Monday, April 20, 2020

Covid-19: What the Hell Happened In New York?

On every level, versus other states, versus other countries, versus other cities, New York's experience with the coronavirus is beyond compare.
There are a lot of data points to look at the comparisons from different perspectives, and we'll get to them over the course of this week, deaths per million population, cases per X-pop, comorbidity, the effect of New York City's numbers on New York State, on the U.S.; vs. other gateway cities: LAX, ATL, MIA, SFO etc in the U.S., Heathrow and Orly in Europe, Tokyo Narita, compared to any of these the New York pandemic is a disaster.

Here's the transcript from the April 18th U.S. Coronavirus Task Force press conference, Dr. Deborah Birx, Coronavirus Response Coordinator speaking.
Via Rev Transcripts:
...Dr. Deborah Birx: (32:42)
Thank you Mr. President. If we could have the first slide, I wanted to give you an update on where we are as states, and as counties, and as cities. I know you all are watching carefully. The numbers have shifted over the last few days. What happens when nations, when states change the reporting from confirmed to probable, so now all probable cases are included. They had to add them back in even though the cases may have been from March, they were added over 14, 15, and 16th of April. And states may continue to be adding them.

Dr. Deborah Birx: (33:20)
Eventually, we’re hoping that those get accounted for on the day when the presumptive cases or the probable cases were counted. But right now they’re added in in one fell swoop. So this is New York and New Jersey. And I think we all know how difficult, and what a difficult time both new New York and New Jersey have had. I call your attention to the axis. It goes up the 250,000 cases, so you can get a frame of how we’re talking about some of the other metro areas. Next slide.

Dr. Deborah Birx: (33:51)
These are the 25 metro areas, the top 25 metro areas, and you can only see the New York metro area in this slide. Again, the axis goes up to about 300,000, includes the New Jersey part of the metro area as well as part of southern Connecticut. Next slide.

Dr. Deborah Birx: (34:13)
But if I take New York out, and the reason I wanted to do that, now the axis is one 10th of the previous axis, so that previous slide, 300,000. This slide 30,000. So that will give you a frame of reference for some of these other metros. The reason I wanted to show you this is this is cumulative cases. And we are still tracking very closely the issues in Chicago and Boston. But on this slide I hope you can see the yellow line. That is Detroit. And Detroit and this mayor of Detroit has really done an extraordinary job. And the people of Detroit have done an extraordinary job with their social distancing.

Dr. Deborah Birx: (34:55)
The other line I want to call your attention to is the line here. This is New Orleans. And I think, frankly, I was concerned about New Orleans because they had a lot of preexisting comorbidities. They have two or three major hospitals, but cover a very large area, a geographic area. And that other blue line that you can see that’s down right here. That’s the Seattle line. And you can see that, their response, because of the nursing home alert, they were one of the first states and the first metro areas to really move to social distancing. And so they’ve really never had a peak like many of the other metros. Next slide.....MUCH MORE
Here's one of the slides:
https://i1.wp.com/www.powerlineblog.com/ed-assets/2020/04/Top25MetroAreas-1024x576-1.png?ssl=1
That's just one measure, total cases. It's even worse when you look at deaths per million population.
Again, what the hell?

More to come later this week.