Friday, July 31, 2020

Hurricane Isaias: Further West (Florida Landfall) and Weaker

The latest computer run using the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model, which has been among the most accurate models over the last few years.
First up, Ryan Maue (the keeper of the Accumulated Cyclone Energy table):

And from

That central pressure of 997 millibars is considerably weaker than yesterday's estimates in the 960's meaning an expected weak cat 1 rather than a high cat 2/low cat 3 = winds at 74mph vs 96 - 115 mph.