Monday, May 8, 2023

"Breaking down Buffett’s warning on earnings"

One of a half-dozen or so posts on Berkshire Hathaway's annual meeting at Yahoo Finance, May 7:

OMAHA, Neb. — After a volatile week, stocks closed lower with the S&P 500 shedding 0.8%. The index is now up 7.7% year to date, up 15.6% from its October 12 closing low of 3,577.03, and down 13.8% from its January 3, 2022 record closing high of 4,796.56.

As we’ve been discussing on TKer, one of the biggest concerns in the stock market has been the expectation by many that earnings growth could go negative in 2023.

On this near-term matter, Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett doesn’t have good news for you.

"In the general economy, the feedback we get is that perhaps the majority of our businesses will actually report lower earnings this year than last year," Buffett said at Berkshire’s annual shareholders meeting on Saturday.

He reflected on the widespread supply chain disruptions everyone has faced since the onset of the coronavirus pandemic.

“It was an extraordinary period,” he said. “And that period has ended.“

During that period, however, many companies, including those under Berkshire’s umbrella, over-ordered and now sit on excess inventory that will have to be cleared out at unattractive prices.

“It is a different climate than it was six months ago, and a number of our managers were surprised,” Buffett added. “Some of them had too much inventory on order, and all of a sudden it got delivered, and people weren’t in the same frame of mind as earlier.”

While the prospect for lower prices might be welcome news for customers struggling with inflation, it’s bad news for corporate profitability.

“We'll start having sales at places where we didn't need to have sales before,“ he said.

With a market value of $719 billion, Berkshire is one of the largest companies in the world. The diversified conglomerate’s massive portfolio of companies includes dozens of businesses[*] across almost every imaginable industry, employing over 382,000 as of the end of 2022. Its well-known brands include GEICO, BNSF Railway, Fruit of the Loom, Precision Castparts, Benjamin Moore, Duracell, and Dairy Queen....

....MUCH MORE

As we mentioned in Sunday's "The best wit and wisdom from Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger at Berkshire Hathaway’s annual meeting" (BRK)", CNBC and Yahoo Finance seem to do the most comprehensive coverage of the meeting. Here are more of Yahoo's offerings: 

*Here are BRK's operating companies:

BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC.


Acme Brick Company

IMC International Metalworking Companies

Alleghany Corporation

IPS

Ben Bridge Jeweler

Jazwares

Benjamin Moore & Co.

Johns Manville

Berkshire Hathaway Automotive

Jordan's Furniture

Berkshire Hathaway Direct Insurance Company (THREE)

Justin Brands

Berkshire Hathaway Energy Company

Kraft Heinz

Berkshire Hathaway GUARD Insurance Companies

Larson-Juhl

Berkshire Hathaway Homestate Companies

LiquidPower Specialty Products Inc. (LSPI)

Berkshire Hathaway Specialty Insurance

Louis - Motorcycle & Leisure

biBERK Business Insurance

Lubrizol Corporation

BoatU.S.

Marmon Holdings, Inc.

Borsheims Fine Jewelry

McLane Company

Brooks

MedPro Group

BNSF

MiTek Inc.

Business Wire

MLMIC Insurance Company

Central States Indemnity Company

National Indemnity Company

Charter Brokerage

Nebraska Furniture Mart

Clayton Homes

NetJets®

CORT Business Services

Oriental Trading Company

CTB Inc.

Pampered Chef®

Duracell

Pilot Travel Centers

Fechheimer Brothers Company

Precision Castparts Corp.

FlightSafety

RC Willey Home Furnishings

Forest River

Richline Group

Fruit of the Loom Companies

Scott Fetzer Companies

Garan Incorporated

See's Candies

Gateway Underwriters Agency

Shaw Industries

GEICO Auto Insurance

Star Furniture

General Re

TTI, Inc.

Helzberg Diamonds

United States Liability Insurance Group

H.H. Brown Shoe Group

W&W/AFCO Steel

HomeServices of America

XTRA Corporation

International Dairy Queen, Inc.