Friday, October 2, 2009

U.S. Employers Cut 263,000 Jobs (Or 995K), More Than Forecast

DJIA and S&P are indicating a greater than 1% drop. From Bloomberg:
Employers cut more jobs than forecast last month and the unemployment rate rose to a 26-year high, calling into question the sustainability of the economic recovery.

The unemployment rate rose to 9.8 percent, the highest since 1983, from 9.7 percent in August, the Labor Department said today in Washington. Payrolls fell by 263,000, following a revised 201,000 decline the prior month that was less than previously reported.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke yesterday said the expansion may not be strong enough to “substantially” bring down unemployment, indicating the central bank will be slow to drain the trillions of dollars it’s pumped into the economy. UAL Corp. is among companies still cutting jobs on concern spending will fade as government stimulus wanes.

“Only profitable firms will hire workers and we don’t have any assurance that firms will be profitable for the next year,” said Guy LeBas, chief economist at Janney Montgomery Scott LLC in Philadelphia. “Consumer spending is going to be constrained by weaker incomes.”>>>MORE

A scary take at The Market Ticker

September Unemployment: ACTUAL LOSS 995k

Headlines: 263,000 "jobs lost" and unemployment rate up to 9.8%.

That's not good - there goes the "second derivative" argument.

Weekly earnings are also down by $1.54, which is bad news too.

But the Household Data is VASTLY worse than reported. Here are the month-over-month changes, and they're in the realm of frightening. (all numbers in thousands)

Civilian Labor Force: 154,879 to 153,617 this month.

Employed: 140,074 down to 139,079 this month.

That's a loss of 995,000 jobs, not 263,000, and the labor force contracted by 1,262,000 people!>>>MORE