For stocks, April was certainly not the cruelest month, as the risk-on rally continued with the S&P 500 posting 4.0% total returns following the strong 13.6% rally in 1Q. The month ended with a mini meltup, as the S&P set record highs four times in April on a closing basis, three of them in the last three trading days of the month. Overall, the S&P 500 is up 18.2% YTD, 26% since the December low, and sits 2% above its prior high in September 2018.
As BofA notes, the April rally was led by mega-cap stocks - the largest 50 stocks outperformed the overall market by 50bps, while the equal-weight S&P 500 index lagged by 30bps. Global equities also posted strong gains (but lagged the S&P), rising 3.7% in local currency terms and 3.4% in USD, with all MSCI regions gaining. US stocks outperformed other asset classes including bonds (LT Treasuries -1.7% / IG corp. +0.6%) and cash (+0.2%). The VIX index fell 4% (down 48% YTD), while gold slipped for the second straight month (-1.0% in April).
It wasn't just the US, however, and as Deutsche Bank writes, there were strong returns across the board for most equity markets globally as shown below. Central banks falling into a dovish line one-by-one, data continuing to favor this goldilocks environment, earnings season so far being taken positively, trade headlines by and large incrementally more positive and a continued lack of volatility all contributed to the favorable backdrop for risk assets, according to the bank's Craig Nicol.
And while returns weren’t quite so spectacular for rates and commodities, which lagged the broader rally, however, by the end of the month, 30 of the 38 assets in Deutsche Bank's sample still finished with a positive total return in local currency terms and also dollar-adjusted terms. This means that YTD, we’re now at 37 out of 38 assets up in local currency terms and 35 in dollar terms. In local currency terms, this is now the strongest start to a year through the first four months since 2007....MORE
Friday, May 3, 2019
"...Best And Worst Performing Assets In April And YTD"
From ZeroHedge: