Monday, July 27, 2020

Coder In California Says Covid-19 Will Be Over In Four Weeks

He's saying "excess deaths" will have returned to baseline:
US COVID19 will be done in 4 weeks with a total reported death below 170,000. How will we know it is over? Like for Europe, when all cause excess deaths are at normal level for week. Reported COVID19 deaths may continue after 25 Aug. & reported cases will, but it will be over.
Coronavirus, like the poor and the common cold will probably always be with us. 

He has one of those jobs that allow him to read a lot:
Thanks so much for your many replies (over 900). I have gone through them all and realize that I have to explain Excess Death properly. It is indeed a difficult concept and one that I did not appreciate readily. I am preparing a set of Tweets that I will link for easy reference.
His entire timeline is interesting, starting from the top
The NP stands for Nobel Prize. 

Let's see how his forecast does, shall we?!