Monday, February 20, 2023

We Aren't Going To Electrify The Personal Automobile Fleet: "Drop Off The Key, Lee, Hop On The Bus, Gus..."

Our patient (intelligent, attractive, successful, etc.) readers know this stuff but here Mike Shedlock wraps it up in a tighter and edgier package.

From MishTalk:

Environment Police Want to Reduce Car Ownership Because EVs Are Not Enough
For the sake of climate justice, transit justice, environmental justice, and Indigenous justice, the environment police want to reduce car ownership by making EV cars travel less before a charge.
https://mishtalk.com/.image/c_limit%2Ccs_srgb%2Cq_auto:good%2Cw_1240/MTk1ODM5NTE1MTkxOTQ0Njcz/the-climate-community-project-seeks-a-71-reduction-in-personal-vehicle-ownership.webp
More Batteries Not Enough, We Want Your Car
A consortium of California university professors and the Climate Community project say that more EVs alone will not solve the climate crisis. They are coming after your car.

Please consider Achieving Zero Emissions with More Mobility and Less Mining.

A crucial aspect of electrified transportation is new demand for metals, and specifically the most nonreplaceable metal for EV batteries—lithium. If today’s demand for EVs is projected to 2050, the lithium requirements of the US EV market alone would require triple the amount of lithium currently produced for the entire global market. This boom in demand would be met by the expansion of mining. 

Large-scale mining entails social and environmental harm, in many cases irreversibly damaging landscapes without the consent of affected communities. 

If today’s conditions are projected to 2050, US EV demand for lithium alone would require triple the amount of lithium produced today for the global market 

This report finds that the United States can achieve zero-emissions transportation while limiting the amount of lithium mining necessary by reducing the car dependence of the transportation system, decreasing the size of EV batteries, and maximizing lithium recycling. 

Increasing mass and active transit as well as keeping passenger vehicles smaller makes for safer communities....  
 
We looked at this report in January, 20223:
"Converting the existing U.S. car fleet to electric vehicles would require more lithium than the world currently produces, showing the need to move away from private cars as a primary means of travel"

You knew this was coming. As noted elsewhere, over the years:

I am getting the same vibe I get when talking with a very clever rhetorician or playing chess with someone much better than I, that somehow my options are being circumscribed, in ways and for purposes that I don't quite understand.....
...MUCH MORE

And then I did the self-reverential self-referential thing:

September 2022

It's not going to happen on the scale required and the people pitching the substitution of electric vehicles for internal combustion power have known this for twenty years. Anyone with a calculator has known this for twenty years.

As we've pointed out it appears that the ICE vehicles will be forced off the road before there are replacements, in exactly the same way that the European energy crisis was created by making coal, natural gas and in Germany's case nuclear power generation, illegal before you have a replacement ready to go....

October 2022
Flashback November 2021—"COP26: U.N. Secretary-General Calls For An End To Mining—“we face a stark choice – either we stop it or it stops us”"
Why do I keep harping on the fact that tough decisions are going to have to be made? Because I don't trust, for a minute, the gangrene green gang and their objectives....

September 2022

"New California Bill Will Pay Residents $1,000 for Not Owning a Car"
This ties in to our operating thesis that the goal is not to replace internal combustion engine vehicles but to herd people to public transit....
*****
....As noted a week ago in the outro from ""Tesla’s battery metals bill balloons to $100 billion" (TSLA)"

....Unless there are some significant breakthroughs in battery chemistry, manufacturing and materials sourcing, it looks as if California will be known as the "Walking State" in addition to the current moniker "The Brownout State."
August 2022
"Environmentalists Have Turned On The Lithium Industry"
We are either in a climate emergency or we aren't.Unless of course the goal isn't to replace the internal combustion engine but to reduce mobility for the billions.

July 2022
"Mining Industry Warns Energy Transition Isn’t Sustainable"
In the introduction to last week's "Stellantis warns of car market collapse if EVs don't get cheaper" I missed a trick:

All is proceeding according to plan. You will own nothing and be happy.

In other words: "Hop on the bus, Gus," "Make a new plan, Stan...."(apologies to Paul Simon)

I should have added "Drop off the key, Lee".

Because if things continue on the current path, forcing internal combustion engines out of the market with nothing to supplant them. private transportation will only be available to the extremely wealthy and/or politically connected.*
*****
*But maybe it's just me.  
"The problem is all inside your head"
She said to me
"The answer is easy if you
Take it logically"