Tuesday, September 25, 2012

China's Conference Board Leading Index Spikes, at Odds With Shanghai Stock Index

We've gotten about 15% (to the downside) out of the Shanghai index and it may be time to re-think the master plan for world domination (ours, not China's)
The index is holding 1% above Monday's 44-month lows.

From Slope of Hope:
China's Shanghai Index at Variance with CB Leading Index 
Data released Monday night shows that China's CB Leading Index spiked up to its highest reading in two years, as shown on the graph below. "This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy." It's a "combined reading of six economic indicators related to total loans issued, raw material supplies index, new orders, consumer expectations, export orders, and housing."

As I outlined in my post of September 20th, the Shanghai Index tells a different story as it trades at three-year lows and threatens to fall off a cliff, but China's Financials Sector has been trading in an opposite direction.

The question is, "Do we believe that the data is actually reflective of China's economy, or is its Index?"...MORE