Saturday, February 27, 2010

"Short-term Bottom for Euro "

Although we've been bearish on the Euro since November it might be time for the buck to take a breather before resuming a run up to EUR/USD $1.25 from the current $1.3632.
From The Market Oracle a big old chart:

...That said, we all recognize that within such a powerful intermediate-term downtrend that fundamental surprises likely will trigger euro selling, which has been the case for the past two weeks – within the oversold condition. Nonetheless, the short euro trade is becoming increasingly crowded and vulnerable to a sharp, quick short-covering spike towards 1.3800 and possibly 1.4000 prior to the sustained resumption of the dominant downtrend.

Gold should benefit as the euro strengthens, as we noted in detail in our Charts of the Week this week and in our chart analysis of the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) and SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD).