Wednesday, August 6, 2008

Corn drops over 3% on wet weather, stronger dollar

From MarketWatch:
Corn futures tumbled more than 3% Wednesday to their lowest level since March, on speculation that wet weather in the Midwest has helped corn's growth and as a stronger U.S. dollar made dollar-denominated corn cheaper.

Corn for December delivery was down 19 cents, or 3.5%, to $5.26 a bushel in midday action on the Chicago Board of Trade, the lowest since March 21. The contract is now 34% lower than its record high near $8 a bushel hit in late June.

There were storms in Iowa and other Midwest states bringing rains and cool weather to the area, and this pattern could continue, according to Accuweather.com. Below-normal temperatures are helpful to corn growth....MORE

Now, just so we don't get an early freeze, comments about which are already showing up in print.
From Cattle Network:

...Lack of stress on the growing crops, due to abundant subsoil moisture, adequate rainfall, and moderate summertime temperatures, has helped crop condition ratings to improve week-by-week. Long range weather forecasts indicate favorable crop growing conditions into early August. It looks as if we are dodging the bullet of excessive July heat damaging late pollinating corn. National average yield may be higher than the USDA early July projection. Even though soybeans have also benefited from the mild summer, the jury is still out on yield. Late planting is translating into late soybean blooming in the major growing states. An early frost; even normal frost dates across the Northern Corn Belt, could abruptly stop production in the affected areas before the soybean crop has reached full yield potential.

From DTN Meteorlogix via Dow Jones, Aug 4:
...Conditions also are generally favorable for spring wheat on the Canadian prairies, Meteorlogix said. However, crop development is behind normal in most areas, which is "a concern if an early freeze occurs during the latter half of August," the firm said....

T. Boone Pickens and Power Politics-Texas Style

Tokyo Tom has a lot of detail in "Pickens buys eminent domain powers and wind power transmission rights for his personal 8-acre "water district"':

I previously reported on T. Boone Pickens' plan to suck down half of the water from that part of the Ogallala aquifer that underlies the Texas Panhandle, sell it to Dallas and put the money in his pocket - other users of the aquifer be damned. Pickens' has subsequently launched a publicity blitz to get the federal government to subsidize his wind farm power scheme.

It's now becoming clear how Pickens' water plan and wind plan are tied together, greased by corrupt Republican legislators in Texas and the apparent willingness of environmentalist leaders - anxious for "clean" energy, to turn a blind eye to Pickens' water plan.

First, let me note that Pickens and the Republican-dominated Texas legislature have just put on a marvelous display of how government, in Texas at least, is by the rich and for the rich, who are allowed to ride roughshod over the "property rights" of others.

Last year the Texas legislature, greased by $1.2 million in campaign contributions by Pickens over the previous election cycle, modified its laws who can create a "fresh water supply district" that has powers of eminent domain - powers to forcibly take land from others - and authorized such water districts to use their rights of way to carry power transmission lines. Such water districts are authorized to raise cheap money by issuing tax-exempt bonds. By securing rule changes in his favor, a Pickens-controlled district covering eight acres in the Panhandle acquired the power to condemn private land for a pipeline and power transmission lines all the way to Dallas. In Texas, money talks and money rules - and "property rights" means nothing more than the right to collect reasonable value in compensation for what the rich want to take from you. According to one report,

Going into the 2006 election that preceded this legislative fix, Pickens personally contributed $1.2 million to state candidates and political committees. Recipients of his largesse included each of the 16 senators who faced election in 2006 and one third of the 150-member House. Republicans received 94 percent of all the money that Pickens doled out to state candidates.

Promptly upon the changes in law, Pickens deeded eight acres in Roberts County to five of his employees - two of them the only residents/locally-registered voters within the parcel - to form a water district, which was then approved by Roberts County last November. Before the change in law, as reported by Business Week, "a district's five elected supervisors needed to be registered voters living within the boundaries of the district. Now, they only had to own land in the district; they could live and vote wherever.">>>MUCH MORE


HT:Aquanomics

CFTC/NYMEX Come Clean and Revise Data on Oil Speculators

Well duh. You had smart guys* saying bubble, which implies paper trading, who cares what the CFTC says?
From 1440 Wall Street:
There were numerous plot twists in the movie Syriana, but the writers were not clever enough to think of this one. Conspiracy theorists take a bow:

A quiet data revision that has boosted by nearly 25% the number of oil futures contracts U.S. regulators think are held by speculators. And that revelation is raising eyebrows in the energy trading community.

The revision means that speculators controlled 48% of the open interest in NYMEX crude oil futures and options as of July 15—compared with just over 38% under the previous classification.

“That’s huge when you look at the numbers,” said Phil Flynn of Alaron Trading in Chicago. “It changes the whole way you look at the recent moves in this market.” The U.S. Commodities Futures Trading Commission announced on July 18 that it was reclassifying some trading positions that it had reported as commercial hedging positions as noncommercial speculative positions. The data revision converted approximately 327,000 long and 330,000 short NYMEX crude oil futures and options positions into mostly spreading positions held by speculators.

The big shift is all the more surprising, oil traders and analysts said, since the CFTC reclassified only one unidentified oil trader at the same time as the data revision....
MORE


*I commented at Environmental Capital last week:

...When as accomplished a commodities trader as Paul Tudor Jones says oil is a bubble, I don’t need to hear the opinions of apologists or economists and other amateurs.
When he’s backed up by Wilbur Ross, who bought into a decrepit Indian airline as the most leveraged bet he could find on falling oil, I tune out the chatter.
.
The public pension funds said they were long term investors.
They just passed 20% in declines. The next 20% will test their mettle.

U.N. to tighten rules on earning carbon offsets

NOoooooooo.
It's going on eleven years since Kyoto, which set up the Clean Development Mechanism with it's Article 12. Why the hurry now?
From Reuters:
The U.N.'s climate change agency on Wednesday proposed to make it more difficult for speculators to earn carbon offsets from emissions-cutting projects which were already profitable....MORE
Never mind. That cow has been milked.
I see that the early (first 11 years) racket has to be cleaned up for:
EU, UN to link carbon trade schemes by year end, Brussels says

The European Union and United Nations have completed all the tests necessary to link their respective schemes for trading emissions of the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide (CO2) by the end of the year, officials in Brussels said Wednesday. A successful link-up would mean that European companies which sponsor emissions-reduction projects in developing countries such as China and India would be able to get credit for it at home....More at Earth Times.

Oil, Computers, and Momentum Trading

We said in "How Models Caused the Credit Crisis"
In addition to big numbers and fast computers we are also into models* [ahem -ed].
So this kind of story gets our attention. Also, we like Ann Davis' writing on oil, a lot*. From MarketBeat:
Ann Davis has this report on an aspect of the selling in the crude market.

Christopher Peel, chief executive officer of London asset-management firm Blacksquare Capital LLP, which launched a new fund of commodities-focused hedge funds in June, says a big contributor to oil’s slide has been momentum trading by computer-driven commodity trading advisors.

Such traders move en masse in and out of commodity markets when prices hit certain thresholds. Sentiment on oil has turned bearish, and “the muscle at the moment is with the trend followers,” says Mr. Peel. Once such computer-driven traders all start to sell, that “by its nature, sucks in the discretionary managers” who also reach a point where they have to sell, if their portfolios have dropped so much that they need to cut their losses....MORE

*From "Oil: Commodities Regulator Under Fire":
Swaps, Swaps, Swaps!
In October 2007, the author of this piece, Ann Davis, had a story that knocked our socks off: "Where Has All The Oil Gone?"

Don't Bet Against Wilbur Ross- Assured Guaranty (AGO)

On July 22 AGO got hammered, opening at $8.67, down from the prior day's $18.02 close. We posted "Wilbur Ross takes a beating on Assured Guaranty (AGO)" which quoted Notable Calls as saying : "..Notablecalls: I suspect AGO may be a buy here around $10 as...", it closed at $11.32. The stock drifted back down to $10.37 on the 28th and closed yesterday at $14.41.

All this is preamble (I know, emphasis on amble) to tomorrow's earnings release, 5:00 pm EDT, with the conference call Friday at 7:30 am.

Some of our posts on Mr. Ross may be of interest to commodities investors:

July 21 "Massey Points to $50 Billion Mergers on U.S. Coal"
July 16 "Seeing Oil Bubble, a Contrarian Bets on an Indian Airline"
July 2 "Wilbur Ross: Run-Up in Oil Prices Is a Bubble" which has a video that is worth your time.
Back in January we had "Billionaire to rescue of crisis-hit US insurer (ABK)":

If you are running a mismanaged monoline insurer you DO NOT want this man pulling into the parking lot. His presence means the jig's up and you're buffing that résumé. He is a VERY serious dude.

Wilbur Ross

Resource Stocks Selling Below Book Value. And "Commodities Drop "Correction not Collapse"'

From Money Morning (Australia):

Investors dropped everything and stampeded out of the resource sector yesterday, reader. We mean everything. There are kitchen sinks lying all over the place. According to the Australian Financial Review, Lynas (ASX:LYC) was the best-performed miner in the top 200 yesterday. It only lost 0.4%.

So today’s issue is an idea-fest. Among the wreckage there are good stocks. Really, unless you believe there isn’t a good miner in the country, that has to be true. They all went down.

But before we get to ideas…why did the miners cop such a drilling yesterday?

Falling commodity prices. Oil’s trading at US$116 this morning. It’s leading a lot of other hard assets down. If you’re a fan of the charts, stay tuned for tomorrow’s MM. Gabriel can tell you what this plunge means for technical traders and the market’s sentiment.

Today, we have two things to say about the commodity correction.

It’s only a correction. And it’s not an all-in, broad bear market like the one you’re seeing in financials shares....MORE

And from The Big Picture:

Tobias Merath, a commodity analyst at Credit Suisse Group, talks with Bloomberg's Bernard Lo and Haslinda Amin in Singapore about the impact of declining demand, falling prices and the global economic slowdown on commodity markets.

click for video

Tuesday, August 5, 2008

Ontario makes dark horse bid for North American cleantech crown

From VentureBeat:
While the United States has remained at an impasse over the extension of its clean energy tax credits, the Canadian province of Ontario has been busy positioning itself as a go-to destination for cleantech’s mountains of cash.

Ontario initiated a flurry of incentive programs aimed at increasing its overall renewable energy production capacity in early 2004 through its 20-year energy plan, dubbed the Integrated Power System Plan (IPSP). Its goals were to obtain an extra 5 percent, or 1,350 megawatts, from renewable sources by 2007 and 10 percent, 2,700 megawatts, by 2010.

Optisolar, 6N Silicon, Cyrium Technologies and Verdant Power are but a handful of companies that are either based in Ontario or that have plans to build projects there. Several of these have received generous backing from the government, with Mississauga-based 6N Silicon, a manufacturer of low-grade silicon, securing nearly $8 million. Hayward, Calif.-based Optisolar has begun construction on a 50 megawatt plant in Sarnia and plans on adding two more 20 megawatt projects in nearby Petrolia and Tilbury.

Its first initiative was to launch the Request for Proposals (RFP) program, through which the government purchased power directly from renewable energy projects. In 2005, it started ReNew Ontario, a five-year, $30 billion plus plan to renovate and rebuild the province’s ageing infrastructure....MORE

A couple of our previous posts on Ontario:

Never, never, in nothing great or small, large or petty, trust a politician.

For my money Oregon is the place you oughta be, load up the truck and move to Sublimity.

Tuesday, June 19, 2007

"free money" for Oregon business owners who invest in solar.

That headline is a quote, I couldn't make it up. This either: In many cases, the incentives and credits paid end up being more than the actual cost of the system.

Alrighty then, time to hit the Oregon Trail.

From EnergyDaily

Baltic Dry Index Down 17 Days in a Row. And: Slowdown in China

Another wonderfully simple chart from Bespoke:

Baltic_dry_0805
They've got a couple paragraphs of commentary, including a sentence on the shutdown of Chinese factories ahead of the Olympics, which reminded me of this 24/7 Wall Street post that says the slowdown may be deeper and longer lasting:

China Begins To Look Like 1980s Japan
...According to The New York Times, "Chinese factories reported a plunge in new orders last month. Exports are barely growing. Thereal estate market is weakening." China's leaders may not think much of the politics of the West, but demand from the regions is the motor for the China export machine.

For China, two things are coming out of the slowing global economy. The first is that demand for China's exports is falling apart. The second is that, as the rate of GDP growth in the world's most populated county wanes, the demand for oil and other commodities is crippled. The sticker on things like oil begin to ease off.

The US may be happy about crude dropping. The counterpart to that is the US exports to China will fall as well. The Chinese don't need what they can't afford. Inflation in the US may slip, but so will growth.

The Shanghai Composite has already lost over half its value in less than a year. Investors began to see China's growth problems coming several quarters back....MORE

The Lost Buffett Letters (BRK.A)

1440 Wall Street writes:
I am no great Buffett-ologist. And I don't consider myself to be a value investor by any means.

And while I don't have a tipline, I do have scores of relationships that date back nearly 20-years. From time to time I pass along things of interest, and Warren Buffett's very first partnership letter, written when Eisenhower was President, and the twenty that follow are apparently hard to come by:

2/11/59

A friend who runs a medium-sized investment trust recently wrote: "The mercurial temperament, characteristic of the american people, produced a major transformation in 1958 and "exuberant" would be the proper word for the stock market, at least"....

...
The interest in the letters might stem from the fact that they have not been published. I am not sure where the particular individual found them, but he added:

After years of searching , someone has finally posted warren buffets original partnership letters online This is most relevant because this is how he actually ran his hedge fund when it was small.

Yes, Warren Buffett’s assets under management used to be modest.

In any case, if you want the link to the letters, which cover nearly twenty years ending in 1969, send me an email describing in ten words or less why 1440 is the best financial blog extant, or if you don’t believe that, why I am a douchebag. Be forewarned, the letters will take hours to read in their entirety.

Respectfully yours,

StockJockey


Well I am a Buffetologist and I also know where they are. We'll give StockJockey time to conduct his poll/contest, say for another 12 days, 23 hours and 30 minutes. If he hasn't publicly provided the link, meet me here after the close on Monday, August 18.

The Answer Is Blowin’ in the Wind (OTTR)

Here's MarketBeat encroaching on Environmental Capital's turf.
From the Dow Jones empire:
Wind-power stocks can be as fickle as the wind itself.

Shares of Otter Tail Corp., a diversified company with businesses in food ingredient processing, plastics, and wind tower manufacturing, dropped sharply Tuesday, losing 20% of their value after the company’s earnings report showed that the wind sector isn’t growing as fast as investors would like.

Since wind has become the latest new new thing among alternative energy investors and others such as oilman T. Boone Pickens, Otter Tail, among others, had risen dramatically in the last several months in anticipation of strong sales. However, despite an increase in revenue, net income fell to 11 cents a share for the quarter, from 53 cents a year earlier. The company also lowered expectations for coming quarters, for the second time this year....

... “Wind is where the growth is supposed to come from and it’s what people are paying the premium multiple for,” he says. “What you’ve found out is that there are growing pains here and the premium multiple should be re-evaluated.”

The Obama Energy Speech, Annotated

Sloth pays off! I didn't want to get into Senator Obama's speech. Although I am, of necessity, politically attuned I am also jaded. Politics is a necessary evil and let's face it, speeches have gone down hill since some hack speechwriter put these words in John Gaunt's mouth:

...This royal throne of kings, this scepter'd isle,
This earth of majesty, this seat of Mars,
This other Eden, demi-paradise,
This fortress built by Nature for herself
Against infection and the hand of war,
This happy breed of men, this little world,
This precious stone set in the silver sea,
Which serves it in the office of a wall,
Or as a moat defensive to a house,
Against the envy of less happier lands;
This blessed plot, this earth, this realm, this England...


Here's Andy Revkin doing the heavy lifting for the New York Times:
Former Vice President Al Gore used a recent speech to call for weaning the United States from coal by 2018. On Monday, Senator Barack Obama proposed weaning the country from Middle Eastern and Venezuelan oil in roughly the same time span....

...The speech transcript is below and I’ve begun annotating. As before, I hope you’ll join in (see earlier annotations to get the idea). Sorry about the delay, but my job these days bears more than a passing relationship to the plate-spinning circus act I used to see on the Ed Sullivan Show as a kid (yes, I’m over 50)....MORE

Here's the Wiener Philharmoniker playing Andy's theme music.
(they rev it up on the second encore)



MEMC Sees Two-Day Hit On Poly Output From Storm (WFR)

As Grandmother used to say, "One tham ding after another". A couple weeks ago we relayed,
"The company said in June it suffered “the premature failure of a relatively new heat exchanger” at its Merano, Italy facility, reducing Q2 polysilicon output by 5%. MEMC said that in May and early June it looked like strong output from its Pasadena, Texas plant positioned the company to exceed the upper end of its its targeted revenue range, but that “unfortunately, a loose pipe fitting caused a fire at the company’s Pasadena facility”...

Now Tech Trader Daily is reporting:
MEMC Electronic Materials (WFR) said in a statement this morning that preparations at its Pasadena, Texas, facility to prepare for Tropical Storm Edouard is expected to result in “a two-day effect” on polysilicon production at the plant....

The stock is down 2%. I'm reminded of Viktor Chernomyrdin, former head of Gazprom who said, in a different context:
"We meant to do better, but it came out as always"

First Wind's $450 million IPO a liquidity gusher?

One of my vices is stopping by Valleywag for Valley/Sand Hill Rd. zeitgeist. I'd appreciate it if you didn't let other folks know I do this. Earlier we had "Two More Green Startups Join IPO Queue".
Here's Valleywag's take:

Appropriately named First Wind, a wind-generation startup based in Newton, MA with $230 million invested from the likes of JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, DE Shaw and Madison Dearborn Partners which operates 92 kilowatts of generation capacity, has filed paperwork with the Securities and Exchange Commission to file an initial public offering. Small problem, however — it's only generated $37 million in revenue against $138 million in losses...MORE

Archer Daniels Midland's quarterly profit falls 61%

From MarketWatch:

Archer Daniels Midland said Tuesday fourth-quarter profit declined 61% due to tough year-ago comparisons when the company disposed of certain assets....MORE
Archer Daniels Midland Company Earnings Call scheduled for 9:00 am ET today

EEStor: Better Batteries Charge Up

Is there a financing round in the offing? Not much we didn't know before but worth a bookmark.
From MIT's Technology Review:
A Texas startup says that it has taken a big step toward high-volume production of an ultracapacitor-based energy-storage system that, if claims hold true, would far outperform the best lithium-ion batteries on the market....

...EEStor claims that its system, called an electrical energy storage unit (EESU), will have more than three times the energy density of the top lithium-ion batteries today. The company also says that the solid-state device will be safer and longer lasting, and will have the ability to recharge in less than five minutes. Toronto-based ZENN Motor, an EEStor investor and customer, says that it's developing an EESU-powered car with a top speed of 80 miles per hour and a 250-mile range. It hopes to launch the vehicle, which the company says will be inexpensive, in the fall of 2009.

But skepticism in the research community is high. At the EESU's core is a ceramic material consisting of a barium titanate powder that is coated with aluminum oxide and a type of glass material. At a materials-research conference earlier this year in San Francisco, it was asked whether such an energy-storage device was possible. "The response was not very positive," said one engineering professor who attended the conference....MORE

Two More Green Startups Join IPO Queue

As we said about GCL Silicon's proposed offering (now delayed):

Don't know 'em, don't care.
(Alex; What is the difference between ignorance and apathy?)

From earth2tech:

Following recent news that two solar companies were braving listings in public markets, two more bold candidates recently threw their hats into the ring.

One of them is STR Holdings, short for Specialized Technology Research. The Enfield, Conn.,-based company has two lines of revenue: It makes encapsulants to secure and protect semiconductor circuits in solar modules, and it runs a consumer-products quality assurance business. The solar encapsulant business made up 45 percent of revenue last year, and the quality-assurance arm made up 55 percent.

STR had combined revenue of $61.3 million in the first quarter of 2008, nearly double the $31.3 million that it made in the year-ago quarter. Net income didn’t grow twice as fast. It delivered a net profit of $3.8 million in the March 2008 quarter compared with $2.8 million a year earlier....MORE



"You're Not Buying Enough Carbon Credits" Deutsche Bank

A snippit from PointCarbon:
Carbon trading at half its value: report

Utilities are failing to buy enough EU allowances to meet their requirements, which has allowed bearish sentiment to drive the carbon market to around half of its fundamental value, say analysts at Deutsche Bank.

I like that "fundamental value" bit.

Prices
Point Carbon EUA OTC assessment (EUR/t)
04 Aug 08
DEC 2008
€20.90-0.43

Last 30 days

Point Carbon EUA OTC prices last 30 days

Monday, August 4, 2008

Al Gore, Generation Investment Management Form 13F, Filed July 31, 2008

Their last SEC filing is here if you want to do analysis before I get to it. The portfolio has a very light green hue. As always, these are only the publicly traded names. They aren't required to show the non-public investments, so they don't. These names represent $855 Million of the $5 Billion that G.I.M. has under management. At a glance Johnson Controls* remains the largest holding, they bailed on GE.
CIK 0001375534

FORM 13F INFORMATION TABLE
VALUE SHARES/ SH/
NAME OF ISSUER TITLE OF CLASS CUSIP (x$1000) PRN AMT PRN
- ------------------------------ ---------------- --------- -------- -------- ---
AFLAC INC COM 001055102 55538 884361 SH
AMDOCS LTD ORD G02602103 62208 2114467 SH
AUTODESK INC COM 052769106 48864 1445241 SH
BECTON DICKINSON & CO COM 075887109 31776 390854 SH
BLACKBAUD INC COM 09227Q100 27141 1268273 SH
CISCO SYS INC COM 17275R102 59032 2537900 SH
CITRIX SYS INC COM 177376100 29551 1004800 SH
DONALDSON INC COM 257651109 21119 473085 SH
EBAY INC COM 278642103 32605 1193000 SH
GREENHILL & CO INC COM 395259104 39512 733605 SH
HDFC BANK LTD ADR REPS 3 SHS 40415F101 6414 89500 SH
ITRON INC COM 465741106 23486 238800 SH
JOHNSON CTLS INC COM 478366107 103967 3625079 SH
JONES LANG LASALLE INC COM 48020Q107 30073 499630 SH
MILLIPORE CORP COM 601073109 39162 577107 SH
NORTHERN TR CORP COM 665859104 33051 481997 SH
PRICE T ROWE GROUP INC COM 74144T108 36813 651900 SH
QIAGEN N V ORD N72482107 31663 1562736 SH
SPDR TR UNIT SER 1 78462F103 973 7600 SH
SUNTECH PWR HLDGS CO LTD ADR 86800C104 21895 584500 SH
TECHNE CORP COM 878377100 23198 299750 SH
VARIAN MED SYS INC COM 92220P105 33651 649065 SH
WATERS CORP COM 941848103 63788 988962 SH

*"Al Gore, Tom Konrad and Climateer Investing Agree: Johnson Controls (JCI)"
is one of our eight posts on JCI.

Brazil: Stocks hit as resource prices tumble

From MarketWatch:
Major Latin American stock markets dropped Monday, led by a slide in Brazilian equities as prices for resources sparked a broad sell-off.

In Sao Paulo, the Bovespa dropped 3.5% to 55,609.07, its third consecutive decline.
"The glitter has come off Brazilian equities," said Geoffrey Dennis, Latin American strategist at Citigroup, in a note Monday, as the benchmark index has dropped more than 21% from its high in late May and has broken below its 50- and 200-day moving averages....MORE

Goldman Sachs pays US$300m for poultry farms (GS)

Okay, back on topic.
From the South China Morning Post:
Goldman Sachs, a United States-based private equity investment firm, recently acquired full control of more than 10 poultry farms on the mainland for as much as US$300 million, establishing a presence in the mainland livestock industry, according to a mainland media report yesterday....

HT: ClusterStock who comments:
So for the record, that's: U.S. mortgages = bad... Asian livestock = good. We hope John Thain and Dick Fuld are taking notes.

No Sex Please, We're In A Recession

The indefatigable social scientists at DealBreaker go where few would dare (care?) to go:
Over at theFrisky.com, they're also asking about the recession and sex. In some ways, a tighter budget can improve your sex life, they write. Less eating out can help cut the extra pounds, and couples often grow closer to each other while they get more creative about their activities....MORE

And:

Do Recessions Help or Hurt Your Love Life?

Will layoffs on Wall Street help you get laid? Anecdotal evidence collected from conversations with investment bankers, brokers and traders suggest the bad economic times on Wall Street may be leading to romance for some while others are finding it tougher to date and mate. Surprisingly, it seems to matter less whether you are employed or unemployed and more whether you are a man or a woman.

Young men still employed at investment banks think the attraction is obvious--they're still collecting paychecks--albeit somewhat slimmer these days--while the pool of men those competing with them has thinned. At a popular bar near Central Park on a recent week night, the ratio of men to women seemed much more heavily skewed toward females.

"There used to be twice as many investment bankers in here on a Thursday night," a drinker named Andrew said. "We're the last one's standing.">>>MORE

Okay, easing back on-topic. First Solar's down thirteen-and-a-half bucks. Next up, Goldman and chickens.

America's Smartest Banker (HCBK)

I'm going off-topic for a couple posts. This is a story that deserves wider circulation.
From Slate:

The nation's financial industry is cratering, so how come Hudson City Bank is thriving?

"If you look to the right, you can see New York City," says Ronald Hermance Jr., CEO of Hudson City Bancorp, as he points out the fourth-floor window of the company's boxy headquarters in unglamorous Paramus, N.J. I had to venture through traffic to this distinctly nonimperial corporate redoubt 17 miles west of the George Washington Bridge—it's just past a union building and across the street from a garden supply center—in my quest to find a sensible banker in the New York area. Despite the proximity to Manhattan, Hermance and his 140-year-old bank have never been part of the fast-money Wall Street scene. And thanks to its geographic and cultural distance, this bridge-and-tunnel bank has thrived amid the mortgage debacle.

Hudson City in late July reported that second-quarter profits were up 52.3 percent. In the 2008 first half, mortgage originations rose 50 percent from 2007. And yet its balance sheet is pristine. "Only 328 out of 79,929 loans are nonperforming at the end of the second quarter," he said.
(But who's counting?)...MORE

Here's Cramer last December:
Bank With Hudson City
Hudson City Bancorp is best of breed not just because of its upside potential, but also because it's so well protected against the downside, Cramer told Homegamers Thursday. So even if the Federal Reserve decides not to cut rates Dec. 11, Hudson should withstand the fallout.

But Cramer fully expects the central bank will cut. And that means bank stocks go much, much higher. Why? Because the Fed sets short rates, which are the interest rates a bank gives on a money-market account or certificate of deposit. Lower rates mean banks pay out less on a CD, but they can loan at a higher price. So the more the Fed cuts, the more the banks profit....MORE

Six Alt-Energy Stocks That Could Go to Zero (AVR, BCON; CPST; PEIX; VLNC; VSE)

I like James Altucher. We're both Buffett junkies. If you do a Google search for one of Warren's greatest quips "He lied like a finance minister [on the eve of a devaluation]", we've got the top three hits.
(there are only five in the truncated results, expanded, we both come up ahead of the 1988 Chairman's Letter to the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway!)
From Stockpickr:
Forget about technology stocks; forget about biotech stocks. Alternative energy stocks are the “new” growth stocks on Wall Street.

Investors are increasingly turning their attention to sectors such as wind, solar, fuel cells and even ethanol in search of the next big thing. The general public’s interest in these new technologies is so high that a new TV channel was created by Discovery (DISCA) that will focus on green initiatives and eco-friendly lifestyles....
... With this in mind, here are six alternative energy stocks that could go to zero:

Beacon Power (BCON): Beacon Power makes energy storage devices that use the flywheel-based technology. The financials at this company are deteriorating at an alarming rate. Recently, Beacon reported a first-quarter net loss of $5.29 million, vs. a net loss of $3.09 million a year ago. Revenues for the first quarter plunged sharply to $20,000, vs. $393,000 last year. That’s a drop investors shouldn’t ignore....More on BCON and the other five.

Earnings Heads UP (ADM; AGU; AKNS; ARII; FWLT; GAIA; YGE)

Some of the issues we keep track of are reporting over the next couple days.

Tuesday, Aug. 5
Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) before the open

Wednesday, Aug. 6
Agrium (AGU)
Akeena Solar (AKNS)
American Railcar (ARII)
Eagle Bulk Shipping (EAGL)
Foster Wheeler (FWLT)
Gaiam (GAIA)
Yingli Green Energy (YGE)

Much more to come.

K.K.R. Hires Ex-Edison Chief as Senior Adviser

This seems to be more than just window dressing for the IPO. From DealBook:

Kohlberg Kravis Roberts said on Monday that it has hired John E. Bryson, the former chairman and chief executive of Edison International, a California power company, as a senior adviser for its new infrastructure efforts.

The hiring is the latest in a slew of appointments by the private equity giant as it prepares to go public. It also marks the latest addition to its burgeoning infrastructure team, as Kohlberg Kravis tries to enter a red-hot sector....
...He previously worked as a partner at the law firm Morrison & Foerster, and before that was president of the California Public Utilities Commission, chairman of the state’s Water Resources Control Board. He is also a co-founder of the Natural Resources Defense Council.

Okay Mr. Technical Analyst, What's the Nasdaq Telling Us?

UPDATE below.
From BigCharts:



Yikes.
Here's the six month view:



UPDATE: Hey, great minds. From MarketBeat:

S&PRallies Aren’t Hard to Find. Lasting Ones Are.

Investors can be forgiven if they’re having a hard time discaerning where the equity market is headed. Sharp rallies follow dramatic declines, and sometimes in the span of a few hours. After hitting a low of 10828 on the Dow industrials on July 15, the market surged, putting together a furious rally before faltering again, dropping to 11125 on the Dow on July 28.

Once again, equities rebounded, and heartily – a two-day rally of more than 450 points, followed by another 200-point selloff. Strategists believe the market is in the process of “forming a bottom,” so to speak, that term for a condition where equities don’t go down any further, even if they meander along in a tight trading range for some time....MORE






Is the commodity bubble bursting?

From Blogging Stocks:
During July, the prices of oil exploration and coal stocks mentioned in my newsletter tumbled precipitously. For example, Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI) and Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU) lost roughly a quarter of their value by the end of July and Ultra Petroleum (NYSE: UPL) and Southwestern Energy (NYSE: SWN) which had been up over 40% through June ended July up a relatively paltry 4% and 11% respectively.

I find this interesting because it violates one of the basic theories I have about what moves stock prices. This beat-and-raise theory says that if a company beats earnings estimates and raises its guidance, then the stock will rise. Otherwise it will fall. In the case of these four companies, each of them with the exception of Ultra which did not report, reported doubling or tripling of earnings and raised their guidance....MORE

Corn is trading down 22 cents this morning, soybeans down 38 cents and WTI down $1.16 with a tropical storm* in the Gulf, something that two years ago would have been a fine excuse to put on the rally hats.

*I went home Friday thinking "This will be a great set-up for a pop-and-drop". Hasn't happened. From Dr. Jeff Masters Wunderblog:

...The forecast
The shear is forecast to decrease to near zero by Monday night, and sea surface temperatures will increase by about 0.5°C. The depth of the warm waters get shallower, with the Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential decreasing to about 20 kJ/cm^2 Monday night. Taken together, these factors should allow Edouard to intensify, although it may take 24 hours or so for the storm to organize an eyewall, as occurred with Dolly. The latest 00Z (8pm EDT) GFDL and SHIPS intensity models both bring Edouard to a borderline tropical storm/Category 1 hurricane by landfall, with the strongest winds occurring near the Texas/Louisiana border....


Figure 1. Latest satellite image of Edouard.

Saturday, August 2, 2008

Large Hadron Rap

Maximum nerddom.



HT: SciGuy who has a nice four-beat headline (and the nerddom line)
Nerds, methane, Henry VIII & wheatgrass

Here's an April post on the Large Hadron Collider:

How many Nobel Laureates Does it Take to Make Change...And: End of the Universe Puts

Hack a security camera with a helium balloon

Continuing today's crime theme, from MAKE:

lamson1.jpg

This balloon-based anti surveillance camera project by Brooklyn-based artist William Lamson is an easy way to fool even the most sophisticated forms of surveillance technology....
HT: Samizdata
Nighty night Wall Street:

The end of travel

From the Toronto Star:
High oil prices are crippling airlines and travellers alike and we may only be at the start of a new, global class divide between the stranded and the mobile

In Europe's late medieval period, the labouring masses rarely travelled further than a few dozen miles from where they were born. For them, travel was dangerous, onerous and slow.

But wealthy aristocrats travelled far and wide in the name of diplomacy, meeting leaders from other countries and extending their power and influence.

For Steven Flusty, an associate professor of geography at York University, this is what society could once again look like if predictions that the lower-middle classes will no longer be able to afford to fly in just a few years come true.

It would be tremendously debilitating and could wind up "breaking down everything below a certain class level, where they are being held in space as if it's some kind of a container," he says....MORE

And from Blogging Stocks:

US Airways to start charging for water on flights, effective today

...Still, US Airways Inc. may have gone one too far with the fee system. Effective today, US Airways will start charging for water on flights by coach passengers, The Wall Street Journal reported Friday (subscription required). Bottled water will be $2. Passengers flying first class are exempt from the extra fee.

Coffee? Tea? That will be a dollar fee

Further, passengers dismayed by US Airway's fee for water may want to consider coffee or tea. US Airway's will charge only $1 for those drinks, effective today, The Journal reported. Who says requesting a higher-caloric drink does not have its advantages?

Stock analyst and frequent flyer C. Leonard Bauer ain't buying US Airways water, because he isn't flying US Airways, anymore....

Wealthy Criminals, The Busted CEO ETF and Starting a Business Behind Bars

These three showed up in the readers last week.
From Business Memo:

The rise and fall of America's wealthiest crooks
Andy Fastow, the former CFO of Enron, said “I was extremely greedy and lost my moral compass.”...There's more here but they only mention five, one of whom I think got a bum rap.
Portfolio.com has an interactive map of 15, mainly executive, felons, showing their current addresses. (HT: Infectious Greed for the ETF bit).

Finally, the helpful hints portion of our show. From Fortune Small Business via CNN:

Starting a business from behind bars
Darren Montville, Collins Correctional Facility, Collins, N.Y.
I, along with my father, would like to open a restaurant and catering company. I was wondering if you could give me as much advice as possible about small businesses...

...By Annalyn Censky, Fortune Small Business contributor
Dear Darren: Jobs opportunities can be limited if you’ve served time, so entrepreneurship presents an attractive option for an ex-con...

...
That said, it’s never too early to start planning, and a penitentiary can be a surprisingly good place for a budding entrepreneur to develop a business strategy, says Rohr. When you’re incarcerated, you have a unique amount of free time to brainstorm ideas.

Choose your industry

Unless you’re resolute about opening a catering business, you might want to consider a different industry for your first endeavor. Food service companies can be expensive to launch, says Hans Becker, a PEP participant who managed a commercial kitchen for three years between stints in prison. You have to invest in a kitchen, a method of transportation, and a large cooler or refrigerator. “It’s a difficult venture; there are a lot of liabilities and rules,” he says. These include strict health and safety regulations, as well food service permits....

Formulate a business strategy

Shortly after he started his company, Becker took the next step and wrote a business plan. You can get ahead of the curve by working on your plan now, says Rohr. But know that it could be difficult. It’s not easy to conduct market research - a necessary component of any business plan - when you’re in prison....

Fund your startup costs

Whether you’re asking for $500 or $50,000, securing startup capital is difficult when you have a criminal record. But don’t give up, says Jenny Boister, senior vice president and SBA manager at the Valley Community Bank in San Jose.

“It’s possible for an ex-con to get a loan,” she says, “but you’ll have to jump through hoops.” In order to obtain an SBA 7(a) loan, you’ll need to fill out a criminal history form and provide details about your conviction, parole and probation. You’ll also have to submit fingerprints. The lender will then forward the application to the SBA’s Washington, D.C., headquarters for approval....MORE

Brownout and Brownout Stocks

Two from Forbes:

Brownout

What happens when you don't build more power plants? Get ready for spiking electricity rates, brownouts and even blackouts as demand soars

If you think runaway oil prices are upsetting, just wait for what's in store for electricity. Similar forces are in play. Demand is rising fast; supply is not. The cost to get coal and natural gas out of the ground is going up, and to that expense must be added the cost of the carbon permits that Congress and the presidential candidates are contemplating. Environmentalists are getting power plants scotched. China is sucking up energy. Leave such dynamics in play long enough, and price spikes in electricity follow. But that's just the beginning. We may be facing brownouts (voltage reductions) and even rolling blackouts.

By as early as next year our demand for electricity will exceed reliable supply in New England, Texas and the West and, by 2011, in New York and the mid-Atlantic region. A failure of a power plant, or a summer-afternoon surge in the load, could make for a blackout or brownout. "There really isn't any excess in the system," says Rick P. Sergel, chief executive at the North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC)....MORE

Brownout Stocks

...Do you remember what happened when the government tried to repeal the laws of economics in 1973 and 1979? If the price of gasoline needs to be $2 to make supply match demand, but the price is set at $1 by decree, drivers just pay the other dollar in an indirect way. That's how much of their time and their fuel they will burn up waiting in line with motors idling.

We'll see the same kind of waste when electric power runs short. Desperate to avoid disruptions, businesses and even homeowners will buy backup generators. These appliances are guaranteed to spew more carbon into the air than the coal plants that could have replaced them.

Rather than curse the darkness, invest in government mismanagement. There aren't any good pure-play stocks in backup power, but Cummins...MORE

Friday, August 1, 2008

GT Solar: Here Come the Lawyers (SOLR)

Both via Yahoo Finance
Federman & Sherwood Announces That a Securities Class Action Lawsuit Has Been Filed Against GT Solar International, Inc. (NASDAQ: SOLR)

Coughlin Stoia Geller Rudman & Robbins LLP Files Class Action Suit Against GT Solar International, Inc.
From LawFuel:
Class Action Lawsuit Against GT Solar International, Inc. Commenced

The Brualdi Law Firm, P.C. announces that a lawsuit has been commenced in the United States
District Court for the District of New Hampshire on behalf of purchasers of GT Solar International, Inc. ("GT Solar" or "the Company") (Nasdaq:SOLR) common stock pursuant or traceable to the Company's false and misleading Registration Statement and Prospectus...MORE
From GT Solar:
Yikes! Send Lawyers, Guns and Money


And now EuroWeek is reporting that GCL Silicon is slowing their proposed $862 Mil offering.
Too bad, I could have had fun with a company whose controlling shareholders include Happy Genius, Greatest Joy, Moonchu and Richmore:

Corporate Structure Immediately After the Acquisition and the Offering

The following chart sets forth our corporate structure immediately after the offering, assuming that the underwriters do not exercise their option to purchase additional ADSs:

LOGO

Notes:

(1) Includes entities owned and controlled by Mr. Zhu Gongshan.
(2) Includes Mandra Esop Ltd., or Mandra Esop, and Mandra Materials Ltd., or Mandra Materials, Mandra Esop and Mandra Materials are entities owned and controlled by Mr. Zhang Songyi.
(3) Moonchu wholly owns Woo Foong Hong Ltd., or Woo Foong Hong. Woo Foong Hong wholly owns Mandra Silicon, which is the direct holder of shares of Sun Wave and Greatest Joy. See Notes (4) and (5) below.
(4) Immediately prior to the offering, Sun Wave was 82% owned by Happy Genius and 18% owned by Mandra Silicon, an entity indirectly owned by Moonchu.
(5) Immediately prior to the offering, Greatest Joy was 82% owned by Happy Genius and 18% owned by Mandra Silicon, an entity indirectly owned by Moonchu.



From page 9 of the F-1.

Dan Gardner . I predict your prediction is wrong

We love* the Ottawa Citizen. From the OC:

So it's August and oil has soared to yet another record high. Expect it to hit $200 a barrel soon.

Or at least, that was what experts told us a couple of months ago. Then the price dropped. And dropped some more.

Huh. Who predicted that?

Well, a couple of months ago I wrote that "the experts have been wrong before. They may be wrong again." So you could say I predicted it, although what I really predicted was that the predictions could be wrong. And that's about the safest prediction anyone can make.

We are bad at predictions. All of us. Laypeople are clueless, not surprisingly. But experts are no better.

Over the course of 20 years, Philip Tetlock, a University of California psychologist, followed the prognostications of esteemed political scientists, economists, journalists and others whose work involved "commenting or offering advice on political or economic trends." In all, Tetlock's experts made 82,361 predictions. They were appallingly inaccurate. Tetlock discovered a flipped coin would have done better....MORE

We touched on the phenomena in "First Solar: Analysts Target $350 to $450 Before Earnings (FSLR)"

....That $450 figure has a whiff of December '99 about it. Picking a target price is more art than science with the default being projection of the current trend....

Yes, we read the academic stuff, mainly so you don't have to. And not just Proceedings A of the Royal Society or Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A. No, we venture into academentia:

From: "Too many choices -- good or bad -- can be mentally exhausting"

...Sure, the Journal of Personality... has high standards but can they match the rigor of my fav.:

Journal of Leisure Research
The Journal of Leisure Research is devoted to original investigations that contribute new knowledge and understanding to the field of leisure studies. ...
www.rpts.tamu.edu/journals/jlr/
See also: "The Masters and Climate Change".

*The O.C. had the best retraction/apology EVER:
...And a reprise of one of my favorites; from the Ottawa Citizen:

“The Ottawa Citizen and Southam News wish to apologize for our apology to Mark Steyn, published October 22nd.

In correcting the incorrect statements about Mr. Steyn, published October 15th, we incorrectly published the incorrect correction.

We accept and regret that our original regrets were unacceptable, and we apologize to Mr. Steyn for any previous distress caused by our previous apology.”


HT: Jay Leno

Come on folks, it's not rocket surgery.

Your Friday Bank Failure

Headline from Calculated Risk.

FDIC:

First Priority Bank, Bradenton, Florida, was closed today by the Commissioner of the Florida Office of Financial Regulation, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) was named receiver. To protect the depositors, the FDIC entered into a purchase and assumption agreement with SunTrust Bank, Atlanta, Georgia, to assume the insured deposits of First Priority....

Too Fit to Be President?

The Columbia Journalism Review tips us to the story with this:

No, This Isn’t from The Onion
Just wanted to clarify.
From the Wall Street Journal:

Facing an Overweight Electorate,
Barack Obama Might Find
Low Body Fat a Drawback...MORE

We've seen other examples of the Onionization of America, especially in politics:
Rep. Charles Rangel (D-N.Y.) on Wednesday followed through on his promise to file an ethics complaint against himself

Is it me or has the world gotten more Oniony? From The Hill.com.


Nevada GOP Cancels Convention, Opts for Conference Call

Citing a lack of interest, the Nevada Republican Party has called off its state convention and will instead pick its delegates to the national convention by private conference call.


Drudge or the Onion, you decide:

Report: Iran will halt enrichment if West removes sanctions...
Watermelon yields 'Viagra-like effects'...
Flat screen TVs blamed for accelerating global warming...
Charlotte temperature hits 123-year low...
WATERWORLD: Floating cities could one day house climate change refugees...
FLASHBACK: BIN LADEN TARGETED $144 BARREL -- 10 YEARS AGO...
Prayer Vigils at Gas Stations Across the Country...
Worried oil chiefs fail to find consensus...
Paulson says economy set to strengthen...
UPDATE: McCain denies roughing up Sandinista...
POLL: Obama Leads -- in Montana?
North Koreans to get balloon-delivered plastic newspapers from the South...
Los Angeles, Miami Foreclosures Double; $5 Billion L.A. Mortgages Go Bad...
Analyst sees 'ghost town' in California's Inland Empire...






Drudge.
Headlines at 17:35 EDT, 3Jul08

Was the GT Solar IPO a Hit Job? (SOLR)

From GreenLight:

Sometimes, in the heat of battle, you miss a few details. While reviewing the carnage from last week’s GT Solar IPO, I came across a Boston Globe piece that briefly mentioned something a lot of people overlooked. “GT Solar didn’t need money,” the article read, “choosing to go public only so private investors who bankrolled the company could cash out on some of their investment.” Wait wait what? Call me naive - maybe this happens more than I think - but I find this to be totally shocking.

Here’s the rundown. GT Solar is run by a group called GT Solar Holdings, which is owned by two venture capital firms - GFI Energy Ventures and Oaktree Capital Management. Going back through the story, it’s pretty clear GT Solar didn’t really need the $500 million it raised for expansion. The company’s sales quadrupled last year to $244 million that backed up $36 million in income. It has a strong presence in China, counting (until late last week) LDK Solar as one of its major customers, and a current order backlog of around $1.3 billion. All in all, a pretty strong financial position for a company well-placed within the solar supply chain....MORE

MIT on MIT's "Solar-Power Breakthrough"

We had the heads-up yesterday from Forbes, "HEADS UP: Solar Energy, All Night Long"
Here's MIT's Technology Review:
Researchers have found a cheap and easy way to store the energy made by solar power

Researchers have made a major advance in inorganic chemistry that could lead to a cheap way to store energy from the sun. In so doing, they have solved one of the key problems in making solar energy a dominant source of electricity.

Daniel Nocera, a professor of chemistry at MIT, has developed a catalyst that can generate oxygen from a glass of water by splitting water molecules. The reaction frees hydrogen ions to make hydrogen gas. The catalyst, which is easy and cheap to make, could be used to generate vast amounts of hydrogen using sunlight to power the reactions. The hydrogen can then be burned or run through a fuel cell to generate electricity whenever it's needed, including when the sun isn't shining....MORE

U.S. Recession May Have Begun in Last Quarter of 2007. OR: Not quite a recession

From Bloomberg:
The U.S. economy may have slipped into a recession in the last three months of 2007 as consumer spending slowed more than previously estimated and the housing slump worsened, revised government figures indicated.

The world's largest economy contracted at a 0.2 percent annual pace in the fourth quarter of last year compared with a previously reported 0.6 percent gain, the Commerce Department said today in Washington. Growth for the period from 2005 through 2007 was also trimmed....MORE

OR, from EconBrowser:

Not quite a recession

The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today that U.S. real GDP grew at a 1.9% annual rate in the second quarter of 2008, less than many analysts had been predicting a week ago, but substantially better than the 6-month-ahead predictions for that number that we were hearing back in January....

Why does it matter?


Recession-Plagued Nation Demands New Bubble To Invest In

(funny)

Recessions and Stock Market Bottoms
(serious)

From CNBC:

Market Only Halfway Through Bear Period: Analyst

Merrill Lynch's recent wave of write downs is another sign that we're still only halfway through a bear market, said Steve Hochberg, chief market analyst for Elliot Wave International.

"It's a process that's working its way through, but we don't think we're near the end of it yet," Hochberg said. "Bottoms are created when you have the greatest amount of pessimism. It's a little perverse, but I think people need to get scared." (See Video)

Put-call ratios and the volatility index, two measures used to gauge capitulation, have yet to reach levels associated with ending previous bear markets, Hochberg said. The VIX stands in the mid-20s, having briefly hit 30, whereas it read closer to 40 during past market lows.

"I think the VIX can get even above that in this decline," Hochberg said. "Somewhere north of 40, maybe north of 50 would do it, at least on an intermediate basis.">>>MORE

Oil: More on (Moron?) Semgroup (SGLP)

Some of our other Semgroup posts are listed below.
Prudent Speculations has some thoughts on "The Fall of Semgroup and its Impact on Oil":

Anyone who follows the MLP sector is undoubtedly aware of the recent implosion of Semgroup Energy Partners (Nasdaq:SGLP). There have been several articles put out by the press that list this event as example #1 on why one should not be involved in the sector, I questioned that thought process in my previous article which can be found here. Today I thought I would briefly touch on the relationship between Semgroup’s demise and the decline in the price of oil. For those in need of a refresher, Semgroup Energy Partner's implosion was caused by the bankruptcy of Semgroup Energy Partne's general partner, Semgroup LP which recently lost nearly$3 billion dollars after positions in oil derivative contracts went against the firm. Prior to the bankruptcy filing, Semgroup LP provided over 90% of Semgroup Energy Parner's revenue.

Additionally, the market was expecting substantial asset dropdowns at Semgroup Energy Partners from the parent company over the next several years. Given the firm’s high level of customer concentration and the markets relatively large expectations for balance sheet growth it was only natural to see the stock plummet after the news broke....MORE, including charts.

And from Naked Shorts:

Things that go BOOM! in the night

Until now a little-known, though large, closely held partnership in Tulsa, Okla., SemGroup transports, stores and distributes crude oil and refined products. It filed for bankruptcy protection last week after losing more than $2.4 billion on energy contracts...Exactly what drove the company to that fate remains unclear, but clues have started to emerge amid court hearings and other ripples from the implosion.


News follows price

According to SemGroup's bankruptcy-court filings, the company found itself without enough cash to cover margin calls and on July 16 handed its trading account with the New York Mercantile Exchange to Barclays PLC, a move that forced SemGroup to recognize losses exceeding $2.4 billion. A Barclays spokesman declined to comment. Another $850 million of unrealized losses were incurred through over the counter trading, documents show.

Nymex WTI crude oil futures topped out on Jul. 14 at $147.90 (intraday) and Jul. 15 at $145.78 (closing). The intraday ($122.50) and closing ($123.26) lows since then were both hit Friday, Jul. 25, representing declines of 17.2 and 15.5 per cent respectively. Mere coincidence, of course.

Another body in the Ritchie cemetery?>>>MORE


Inside The Semgroup Bust
OIL: SemGroup Co-Founder Speaks Amid Mounting Troubles
Oil-"SemGroup: It Gets So Much Worse"
Has Oil Broken Down?