Thursday, October 16, 2025

The Grumpy Economist: "Swiss reflections"

From John Cochrane's substack, October 13:

I’m just home from Switzerland, where I gave the Karl Brunner Lecture. It is always eye opening to travel and see how other countries do things, and leads me to question basic assumptions.

Swiss inflation barely exceeded 3% in the post-pandemic surge, and is back to zero. Interest rates are also back to zero. 

https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7vLV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9fbabfc-0f80-4581-afaf-715a03fde173_1320x450.png 

The SNB balance sheet is huge, at 854 billion CHF, coincidentally exactly the same as GDP. Imagine the Fed had a $30 Trillion balance sheet, not “merely” the $6.5 trillion that people complain about.

You might think Switzerland is on the vanguard of a return to zero bound, zero rates, secular stagnation, immense quantitative easing. You would be wrong....

....MUCH MORE