Thursday, April 11, 2013

Bullish Natural Gas Report Not Enough To Hold Above Resistance

Following up on yesterday's "Late Natural Gas Market Commentary" where Mr. Chirichella pointed out:
...In fact the spot futures contract once again worked its way to the upper range resistance level of $4.16/mmbtu only to fail to breach and settle above this level for the third time this week. This failed attempt was after Tuesday's failure to breach the lower range support level of around $4/mmbtu. By the end of Wednesday's trading session the market shed about half of its intraday gains and settled in the middle of the trading range....
Here's today's action via FinViz:


Note the dreaded House with Gingerbread Gothic Gable pattern which appears to be forming.
$4.14, last.
From the EIA:

Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report
for week ending April 5, 2013.   |   Released: April 11, 2013 at 10:30 a.m.   |   Next Release: April 18, 2013

Working gas in underground storage, lower 48 states Summary text CSV JSN


Historical Comparisons
Stocks
billion cubic feet (Bcf)

Year ago
(04/05/12)
5-Year average
(2008-2012)
Region 04/05/13 03/29/13 change
(Bcf) % change (Bcf) % change
East 646 662 -16
1,089 -40.7 738 -12.5
West 337 330 7
352 -4.3 265 27.2
Producing 690 695 -5
1,036 -33.4 736 -6.3
   Salt 168 166 2
258 -34.9 136 23.5
   Nonsalt 522 529 -7
777 -32.8 599 -12.9
Total 1,673 1,687 -14
2,477 -32.5 1,739 -3.8

Summary

Working gas in storage was 1,673 Bcf as of Friday, April 5, 2013, according to EIA estimates. This represents a net decline of 14 Bcf from the previous week. Stocks were 804 Bcf less than last year at this time and 66 Bcf below the 5-year average of 1,739 Bcf....MORE