Hurricane Watch: After Slowest Start To A Season Since 2004 Things Are Heating Up

From Ryan Maue:

The HRES (9-km) is right along the ensemble mean of EPS members.
Expecting little change to NHC track at 5 AM but probably an increase in intensity in the forecast near landfall. pic.twitter.com/neeYNOdbA7

— Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) August 28, 2019

The National Hurricane Center says Florida:

....MORE

And back to Dr. Maue, taking spaghetti charts to the next level, spaghettios:

The red rings are Cat 2+ solutions

At Day 5, the solutions are quite varying in forward speed.  Slower gives more time to intensify over very warm waters north of Bahamas. pic.twitter.com/hzOAcXuoAk

— Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) August 28, 2019

Additionally the NHC has now named Tropical Storm Erin.