Sunday, June 7, 2020

Chinese Energy Expert on the Draft Energy Law: Renewable Energy Will NOT See Explosive Development

Although this report came out prior to June 2's "The Chinese State’s Gradual Retreat from New Energy Industries?" we're posting because it adds some perspective to what's up.
Plus it is available in Mandarin for folks who prefer the original.
From China Energy Portal:

Li Junfeng on the draft Energy Law: renewable energy will not see explosive development
Published on: April 13, 2020
 Original title: 李俊峰解读《能源法(征求意见稿)》:可再生能源不会迎来爆发式发展
Polaris Wind Power Network News: On April 10, the National Energy Administration issued an announcement for public consultation on the "Energy Law of the People's Republic of China (Draft for Comment)". After 13 years, the first draft of China's Energy Law Consultation Promulgation triggered unprecedented hot debate.

The draft for consultation lasted for three years. In 2017, under the guidance of the Legislative Affairs Office of the State Council and the Ministry of Justice, the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration organized an expert group and a special working group to review the (Draft)" The revised version is formed on the basis of further revision and improvement.

As a major energy production and consumption country, the introduction of the Energy Law Consultation Draft has undoubtedly advanced the process of my country's energy development legislation.

After the release of the consultation draft, the industry has many questions: what is the meaning of top-level design? What else needs to be improved? Where to go for fossil energy? What is the prospect of renewable energy?

On April 12, "Neng Jian" exclusively interviewed Li Junfeng, executive director of the China Energy Research Association, who was one of the drafters of the "Energy Law" submitted for review.
In Li Junfeng's view, the introduction of the "Energy Law" is to meet the requirements of the new era, and it is necessary to use laws to fix the basic energy policies, concepts, guidelines, and systems that meet the requirements of the new era.

He also believes that there are three major changes in the draft for the consultation. One is to recognize the commodity attributes of energy; the second is to clarify the trend of keeping up with the era of clean, low carbon and digital; the third is to emphasize the "universal service" of energy.
Seeing that the request for comments mentioned the need to "prioritize the development of renewable energy", the industry seemed to have set off a spree, thinking that renewable energy will usher in explosive development.

In this regard, Li Junfeng believes that this does not mean that there will be explosive development of renewable energy. It must be developed gradually in accordance with objective needs and gradually replace fossil energy.

In fact, Article 37 of the draft for solicitation also pointed out: "Strengthen the exploration of fossil energy sources such as coal, oil and natural gas, and implement reasonable development of fossil energy sources."

This energy expert believes that there is no contradiction between this and "priority development of renewable energy", because replacement is a long-term, historic task. Fossil energy should have the ambition to support non-fossil energy.
Regarding energy security, Li Junfeng explained that energy security includes four aspects: strategic security, commercial security, environmental security, and technical security. "They should not be confused."
"This is a conceptual change. China's energy security must be based on the world being safe. The world is not safe, and China cannot be safe." Li Junfeng said.
The following is the interview record:....
....MUCH MORE

Mr. Li was Director General of China's National Center of Climate Change Strategy Research of the National Development and Reform Commission, the government's top central planning instrument.
Now he seems to be more of a gun-for-hire, a very expensive gun-for-hire.