Thursday, September 19, 2013

Natural Gas Up 1% on EIA Storage Report

$3.7500 up 1.03%. Watch that $3.74 line for a break, if it doesn't hold, $3.60 is the next line that bidders came in at, back on the 12th.
From the EIA:

Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report
for week ending September 13, 2013.   |   Released: September 19, 2013 at 10:30 a.m.   |   Next Release: September 26, 2013

Working gas in underground storage, lower 48 states Summary text CSV JSN


Historical Comparisons
Stocks
billion cubic feet (Bcf)

Year ago
(09/13/12)
5-Year average
(2008-2012)
Region 09/13/13 09/06/13 change
(Bcf) % change (Bcf) % change
East 1,688 1,647 41
1,869 -9.7 1,810 -6.7
West 511 507 4
497 2.8 461 10.8
Producing 1,100 1,099 1
1,121 -1.9 1,010 8.9
   Salt 259 262 -3
216 19.9 157 65.0
   Nonsalt 841 836 5
906 -7.2 853 -1.4
Total 3,299 3,253 46
3,486 -5.4 3,281 0.5

As I said in this morning's "Market Bubbles Are Caused By Keynesian Beauty Contests":
...For anyone unfamiliar with the contest, hang around until the EIA releases their natural gas storage numbers later this morning.

The object of the exercise is not to predict what  the figures will be, and not even to guess what the competition thinks the numbers will be but rather what the competition's reaction to the release will be.
Kind of a second derivative thing. 
We were seeing guesses in the 55 to 59 Bcf range with Energy Metro's Editor's Pick at 50 Bcf being one of the most conservative.
Usually you would expect a 5 to 10 Bcf miss to pop the futures 20 cents but today there was one little bit of exuberance and right back down:
FinViz

Earlier:
"Natural Gas Storage Tealeaves for 9/19/13" Looking Very Toppy