Sunday, January 29, 2023

"Converting the existing U.S. car fleet to electric vehicles would require more lithium than the world currently produces, showing the need to move away from private cars as a primary means of travel"

You knew this was coming. As noted elsewhere, over the years:

I am getting the same vibe I get when talking with a very clever rhetorician or playing chess with someone much better than I, that somehow my options are being circumscribed, in ways and for purposes that I don't quite understand.....

From E&E News via Scientific American, January 25:

Making the Entire U.S. Car Fleet Electric Could Cause Lithium Shortages

The transition to electric vehicles could lead to lithium shortages unless the United States and other countries overhaul their transportation systems and move away from private cars as the primary means of travel.

Simply converting the existing U.S. car fleet to battery-powered electric vehicles, for example, would require three times more lithium by 2050 than the world currently produces, according to new research from the University of California, Davis, and the Climate and Community Project.

A spike in lithium demand could cause other problems too, such as greater environmental damage and worsening international tension over supplies of the metal, which is primarily mined outside the United States....

....MUCH MORE

Related in concept:

September 2022

It's not going to happen on the scale required and the people pitching the substitution of electric vehicles for internal combustion power have known this for twenty years. Anyone with a calculator has known this for twenty years.

As we've pointed out it appears that the ICE vehicles will be forced off the road before there are replacements, in exactly the same way that the European energy crisis was created by making coal, natural gas and in Germany's case nuclear power generation, illegal before you have a replacement ready to go....

October 2022
Flashback November 2021—"COP26: U.N. Secretary-General Calls For An End To Mining—“we face a stark choice – either we stop it or it stops us”"
Why do I keep harping on the fact that tough decisions are going to have to be made? Because I don't trust, for a minute, the gangrene green gang and their objectives....

September 2022

"New California Bill Will Pay Residents $1,000 for Not Owning a Car"
This ties in to our operating thesis that the goal is not to replace internal combustion engine vehicles but to herd people to public transit....
*****
....As noted a week ago in the outro from ""Tesla’s battery metals bill balloons to $100 billion" (TSLA)"

....Unless there are some significant breakthroughs in battery chemistry, manufacturing and materials sourcing, it looks as if California will be known as the "Walking State" in addition to the current moniker "The Brownout State."
August 2022
"Environmentalists Have Turned On The Lithium Industry"
We are either in a climate emergency or we aren't.Unless of course the goal isn't to replace the internal combustion engine but to reduce mobility for the billions.

July 2022
"Mining Industry Warns Energy Transition Isn’t Sustainable"
In the introduction to last week's "Stellantis warns of car market collapse if EVs don't get cheaper" I missed a trick:

All is proceeding according to plan. You will own nothing and be happy.

In other words: "Hop on the bus, Gus," "Make a new plan, Stan...."(apologies to Paul Simon)

I should have added "Drop off the key, Lee".

Because if things continue on the current path, forcing internal combustion engines out of the market with nothing to supplant them. private transportation will only be available to the extremely wealthy and/or politically connected.*
*****
*But maybe it's just me.  
"The problem is all inside your head"
She said to me
"The answer is easy if you
Take it logically"