmdvw/chart.png
....MUCH MORE
And more to come 
Here's the press release from the company:
https://ir.tesla.com/press-release/tesla-vehicle-production-deliveries-and-date-financial-results-webcast-second-quarter-2024

"Suzuki sees India’s automobile market growing fivefold by 2047"

That's a pretty nice growth rate for a mature industry, 7% or so per annum.

From the Japan Times, July 22:

India’s car market is on track to reach 20 million units by 2047, helped by promising growth in battery electric vehicles (EVs), Suzuki Executive Vice President Kenichi Ayukawa said.

First, the goal is for Maruti Suzuki India, the Japanese carmaker’s subsidiary, to grab 50% market share by 2030, from around 40% for the fiscal year through March. "We’re confident that the Indian market will expand in the mid to long term,” he said in an interview.

The emergence of India as an economic powerhouse and its expanding middle class present a clear opportunity for the manufacturer based in Hamamatsu, Shizuoka Prefecture, which has been active in the South Asian nation since 1983 and has found success as the top-selling automaker with models such as the Swift and Brezza.

In order to keep its lead, Suzuki plans to introduce its first-ever EV in India, as well as in Europe, next year after exhibiting its mass production model at the upcoming auto expo in India in January, according to Ayukawa.

"We’ll develop products, invest and expand our network,” he said.

A total of 4.2 million passenger vehicles were sold in India in the fiscal year ended March, according to the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers. To put that number — and Ayukawa’s prediction — in perspective, 3.1 million passenger cars were sold in the United States last year, while Europe saw 15 million in unit sales....

....MUCH MORE

Those numbers don't make any sense. Here's Best-Selling Cars.com with one of their many lists:

Car Sales by Major Global Market in 2024 (First Half)

New light passenger vehicle sales per major global international car market according to the VDA were as follows during the first semester of 2024:

RegionJan-Jun 2024Jan-Jun 2023% 23/24
Europe**6,878,4006,588,9004.4
USA*7,810,7007,658,2002.1
Mexico707,70011.9
Japan1,800,1002,047,700-12.1
Brazil*1,078,300934,70015.4
India2,161,5002,014,4007.3
China9,856,000[11,143,000]3.3
*Light vehicles
**(EU+EFTA+UK)



Source: VDA


https://www.best-selling-cars.com/global/2024-half-year-international-global-worldwide-car-sales/

Many:
Recent Posts

Best-Selling Cars.com Home (you want statistics? They have statistics!)

"Japanese carmakers ‘very scared’ by China’s rapid EV development"

Former Alphavillain David Keohane along with Kana Inagaki, reporting from Tokyo.

From the Financial Times, July 20:    

Japanese carmakers are “very scared” by the rapid development of Chinese electric vehicles and risk becoming “followers” if they cannot innovate more quickly, the head of Sony-Honda’s joint venture has warned.

Yasuhide Mizuno said Japan’s companies needed to change their conservative corporate culture and called for a breakthrough in manufacturing to keep up with Chinese rivals, which within a few years have become some of the world’s leading vehicle exporters.

“Chinese competitors are very strong, and I’m very scared of their implementation and execution speed,” said Mizuno, chief executive of Sony Honda Mobility, at the company’s headquarters in Tokyo.

“Japanese carmakers are a bit nervous or sensitive before launching a car. We need to change this kind of behaviour, otherwise China will be first and we will always be followers,” added Mizuno, who led Honda’s China operations until 2020.

Despite an ambitious target to phase out petrol cars by 2040, Honda has lagged behind rivals in the global race for electrification. It agreed to team up with Nissan in March to develop electric vehicles in order to survive the competition against high-tech, low-cost models from China.

The 50-50 joint venture between Honda and Sony was established in 2022 to combine Honda’s car manufacturing strength with Sony’s software and entertainment expertise. The company plans to start delivering its electric vehicle to North America by 2026.

Mizuno said Chinese competitors were moving faster than he had anticipated. Buoyed by large government subsidies and the recruitment of top Japanese, European and US engineers, the development time of Chinese electric vehicles — from concept to production — has shrunk to as little as 18 months, he estimated, adding that was less than half of the time it took to develop a car in Japan....

....MUCH MORE

Excellent insight. Some of the 126 comments are pretty sharp as well.