Tuesday, July 17, 2018

"Ad Giant Omnicom Crashes Most In 16 Years As Clients Flee"

Lifted in toto from ZeroHedge:
Nearly a year after the stock of advertising giant Interpublic crashed, following a stark warning about the decelerating state of the legacy advertising business, that other ad giant, Omnicom, decided to prove it right, and on Tuesday it suffered its biggest stock crash since the start of the millennium after posting unexpectedly poor earnings, reigniting fears whether traditional ad giants can weather media disruption unleashed by Google and Facebook.

The stock plunged over 9% as low as $70.64 after the company posted weaker-than-expected revenue growth of 2% in the second quarter.
According to Bloomberg, Goldman described the sales slump as the worst growth in North America since the recession, resulting in the sharpest intraday plunge in OMC stock in 17 years.

The reason behind the sharp drops among these traditional ad giants is that increasingly more ad clients are moving their ad spending online where names like Google and FaceBook enjoy a duopoly. The decline in market share will make it increasingly more difficult for traditional advertising agencies to maintain growth and earnings.

Bloomberg Intelligence analyst, Paul Sweeney, said that ad-account losses and general uncertainty in U.S. digital media are dragging down Omnicom’s organic revenue growth, as North America accounts for more than half of the company’s sales. Meanwhile, the company's margins also are under pressure, hindering efforts to focus on more profitable businesses.
“Omnicom’s 2018 margin outlook is disappointing, with the company expecting stable margin even as it pruned its portfolio in 2017,” Sweeney said in a note.
One wonder what will happen to legacy ad companies if and when Amazon decides to really throw its weight behind the online ad business and to cement the Google-Facebook-Amazon dominance over yet another industry.

Alternatively, one wonders what happens to the online ad companies when the next recession really hits and marketing budgets are decimated. As a reminder, during a downturn, ad dollars are the first to go.
"Jeff Bezos and Amazon have the advertising industry looking over its shoulder" (AMZN)
July 7
"GDPR will pop the adtech bubble"
June 19
“What the f--- is happening to our business?’: As ad execs hit Cannes, New Yorker scribe Ken Auletta’s new book chronicles the industry’s various existential crises
June 12
Ogilvy & Mather UK Vice-Chairman, Rory Sutherland, Talks Behavioral Economics
June 5
"GDPR, China and Data Sovereignty are Ultimately Wins for Amazon and Google" (AMZN; GOOG)

If interested see also:
January 2018 
Platforms: Amazon Could Make Billions From the Ad Business (AMZN)
April 2017
Media: Google and Facebook's ‘Digital Duopoly’ and What Role Advertising Plays in All of It (plus Jeff Bezos and Izabella Kaminska stop by) GOOG; FB; AMZN
November 2016 
Google, Facebook And a Deep Dive Into The Future of the Future (GOOG; FB)
October 2012 
Amazon’s Next Big Business Is Selling You (and your data) AMZN

And many more.