Showing posts sorted by date for query planktos. Sort by relevance Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by date for query planktos. Sort by relevance Show all posts

Thursday, March 20, 2025

Climate Manipulation: "How One Company Wants to Make Geoengineering Profitable"

From UnDark, March 17:

Stardust, an Israeli-U.S. startup, intends to patent its unique technology for temporarily cooling the planet. 

In July 2012, a renegade American businessman, Russ George, took a ship off the coast of British Columbia and dumped 100 tons of iron sulfate dust into the Pacific Ocean. He had unilaterally, and some suggest illegally, decided to trigger an algae bloom to absorb some carbon dioxide from the atmosphere — an attempt at geoengineering, a tech-based approach to combating climate change. It was a one-off, the largest known geoengineering experiment at the time, and a harbinger for more to come.

Now a startup called Stardust seeks something more ambitious: developing proprietary geoengineering technology that would help block sun rays from reaching the planet. Stardust formed in 2023 and is based in Israel, but incorporated in the United States.

Its approach is novel: Most geoengineering research today is led by scientists in the U.S. at universities and federal agencies, and the work they are doing is more or less accessible to public scrutiny. Stardust is at the forefront of an alternative path: One in which private companies drive the development, and perhaps deployment, of technologies that experts say could have profound consequences for the planet.

Geoengineering projects, even those led by climate scientists at major universities, have previously drawn the ire of environmentalists and other groups. Such a deliberate transformation of the atmosphere has never been done, and many uncertainties remain. If a geoengineering project went awry, for example, it could contribute to air pollution and ozone loss, or have dramatic effects on weather patterns, such as disrupting monsoons in populous South and East Asia.

But as global temperatures rise, public and scientific sentiments are shifting. If those temperature trends continue, governments or private entities may ultimately use geoengineering to alleviate or avoid the worst impacts of extreme weather, including deadly heat waves, firestorms, and hurricanes. And whoever deploys the technology will need to keep it up for decades while pent-up greenhouse gases gradually dissipate or are removed.

Few outsiders have gotten a glimpse of Stardust’s plans, and the company has not publicly released details about its technology, its business model, or exactly who works at its company. But the company appears to be positioning itself to develop and sell a proprietary geoengineering technology to governments that are considering making modifications to the global climate — acting like a kind of defense contractor for climate alteration.

Stardust is moving ahead amid few national and international rules and oversight, and a recent report by the company’s former climate governance consultant, Janos Pasztor, called for the company to increase its transparency, engagement, and communication with outsiders. The report provides rare insight into the so-far reticent company. But, so far, Pasztor told Undark, the company has not met all of his requests. Stardust still needs to implement his recommendations, and “be as transparent as possible, be available proactively to respond to questions people may have, and also to engage with other actors,” he said, because they do not, or not yet, have a “social license” for geoengineering activities.

Such a deliberate transformation of the atmosphere has never been done, and many uncertainties remain.

The company is led by CEO and cofounder Yanai Yedvab, a former deputy chief scientist at the Israel Atomic Energy Commission, which oversees the country’s clandestine nuclear program. Through Eli Zupnick, a communications officer hired by the company, Yedvab never accepted Undark’s many requests for an interview. But in an emailed statement to Undark sent via Zupnick, Yedvab wrote: “Stardust is a startup focused on researching and developing technologies that may potentially stop global warming in the short term.” The company, he continued, is “studying and developing a safe, responsible, and controllable solar radiation modification” and “our goal is to enable informed and responsible decision making of the international community and governments.”

Despite Stardust’s low profile, the company rejects being referred to as “secretive.” “Publishing all the products of our research without any exception is critical,” Yedvab wrote, adding that the company is “unwaveringly committed” to publishing results “as one of the measures to gain public trust.” Stardust has not published any of its research at this time, but Yedvab stressed they will do so once “scientific validation is concluded” on all of their results.


For decades, researchers have explored a variety of approaches to hacking the climate. Today, the most common approach is a type of solar geoengineering that involves flying high-altitude aircraft or balloons to release reflective particles in the high atmosphere, well above the flight paths of commercial planes. The technique, known as stratospheric aerosol injection, requires deploying tiny, carefully- chosen particles in precise amounts. In order to work well, the particles need to be periodically replenished.

Scientists have accumulated evidence for this approach by studying natural events that have flung small particles into the atmosphere. For instance, after an eruption of Mount Pinatubo in 1991, sulfur dioxide and hydrogen sulfide hung in the atmosphere and measurably cooled the planet for more than a year....

....MUCH MORE

If interested we have what is probably the most comprehensive collection of posts on Russ George and Planktos that one is likely to find on the internet including such hits as "Plankton Bloom Heralded Earth’s Greatest Extinction" and "Plankton Week: Planktos and the Pope". 

TL;dr: he was right about the efficacy of what is probably the safest approach to geoengineering: sequestering CO2 by feeding nutrients to plankton. However, he was absolutely wrong to go it alone as a profit-making venture: despite being safer than say sunshielding in the upper atmosphere the risk of the plankton approach is you could start a literal ice age.*

Here's another little company that thinks they can do whatever they want:

This is why you want to be careful with the geoengineering proposals. Some links after the jump....
*****
One of the reasons we ran Plankton Week last October—no, not as counterprogramming to Shark Week—was to refresh memories of one of the topics of conversation at all the better salons and soirées circa 2007.

Plankton Week: “Give me a half tanker of iron, and I will give you an ice age.”

The headline quote is from oceanographer John Martin during a 1988 lecture at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. Here's NASA's Earth Observatory archive page on the statement.

It is a bit of an exaggeration, you may need ten of those Valemax bulk carriers, currently the second largest ships in the world at 400,000 dwt (Euronav's two TI oil tankers at 441,000 dwt are bigger), to make an environmental change but what a change it would be. The orders of magnitude of carbon the iron-fed plankton would sequester are almost mind-boggling:

...Martin gathered the results of the incubation experiments and laid out the evidence in support of the Iron Hypothesis together with some back‐of‐the‐envelope calculations and presented his findings at a Journal Club lecture at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in July of 1988. He estimated that using a conservative Fe : C ratio that 300,000 tons of iron in the Southern Ocean induce the growth of phytoplankton that could draw down an estimated two billion tons of carbon dioxide. Then, putting on his best Dr. Strangelove accent, he suggested that “with half a ship load of iron….I could give you an ice age.” The symposium broke up with laughter and everyone retired to the lawn outside the Redfield Building for beers (from Chisholm and Morel, Editors, preface to: What controls phytoplankton production in nutrient‐rich areas of the open sea? Limnology and Oceanography, 36, 8 December 1991). 

As repeated in "John Holland Martin: From Picograms to Petagrams and Copepods to Climate"
—Bulletin of Limnology and Oceanography, Wiley. 25 March 2016

This year's energy-sourced emissions of CO2 should come in at 30.6 gigatonnes ( 30,600,000,000 tonnes) of which a large part will reenter the carbon cycle, becoming plant material etc. but it is the stuff that remains in the atmosphere after the rest is sequestered that is available to feed the plankton.
So, very, very serious business.
Don't try this at home....

Friday, September 6, 2024

"Is This Climate Tech Start-Up Going Rogue?"

Yes, but think of the money to be made.

From IEEE Spectrum, September 3:

Make Sunsets' sulfur dioxide strategy has academics and NGOs fuming 

Another day, and another weather balloon ascends gracefully into the clear blue skies above Northern California. But this balloon isn’t headed up to the stratosphere to predict the weather—it’s going there to change it.

Make Sunsets is a tiny start-up headquartered in South Dakota that is using balloons to release small quantities of sulfur dioxide into the upper atmosphere, in the hope of reflecting some of the Sun’s energy away from the earth. Each gram of SO2, says Andrew Song, one of Make Sunsets’ founders, offsets the warming from one metric ton of carbon dioxide released by burning fossil fuels. Not everyone is convinced by Make Sunsets’ methods, however—and many researchers and environmentalists worry the startup’s unregulated operations are disrupting more responsible research into geoengineering, including a prominent effort at Harvard.

Make Sunsets’ name is a reference to the dramatic sunsets that high-altitude SO2 particles can produce, as seen following the eruption of Mount Pinatubo in 1991. That eruption briefly depressed global temperatures by about 0.2 °C for a year, until the particles slowly returned to Earth. 

The 53 kilograms of sulfur dioxide Make Sunsets has released since February 2023 is the cooling equivalent of planting 2.5 million trees, again for about a year, says Song, although neither he nor anyone at Make Sunsets is a professional climate scientist. “The largest direct air capture facility in the world can only remove about 4,000 to 5,000 tons per year,” he says. “We could do that in literally one session with balloons, without the capital costs. We are only restricted by customer demand.”

Make Sunsets finances its operations by selling US $10 “cooling credits” for launching each gram of SO2. Customers include both individuals and corporate customers like Numerous.ai, which was looking to offset emissions-related warming from its AI spreadsheet software.

“I believe that stratospheric SO2 injection is now well-researched enough that the risks associated with it are smaller than the risks of the effects of the temperature rise it prevents,“ says Mehran Jalali, co-founder of Numerous.ai. “Dealing with Make Sunsets was very simple and their answers to my many questions made sense.”

Not everyone is happy with Make Sunsets
But although solar geoengineering promises one of the quickest routes to reducing warming quickly (if only temporarily), not everyone is happy with Make Sunsets. “There’s a lot of disagreement among folks thinking about solar geoengineering, but most agree that Make Sunsets is a bad idea,” says Sikina Jinnah, a professor of environmental studies at the University of California Santa Cruz. Jinnah was also the co-chair of Harvard University’s Stratospheric Controlled Perturbation Experiment (SCoPEX) advisory committee, one of the first efforts to design a governance framework for an outdoor solar geoengineering experiment.

“A couple of rogue tech bros taking action completely outside the scope of government authority or any public engagement are really embodying the nightmare of what folks think this could be,” Jinnah says.

The consensus among most atmospheric scientists is that we have only a very limited understanding of how to inject particles effectively into the upper atmosphere without triggering side effects such as damage to the ozone layer, disrupting weather patterns like monsoons, or causing pollution at ground level. Solar geoengineering could also lock us into having to continue to inject particles essentially forever, in order to avoid the “termination shock” of a sudden temperature rise....

....MUCH MORE

Another potential trillionaire-maker was Planktos, chronicled here in real-time over a few dozen posts

Additionally, we've looked at the visual effect of sulfur injection a few times, most recently five years ago in ""This sulfur-spewing Russian volcano is turning sunsets purple" (and climate and art do a mashup)":

....And the other effect, noted in the Science article above and which has been captured by painters for at least a couple centuries, is the change of color of the sky
We highlighted one contested example in a post from 2010 (contested because Krakatoa erupted in 1883, ten years before Munch painted this version of the painting):

Hmmm... Krakatoa's Baby May be Getting Ready to Erupt
From Sky & Telescope

...A new analysis of Edvard Munch's The Scream provides the precise location where Munch and his friends were walking when he saw the blood-red sky depicted in the 1893 painting, as well as an explanation of why the sky appeared to be on fire. Through Munch's journals, topographic analysis, and a connection to the eruption of Krakatoa, proof now exists that the spectacular twilight seen in one of today's most recognizable paintings was inspired by this dramatic event.
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/c5/Edvard_Munch%2C_1893%2C_The_Scream%2C_oil%2C_tempera_and_pastel_on_cardboard%2C_91_x_73_cm%2C_National_Gallery_of_Norway.jpg

National Museum 
via Wikipedia
In "When The Sky Ran Red: The Story Behind The Scream," in the February 2004 issue of Sky & Telescope magazine, Donald W. Olson, a physics and astronomy professor at Texas State University, and his colleagues Russell L. Doescher and Marilynn S. Olson reveal how they journeyed to Oslo, Norway, to pinpoint the exact location where Munch stood when he "felt a great, unending scream piercing through nature," inspiring him to put his emotions on canvas. They determined that Munch and his friends were walking along a road once called Ljabrochausséen, which is now a modern roadway called Mosseveien. It was along the railing of Ljabrochausséen that Munch became overwhelmed with emotion. Olson and his team located a rocky hillside overlook that precisely matches the artist's vista of Christiania (now Oslo) harbor and Hovedø island....MORE  
And from the outro of that long ago post:

While Sky & Telescope focused on The Scream, the effect can be seen in other art of the decade following the eruption including some Impressionist masterpieces.
***

A similar size eruption in 1815 is believed to have influenced the color choices of J.M.W. Turner:


Source: Guardian Unlimited

You can see more of the effect in the Tate Museum's online Turner collection "Skies Sketchbook [Finberg CLVIII]"

Saturday, May 25, 2024

"Where the Ocean Exhales "—Carbon and the Southern Ocean

If humans are ever forced to do geoengineering the engineering we should do is feed the phytoplankton by fertilizing with iron. And the place we should do it is the Southern Ocean.
And the pace we should do it at is SLOWLY.*
 
From Nautil.us, May 22:
 
The Southern Ocean controls how much carbon is released into the atmosphere—and our warming world is changing it.
When one thinks of Antarctica, one imagines a vast landscape in shades of blinding white, ice and snow stretching as far as the eye can see. But to really consider Antarctica is to consider its water.

The Southern Ocean, which encircles Antarctica, is where the ocean exhales. It is the primary place where the water of the deep oceans rises to the surface, mingles with the atmosphere in a kind of embrace, and then sinks back into the depths. In the course of this exchange, the Southern Ocean both consumes carbon from the atmosphere and releases some of the vast quantities of carbon stored in the deep ocean, the Earth’s largest natural carbon sink. The Southern Ocean therefore controls the global exchange of carbon between ocean and atmosphere, which is vital to regulating global carbon dioxide levels.  But climate change may alter this dynamic.

We spoke to Elisabeth L. Sikes, a marine biogeochemist and paleooceanographer with Rutgers University who has received awards for her research on Antarctica and the Southern Ocean, about why the Southern Ocean is so vital to carbon regulation and how global climate change is influencing its role.

How does the Southern Ocean work as a carbon sink?

It’s both a source and a sink. Phytoplankton in the surface ocean take up CO2, through photosynthesis. And when they die, their bodies sink to the bottom of the ocean and somebody else eats them. Then that carbon—that they’ve pulled from the atmosphere, turned into organic matter, and sunk—is released back into the deep ocean as CO2. So that CO2 is sequestered in the deep ocean. And that process is called the biological pump.

That’s the first step in why the ocean can sequester CO2. The second step is sort of why it comes back out again.

And how does that happen?

The ocean has deep circulation that’s different from the surface circulation, which is wind-driven. This deep circulation is called thermohaline circulation. The main place this deep water forms is the North Atlantic.

The Gulf Stream delivers very warm, salty water to the North Atlantic. When you chill salty water—which is already dense from the salt—it gets really cold and really dense. And so that North Atlantic deep water travels around the bottom of the ocean. This deep water is cut off from the rest of the ocean, and it’s traveling along, and that biological pump is putting organic matter into it, which turns into CO2. So now you’re building up all of the CO2 in the deep ocean.

It’s about winds, and it’s about density.

....MUCH MORE
*
from 2021's "Searching for the Dust That Cooled the Planet":
This is why you want to be careful with the geoengineering proposals. Some links after the jump....
*****
One of the reasons we ran Plankton Week last October—no, not as counterprogramming to Shark Week—was to refresh memories of one of the topics of conversation at all the better salons and soirées circa 2007.

Plankton Week: “Give me a half tanker of iron, and I will give you an ice age.”

The headline quote is from oceanographer John Martin during a 1988 lecture at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. Here's NASA's Earth Observatory archive page on the statement.

It is a bit of an exaggeration, you may need ten of those Valemax bulk carriers, currently the second largest ships in the world at 400,000 dwt (Euronav's two TI oil tankers at 441,000 dwt are bigger), to make an environmental change but what a change it would be. The orders of magnitude of carbon the iron-fed plankton would sequester are almost mind-boggling:

...Martin gathered the results of the incubation experiments and laid out the evidence in support of the Iron Hypothesis together with some back‐of‐the‐envelope calculations and presented his findings at a Journal Club lecture at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in July of 1988. He estimated that using a conservative Fe : C ratio that 300,000 tons of iron in the Southern Ocean induce the growth of phytoplankton that could draw down an estimated two billion tons of carbon dioxide. Then, putting on his best Dr. Strangelove accent, he suggested that “with half a ship load of iron….I could give you an ice age.” The symposium broke up with laughter and everyone retired to the lawn outside the Redfield Building for beers (from Chisholm and Morel, Editors, preface to: What controls phytoplankton production in nutrient‐rich areas of the open sea? Limnology and Oceanography, 36, 8 December 1991). 

As repeated in "John Holland Martin: From Picograms to Petagrams and Copepods to Climate"
—Bulletin of Limnology and Oceanography, Wiley. 25 March 2016

This year's energy-sourced emissions of CO2 should come in at 30.6 gigatonnes ( 30,600,000,000 tonnes) of which a large part will reenter the carbon cycle, becoming plant material etc. but it is the stuff that remains in the atmosphere after the rest is sequestered that is available to feed the plankton.
So, very, very serious business.
Don't try this at home....
*****

....Coming up tomorrow, the Pope, and a Vancouver stock promoter.

Our series thus far:
October 27
Plankton Week: "Metal deposits from Chinese coal plants end up in the Pacific Ocean, research shows"
October 26
"Plankton Bloom Heralded Earth’s Greatest Extinction"
....MUCH MORE
And many, many more. If interested use the 'search blog' box, keyword plankton and Planktos for the saga of the Pope and the stock promoter.
Also whales. Huge benefits.

Sunday, February 4, 2024

Geoengineering: "Iron Fertilization Isn’t Going to Save Us"

Huh. Of all the emergency, if we really, really-have-to-do-it-geoengineering methods, this is the one we lean toward. Links below.

From Hakai Magazine, January 13:

The controversial geoengineering technique can defer, at best, a few years’ worth of emissions. And that’s ignoring the potential side effects.

Last year, global carbon emissions from burning fossil fuels reached an all-time high. As the world heats up, many influential bodies—such as the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the governments of China and the United States, and especially fossil fuel companies—are calling for the development of carbon removal technologies. These techniques pull carbon dioxide, a potent greenhouse gas, out of the air or water and lock it away in an inaccessible form. At a big enough scale, these technologies can theoretically counterbalance emissions and help cool things down—or at least slow the rate of warming.

That’s why, in November 2021, Edwina Tanner, a marine scientist at the Australia-based biotechnology company Ocean Nourishment Corporation, dumped a mix of nutrients from a boat into the water in Botany Bay, on the south side of Sydney, Australia. As waves rocked the craft, currents pulled the red-dyed slurry in every direction, permeating one tiny patch of the world’s largest carbon sink: the ocean.

The limiting factor for the abundance of life at the ocean’s surface is often the availability of essential nutrients like iron, nitrogen, and phosphorus. So when a glut of nutrients arrives in the form of volcanic dust, wildfire ash, water upwelled from the deep, or a lab-made mixture, the sudden bounty allows tiny photosynthesizing phytoplankton to flourish. Like plants, these single-celled organisms use sunlight and carbon dioxide as fuel. The important thing for those concerned with climate change is that when these phytoplankton die, some of them sink, dragging the carbon in their bodies to the seafloor where it becomes trapped.

Oceanographer John Martin first proposed the idea of manipulating the ocean’s nutrients to store carbon in the late 1980s. There have been a few experiments since, but in general, says Tanner, getting real-world data on how well nutrient fertilization works is incredibly challenging. The public doesn’t have a big appetite for large-scale climate experiments at sea, she says.

The last large-scale attempt was a decade ago and, to Tanner’s point, it was spectacularly controversial. So in recent years, scientists have instead turned to laboratory work, computational models, and smaller field trials to better understand ocean nutrient fertilization. Modeling published in 2017, for instance, suggests that adding nitrogen and phosphorus to the ocean could lock away up to 1.5 gigatonnes of carbon per year from the atmosphere.

Tanner and her team at Ocean Nourishment Corporation are among the many scientists striving to learn more. Although she hopes to run larger field experiments, it’s difficult to get permission from the Australian government for trials exceeding 2,000 liters of the nutrient mixture. In the Botany Bay experiment, the researchers added only 300 liters of their nutrient mix. Working with such small quantities makes calculating the consequences very challenging. To circumvent the restrictions, they’re building a bioreactor to test how different mixes of nutrients stimulate phytoplankton growth and affect the rate of carbon storage.

Other researchers, too, are digging into nutrient fertilization. In 2023, for example, Joo-Eun Yoon, an applied mathematician at the University of Cambridge in England, conducted experiments with a team in the Arabian Sea off Goa, India, to find out how to best deliver nutrients to the ocean. Maximizing carbon storage, it turns out, is not as simple as just dumping nutrients overboard.....

....MUCH MORE

Previously:
"Searching for the Dust That Cooled the Planet"
This is why you want to be careful with the geoengineering proposals. Some links after the jump.
*****
One of the reasons we ran Plankton Week last October—no, not as counterprogramming to Shark Week—was to refresh memories of one of the topics of conversation at all the better salons and soirées circa 2007.

Plankton Week: “Give me a half tanker of iron, and I will give you an ice age.”

The headline quote is from oceanographer John Martin during a 1988 lecture at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. Here's NASA's Earth Observatory archive page on the statement.

It is a bit of an exaggeration, you may need ten of those Valemax bulk carriers, currently the second largest ships in the world at 400,000 dwt (Euronav's two TI oil tankers at 441,000 dwt are bigger), to make an environmental change but what a change it would be. The orders of magnitude of carbon the iron-fed plankton would sequester are almost mind-boggling:

...Martin gathered the results of the incubation experiments and laid out the evidence in support of the Iron Hypothesis together with some back‐of‐the‐envelope calculations and presented his findings at a Journal Club lecture at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in July of 1988. He estimated that using a conservative Fe : C ratio that 300,000 tons of iron in the Southern Ocean induce the growth of phytoplankton that could draw down an estimated two billion tons of carbon dioxide. Then, putting on his best Dr. Strangelove accent, he suggested that “with half a ship load of iron….I could give you an ice age.” The symposium broke up with laughter and everyone retired to the lawn outside the Redfield Building for beers (from Chisholm and Morel, Editors, preface to: What controls phytoplankton production in nutrient‐rich areas of the open sea? Limnology and Oceanography, 36, 8 December 1991). 

As repeated in "John Holland Martin: From Picograms to Petagrams and Copepods to Climate"
—Bulletin of Limnology and Oceanography, Wiley. 25 March 2016

This year's energy-sourced emissions of CO2 should come in at 30.6 gigatonnes ( 30,600,000,000 tonnes) of which a large part will reenter the carbon cycle, becoming plant material etc. but it is the stuff that remains in the atmosphere after the rest is sequestered that is available to feed the plankton.
So, very, very serious business.
Don't try this at home....
*****

....Coming up tomorrow, the Pope, and a Vancouver stock promoter.

Our series thus far:
October 27
Plankton Week: "Metal deposits from Chinese coal plants end up in the Pacific Ocean, research shows"
October 26
"Plankton Bloom Heralded Earth’s Greatest Extinction"

And many many more going back to Russ George and Planktos in 2007. 

Wednesday, August 30, 2023

"Money Is Pouring Into AI. Skeptics Say It’s a ‘Grift Shift.’"

After Nvidia's blowout numbers it appears that most, if not all of the actual profit (not market cap) has gone to NVDA. Free cash flow for the quarter was: $6,048,000,000.

From Institutional Investor, August 29:

The move from crypto to artificial intelligence has fueled the markets this year, but some are questioning how much of it is real.

By the time a dormant penny stock company known as Applied Sciences managed to wrangle a listing on the Nasdaq in April 2022, it had reinvented itself as a cloud hosting service for bitcoin miners and changed its name to Applied Blockchain. But with the crypto world crashing that spring, the stock never took off. Within months, Applied Blockchain pivoted again — renaming itself Applied Digital.

If its previous iteration had been too late to cash in on the bitcoin mining craze, the company wasn’t going to miss the next big one: artificial intelligence.

Applied Digital’s stock finally began to soar in May, when CEO Wes Cummins announced that the company had signed a cloud hosting deal potentially worth $180 million with an unnamed but prominent AI customer, and another one for up to $460 million with another big player in the booming AI space. By July, the stock had surged some 450 percent for the year, becoming — for a time, at least — one of the big winners in today’s AI-driven stock market.

Applied Digital is hardly alone in trying to capture some AI magic. Ever since ChatGPT burst onto the scene last November — with its “large language model” boasting a humanlike writing capability that at first blush seems to ensure productivity gains for everyone from publishers and movie studios to investment banks and hedge funds — so-called “generative AI” has turned the markets on their heads.

Coming off the worst year in recent history for venture capitalists, private market players like Andreessen Horowitz, Coatue Management, Tiger Global, Sequoia Capital, and Softbank quickly redirected their dollars to AI upstarts. Meanwhile, the stock prices of the big tech names suspected to be the major beneficiaries of this often-called “revolutionary” form of artificial intelligence have skyrocketed. The 2022 tech downturn became a faint memory as some five tech companies — Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia — accounted for the lion’s share of the stock market’s remarkable comeback this year, with the S&P 500 rising 20 percent through July. Nvidia, maker of the superfast chips that switched from powering bitcoin mining to making generative AI possible, has gained more than 250 percent so far in 2023, making it the S&P index’s top gainer.

In the midst of this bonanza, Applied Digital’s CEO — who is also the president of B. Riley Asset Management and was at one point the owner of about 25 percent of Applied Digital’s shares — posted on Twitter (now X) in June that the company had ordered 26,000 top-tier H100 GPUs, or video processing cards, from Nvidia for $40,000 apiece. To those casting a wary eye on the company, it seemed too good to be true. A purchase that big would allow Applied Digital to “jump to the top of the pile in high-performance computing, alongside Google, Meta, and [Amazon Web Services],” short-seller Dan David said in a Wolfpack Research report that called the company “an embarrassing and predictable stock promotion.” He noted that the cost to purchase such equipment would run more than $1 billion — more than Applied Digital’s market cap of nearly $600 million.

“The explosion of interest in AI after the emergence of ChatGPT has predictably attracted the worst promoters and scumbags to peddle fake AI wares to credulous investors,” says David, who claims Applied Digital is one of them. (The company did not respond to a request for comment.)

Applied Digital is one of nearly a dozen companies that short-sellers have been eyeing this year as questionable beneficiaries of AI mania. The shorts say their antennae are on the alert for even more. But so far, the skeptics are fighting an uphill battle. Short interest is relatively high in several of these stocks, and it’s been costly to bet against them. As of August 25, Applied Digital short-sellers, for example, had placed bets on 19 percent of the outstanding shares of the company. The short-sellers in aggregate are down almost 30 percent this year on the name, having lost about $10 million, says S3 Partners — although those who shorted Applied Digital at or near its peak would have profited.

Orso Partners co-founder Nate Koppikar, who is also short Applied Digital, has a term for what he sees going on. He calls the phenomenon “the grift shift” — arguing that companies and venture capital funds have pivoted from their losing crypto and tech bets to cash in on the AI moment....

....MUCH MORE

It was ever thus. Here's a May 2008 post:

 Chameleons on the Pink Sheets
On April 22 I was rambling about Planktos and penny stock deals:

...A classic history would be a Vancouver "junior resource" company in 1979, after the collapse of the oil and gold markets became a solar deal in '81 , an Aloe Vera deal to the yuppies mid '80's, a biotech in '86 ("we're the next Amgen"or "A cure for AIDS"), then on to neutraceuticals or spas, Indian casinos, software, then the great "i", "e-" and ".com" gold rush. Someday I'll get around to checking if some lunatic scammer actually went with "e-iTrade.com".The next group of parasites were the "homeland security" companies, then land deals. 
The "resource" scams never went away and became more prominent in 2002 after gold had moved off its $252 bear market low.
We're in the Green boom (happy Earth day by the way) now, who knows what's next....
Today in EuroInvestor:
...The recently re-named Homeland Security Network, Inc. (Pink Sheets:HYSN), doing business as Global Ecology Corporation (GEC) announced today that it has received their initial order from its soil remediation project in Juarez, Mexico. The total value of the purchase orders, involving several of the partnership’s soil-based products, is $2 million with delivery to begin this June....

Tuesday, May 30, 2023

Andreessen Horowitz-Backed Mecha Fight Club, An NFT Robot Cockfighting Game, Put On Ice As Maker Pivots To AI

What a time to be alive.

From Web3 Is Going Just Great, May 13:

A year ago, Andreessen Horowitz general partner Arianna Simpson wrote about the firm's investment into Irreverent Labs. Simpson had joined their first $5 million funding round, and Andreessen Horowitz led their $40 million Series A. The company had yet to produce any product, but successfully pitched Simpson on what she described as "some sort of chicken game".

Now, the company has announced that the project will be paused "for the indefinite future", blaming "lack of clarity" and "regulatory confusion" in the United States. The company simultaneously announced "SOL 4 Cocks", in which they will repurchase the Mecha Fight Club NFTs for 18 SOL (~$380). The NFTs had originally minted for 6.969 SOL (~$290 on mint date)....

....MORE

It's the circle of life. Here's another example from May of 2008:

Chameleons on the Pink Sheets
On April 22 I was rambling about Planktos and penny stock deals:
...A classic history would be a Vancouver "junior resource" company in 1979, after the collapse of the oil and gold markets became a solar deal in '81 , an Aloe Vera deal to the yuppies mid '80's, a biotech in '86 ("we're the next Amgen"or "A cure for AIDS"), then on to neutraceuticals or spas, Indian casinos, software, then the great "i", "e-" and ".com" gold rush. Someday I'll get around to checking if some lunatic scammer actually went with "e-iTrade.com".

The next group of parasites were the "homeland security" companies, then land deals. The "resource" scams never went away and became more prominent in 2002 after gold had moved off its $252 bear market low. We're in the Green boom (happy Earth day by the way) now, who knows what's next....

Today in EuroInvestor:

...The recently re-named Homeland Security Network, Inc. (Pink Sheets:HYSN), doing business as Global Ecology Corporation (GEC) announced today that it has received their initial order from its soil remediation project in Juarez, Mexico. The total value of the purchase orders, involving several of the partnerships soil-based products, is $2 million with delivery to begin this June....
Also at Web3 Is Going Just Great:
Malfunctioning bot costs Poo Finance token hunters $440,000

Friday, February 17, 2023

"Amazon Funds Seaweed Farming at Offshore Wind Farm to Test CO2 Capture" (AMZN)

More bang for the buck (CO2 sequestered) with plankton. Plus, if the plankton is eaten by a whale and transformed into whale doo, much of it will sink into the abyss, effectively sequestered for eons.

From Maritime Executive, February 16:

Internet giant Amazon is providing $1.6 million in funding for the development of the world’s first commercial-scale seaweed farm, which will be located between the turbines in an offshore wind farm in the Netherlands. Part of a larger effort by Dutch authorities to make better use of the sea space within the wind farm lease areas, this project is designed to test and improve methods of seaweed farming, while researching the potential of seaweed to sequester carbon.

Know as North Sea Farm 1, the project is managed by a consortium of scientific researchers and partners from the seaweed industry, led by the non-profit organization North Sea Farmers. Amazon’s grant will provide the investment required to construct a 10-hectare seaweed farm, which is expected to produce at least 6,000kg of fresh seaweed in its first year. They expect it will become operational by the end of 2023....

....MUCH MORE

If the shallower water is otherwise a carbon desert (a rarity) it is probably a good use of the space under and between the turbines. However, as with so much of this stuff the temptation will be to claim the gross mass of the vegetation as carbon credits with no concern for any bits of the carbon cycle that is displaced, which bits would bring the net sequestration down considerably.

On the other hand....from 2021's "Searching for the Dust That Cooled the Planet":
This is why you want to be careful with the geoengineering proposals. Some links after the jump....
*****
One of the reasons we ran Plankton Week last October—no, not as counterprogramming to Shark Week—was to refresh memories of one of the topics of conversation at all the better salons and soirées circa 2007.

Plankton Week: “Give me a half tanker of iron, and I will give you an ice age.”

The headline quote is from oceanographer John Martin during a 1988 lecture at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. Here's NASA's Earth Observatory archive page on the statement.

It is a bit of an exaggeration, you may need ten of those Valemax bulk carriers, currently the second largest ships in the world at 400,000 dwt (Euronav's two TI oil tankers at 441,000 dwt are bigger), to make an environmental change but what a change it would be. The orders of magnitude of carbon the iron-fed plankton would sequester are almost mind-boggling:

...Martin gathered the results of the incubation experiments and laid out the evidence in support of the Iron Hypothesis together with some back‐of‐the‐envelope calculations and presented his findings at a Journal Club lecture at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in July of 1988. He estimated that using a conservative Fe : C ratio that 300,000 tons of iron in the Southern Ocean induce the growth of phytoplankton that could draw down an estimated two billion tons of carbon dioxide. Then, putting on his best Dr. Strangelove accent, he suggested that “with half a ship load of iron….I could give you an ice age.” The symposium broke up with laughter and everyone retired to the lawn outside the Redfield Building for beers (from Chisholm and Morel, Editors, preface to: What controls phytoplankton production in nutrient‐rich areas of the open sea? Limnology and Oceanography, 36, 8 December 1991). 

As repeated in "John Holland Martin: From Picograms to Petagrams and Copepods to Climate"
—Bulletin of Limnology and Oceanography, Wiley. 25 March 2016

This year's energy-sourced emissions of CO2 should come in at 30.6 gigatonnes ( 30,600,000,000 tonnes) of which a large part will reenter the carbon cycle, becoming plant material etc. but it is the stuff that remains in the atmosphere after the rest is sequestered that is available to feed the plankton.
So, very, very serious business.
Don't try this at home....
*****

....Coming up tomorrow, the Pope, and a Vancouver stock promoter.

Our series thus far:
October 27
Plankton Week: "Metal deposits from Chinese coal plants end up in the Pacific Ocean, research shows"
October 26
"Plankton Bloom Heralded Earth’s Greatest Extinction"
....MUCH MORE

And many, many more. If interested use the 'search blog' box, keyword plankton and Planktos for the saga of the Pope and the stock promoter.
Also whales. Huge benefits.

Sunday, December 12, 2021

"Companies hoping to grow carbon-sucking kelp may be rushing ahead of the science"

Sequestering carbon in the briny deep is one approach. Another is to solidify the carbon into limestone or baking soda and bury it, deep. And while some big money (and political power) says removing carbon from the air is going to be required, there is opposition from folks with a range of objections; from the most common-sense: it is expensive and the cost of avoiding 1/10 degree C of warming should be laid in front of the people affected i.e. everyone. This is a number no one is talking about, even though it is basic math.* Another objection is the very real risk of severe cooling which is probably more dangerous than warming.** And then there is the unspoken objection: "but if we remove carbon I won't have my justification for mandating financial and economic rules-of-the-road and their capital, income, and cash flows."

From MIT's Technology Review, September 19:

In late January, Elon Musk tweeted that he planned to give $100 million to promising carbon removal technologies, stirring the hopes of researchers and entrepreneurs.

A few weeks later, Arin Crumley, a filmmaker who went on to develop electric skateboards, announced that a team was forming on Clubhouse, the audio app popular in Silicon Valley, to compete for a share of the Musk-funded XPrize.

A group of artists, designers, and engineers assembled there and discussed a variety of possible natural and technical means of sucking carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere. As the conversations continued and a core team coalesced, they formed a company, Pull To Refresh, and eventually settled on growing giant bladder kelp in the ocean.

So far, the venture’s main efforts include growing the seaweed in a tank and testing their control systems on a small fishing boat on a Northern California lake. But it’s already encouraging companies to “get in touch” if they’re interested in purchasing tons of sequestered CO2, as a way to balance out their greenhouse-gas emissions.

Crumley says that huge fleets of semi-autonomous vessels growing kelp could suck up around a trillion tons of carbon dioxide and store it away in the depths of the sea, effectively reversing climate change. “With a small amount of open ocean,” he says, “we can get back to preindustrial levels” of atmospheric carbon dioxide.

'No one knows'

Numerous studies show the world may need to remove billions of tons of carbon dioxide a year from the atmosphere by midcentury to prevent dangerous levels of warming or bring the planet back from them. In addition, more and more corporations are scouring the market for carbon credits that allow them to offset their emissions and claim progress toward the goal of carbon neutrality.

All of that has spurred a growing number of companies, investors, and research groups to explore carbon removal approaches that range from planting trees to grinding up minerals to building giant C02-sucking factories.

Kelp has become an especially active area of inquiry and investment because there’s already an industry that cultivates it on a large scale—and the theoretical carbon removal potential is significant. An expert panel assembled by the Energy Futures Initiative estimated that kelp has the capacity to pull down about 1 billion to 10 billion tons of carbon dioxide per year.

But scientists are still grappling with fundamental questions about this approach. How much kelp can we grow? What will it take to ensure that most of the seaweed sinks to the bottom of the ocean? And how much of the carbon will stay there long enough to really help the climate?

In addition, no one knows what the ecological impact of depositing billions of tons of dead biomass on sea floor would be.

“We just have zero experience with perturbing the bottom of the ocean with that amount of carbon,” says Steven Davis, an associate professor at the University of California, Irvine, who is analyzing the economics of various uses of kelp. “I don’t think anybody has a great idea what it will mean to actively intervene in the system at that scale.”

The scientific unknowns, however, haven’t prevented some ventures from rushing ahead, making bold promises and aiming to sell carbon credits. If the practice doesn’t sequester as much carbon as claimed it could slow or overstate progress on climate change, as the companies buying those credits carry on emitting on the false promise that the oceans are balancing out that pollution, ton for ton.

“For the field as a whole, I think, having this research done by universities in partnership with government scientists and national labs would go a long way toward establishing a basic level of trust before we’re commercializing some of this stuff,” says Holly Buck, an assistant professor at the University at Buffalo, who is studying the social implications of ocean-based carbon removal.

The lure of the ocean

Swaying columns of giant kelp line the rocky shores of California’s Monterey Bay, providing habitat and hunting grounds for rockfish, sea otters, and urchins. The brown macroalgae draws on sunlight, carbon dioxide, and nutrients in the cool coastal waters to grow up to two feet a day. The forests continually shed their blades and fronds, and the seaweed can be knocked loose entirely by waves and storms.

In the late 1980s, researchers at the Monterey Bay Aquarium began a series of experiments to determine where all that seaweed ends up. They attached radio transmitters to large floating rafts of kelp and scanned the ocean depths with remote-operated submarines.

The scientists estimated that the forests released more than 130,000 tons of kelp each year. Most of the rafts of kelp washed up on shore within the bay in a matter of days. But in the underwater observations, they found bundles of seaweed lining the walls and floor of an adjacent underwater gully known as the Carmel Submarine Canyon, hundreds of meters below the surface.

Scientists have spotted similar remnants of kelp on the deep ocean floors in coastal pockets throughout the world. And it’s clear that some of that carbon in the biomass stays down for millennia, because kelp is a known source of oil deposits.

A 2016 paper published in Nature Geoscience estimated that seaweed may naturally sequester nearly 175 million tons of carbon around the world each year as it sinks into the deep sea or drifts into submarine canyons.

That translates to well below the levels of carbon dioxide that the world will likely need to remove annually by midcentury—let alone the amounts envisioned by Crumley and his team. Which is why Pull To Refresh and other companies are exploring ways to radically scale up the growth of kelp, on offshore vessels or elsewhere....

*Regarding the basic question, almost childlike in its simplicity, "How much will your plan reduce the temperature? (not how much CO2 is avoided or removed)" that no one really cares to answer in a forthright manner, we have the example of the Kyoto Protocol. From 2008's "So You Want to Be a Carbon Trader...? (ASO; GRN)": 
....This has helped form my personal belief that carbon trading is not going to lower world temperature by even a half-a-degree.

For example, in an October 1998 article in Nature, Martin Parry (Co-chair of the IPCC's Working Group II) said the effect of the Kyoto Protocol (and it's associated carbon trading, CDM etc. [articles 6,12 and 17 of the protocol]) would be a reduction of –0.05°C by the year 2050.
Tom Wigley of the National Center for Atmospheric Research estimated that Kyoto would result in a reduction from baseline of 0.06°C to 0.21°C . (under one Kyoto scenario 0.06 to 0.11°C, under another 0.11 to 0.21). 
As Warren Buffett said (in a slightly different context):
"Now I'm known as a long-term investor and a patient guy, but that is not my idea of a big move."
**And regarding the risk from cooling, via February 2021's "Searching for the Dust That Cooled the Planet":

....One of the reasons we ran Plankton Week last October—no, not as counterprogramming to Shark Week—was to refresh memories of one of the topics of conversation at all the better salons and soirées circa 2007.  

Plankton Week: “Give me a half tanker of iron, and I will give you an ice age.”

The headline quote is from oceanographer John Martin during a 1988 lecture at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. Here's NASA's Earth Observatory archive page on the statement.

It is a bit of an exaggeration, you may need ten of those Valemax bulk carriers, currently the second largest ships in the world at 400,000 dwt (Euronav's two TI oil tankers at 441,000 dwt are bigger), to make an environmental change but what a change it would be. The orders of magnitude of carbon the iron-fed plankton would sequester are almost mind-boggling:

...Martin gathered the results of the incubation experiments and laid out the evidence in support of the Iron Hypothesis together with some back‐of‐the‐envelope calculations and presented his findings at a Journal Club lecture at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in July of 1988. He estimated that using a conservative Fe : C ratio that 300,000 tons of iron in the Southern Ocean induce the growth of phytoplankton that could draw down an estimated two billion tons of carbon dioxide. Then, putting on his best Dr. Strangelove accent, he suggested that “with half a ship load of iron….I could give you an ice age.” The symposium broke up with laughter and everyone retired to the lawn outside the Redfield Building for beers (from Chisholm and Morel, Editors, preface to: What controls phytoplankton production in nutrient‐rich areas of the open sea? Limnology and Oceanography, 36, 8 December 1991). 

As repeated in "John Holland Martin: From Picograms to Petagrams and Copepods to Climate"
—Bulletin of Limnology and Oceanography, Wiley. 25 March 2016

This year's energy-sourced emissions of CO2 should come in at 30.6 gigatonnes ( 30,600,000,000 tonnes) of which a large part will reenter the carbon cycle, becoming plant material etc. but it is the stuff that remains in the atmosphere after the rest is sequestered that is available to feed the plankton.
So, very, very serious business.
Don't try this at home....
*****

....Coming up tomorrow, the Pope, and a Vancouver stock promoter.

Our series thus far:
October 27
Plankton Week: "Metal deposits from Chinese coal plants end up in the Pacific Ocean, research shows"
October 26
"Plankton Bloom Heralded Earth’s Greatest Extinction"
....MUCH MORE

 
Possibly also of interest, April 2021's "Carbon Capture & Storage: The Current State of Play"

Friday, March 26, 2021

"WeWork to go public after merger with SPAC BowX Acquisition in a deal valued at $9 billion"

If readers who have been with us for a while are curious about the new blog descriptor: "Climateer Group - A WeWoke™ Company", we heard rumors yesterday that there might be a deal and decided to honor the company that actually said: “Our valuation and size today are much more based on our energy and spirituality than it is on a multiple of revenue."

Sort of like a Google doodle homage but with a bit less reach.

Our response to WeWork's valuation metrics was "Roger that, energy and spirituality. Over."

From MarketWatch:

WeWork is finally going public, after the flexible office space company announced Friday a merger with special-purpose acquisition company BowX Acquisition Corp. in a deal valuing WeWork at $9 billion.

Under terms of the deal, WeWork will receive about $1.3 billion, including $800 million in a so-called PIPE (private investment in public equity) with investors including Insight Partners, funds managed by Starwood Capital, Fidelity Management & Research Co., Centaurus Capital and funds managed by BlackRock.

The Wall Street Journal reported earlier Friday that a deal had been reached, after reporting in January that the companies were in talks.

Shares of BowX which went public in October, rose 3.2% in premarket trading. It has lost 5.1% year to date through Thursday, while the S&P 500 index has gained 4.1%.

The deal comes nearly two years after WeWork officially postponed plans for a more traditional initial public offering, amid large losses, a heavy debt load and concerns surrounding Chief Executive Adam Neumann that eventually led to his ouster.

The valuation from the deal with BowX compares with a $47 billion valuation WeWork had in the run-up to its plans for an IPO in 2019....

....MORE

Over the years that we followed WeWork, Mr. Neumann's bluster and blather came to resemble what you hear from Ponzi scheme promoters and other fraudsters. Really the only things missing were the stripper poles, for some reason fraudsters seem to like strip joints.

If interested some of those prior posts are linked in "WeWork cancels 36-floor ‘WeLive’ mixed-use Seattle residential project"


Finally, from 2017's "Faraday Future issues bombastic statement accusing former CFO of ‘malfeasance and dereliction of duty’"
Uh oh (see after the jump)....

....Our introduction to 2013's "How to Spot a Hedge Fund Fraudster":

Bombast. In my experience they are all bombastic.
And stripper poles. You would not believe the number of stripper poles that crooks collect....
And my all time favorite bit o'bombast, recounted as the intro to 2007's "Planktos Highlights Real Ocean/Climate Crises & Responds to Recent Misinformation Campaigns" about a Euro-American reinsurance scam that had reverse-merged its way onto the American Stock Exchange, gotten onto the Fed Board's margin list and then, rather than doing the dump half of a pump-n-dump as they gunned it from 50 cents to $15.00, had just margined  the hell out of their brokerage accounts, requested the excess buying power be wired out and skedaddled, picking up the remaining cash in the corporate bank accounts on their way out the door:
...But first, one of my favorite examples of a stock scam (I told you, I have a morbid fascination with the underbelly of the markets, it's like watching the lions approach the wildebeest at the watering hole, you don't want to see it but you can't look away):
...Peter Uttley, Equisure's chairman and a former Lloyds of London executive, took control of the company this week, assuming the chief executive post....

...Uttley said in the press release that his chairman role had been a "passive" one, but he now plans an active reorganization of the company, whose reputation has been stained by allegations that it is a scam insurance operation....
...In an unusually emotional statement to the press, sent from an Equisure board meeting Friday in London, Uttley told his version of events over the summer, which eventually led to the delisting of Equisure shares on the American Stock Exchange.
"The simple truth was consumed in the belly of deception, but now has been vomited for the world to see," Uttley began.
He then proceeded to tell a story of three men, whom he described as "liars," "cheats," and "scallywags," who worked with law enforcement officials and the press to spread false rumors about the company with the intent of buying Equisure out at 50 cents a share, a tiny fraction of the stock's trading price of $15, before AMEX suspended trading Aug. 1.
Isn't that damn fine bloviating? It's hard to research but I think Uttley et. al. got away with $100 mil.
Here's Russ George of Planktos responding (I think) to Greenpeace's submission to the recent meeting of the International Maritime Organization...
Who's going to top "The simple truth was consumed in the belly of deception, but now has been vomited for the world to see," in a press release?
Scallywags is a nice touch as well.

Wednesday, January 27, 2021

It Might Be Time To Take A Breather On Unprofitable Hydrogen Companies

This thought was triggered by a press release:

Jericho Expands Energy Portfolio with Agreement for the Acquisition of Hydrogen Technology

TULSA, Okla. and VANCOUVER, British Columbia, Jan. 22, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Jericho Oil Corporation (“Jericho”) (TSX-V: JCO; OTC PINK: JROOF) is pleased to announce that it is has entered into an agreement for the acquisition of all the assets of Hydrogen Technologies Inc. (“HTI”). HTI holds robust intellectual property for a breakthrough high-temperature Dynamic Combustion Chamber (“DCC”) boiler that enables zero-emissions hydrogen to generate heat, hot-water, high-temperature steam, and Combined Heat & Power (“CHP”) through a closed-loop process. The closing of the acquisition remains subject to the approval of the TSX Venture Exchange and also the approval of the shareholders of HTI.

HTI’s patented zero emissions DCC boiler system aims to decarbonize the nearly $30 billion global commercial and industrial heating industry while providing best-in-class energy efficiencies.....

 ....MORE

Now Jericho Oil may be a fine company run by fine people, your affiant knoweth naught, but the stock action has all the signs of being a Vancouver Pumpty-Dumpty of the bad old days: trading from a dime - 15¢ (CDN) for most of 2020 and then approaching verticallity on December 13, 2020. 60¢ (CDN) last on the common.

All of which brought to mind a vignette last seen in 2015's "SEC Suspends Trading in 128 Dormant Shell Companies".

 Way back in 2008 I recited some of the history:

Chameleons on the Pink Sheets

On April 22 I was rambling about Planktos and penny stock deals:

...A classic history would be a Vancouver "junior resource" company in 1979, after the collapse of the oil and gold markets became a solar deal in '81 , an Aloe Vera deal to the yuppies mid '80's, a biotech in '86 ("we're the next Amgen"or "A cure for AIDS"), then on to neutraceuticals or spas, Indian casinos, software, then the great "i", "e-" and ".com" gold rush. Someday I'll get around to checking if some lunatic scammer actually went with "e-iTrade.com".

The next group of parasites were the "homeland security" companies, then land deals. The "resource" scams never went away and became more prominent in 2002 after gold had moved off its $252 bear market low. We're in the Green boom (happy Earth day by the way) now, who knows what's next....

Today in EuroInvestor:

...The recently re-named Homeland Security Network, Inc. (Pink Sheets:HYSN), doing business as Global Ecology Corporation (GEC) announced today that it has received their initial order from its soil remediation project in Juarez, Mexico. The total value of the purchase orders, involving several of the partnerships soil-based products, is $2 million with delivery to begin this June....

See also:

Junior Gold Miners Consider Cashing Out, Pursuing Medicinal Marijuana Opportunities

Peak Oil Stalwart to Shutter Forum/News Site, Persue Career as Astrologer

Thursday, October 29, 2020

Plankton Week: Planktos and the Pope

One of the people who decided that iron fertilization of plankton to remove CO2 from the atmosphere was a good idea was Russ George. At the time the European Emissions scheme was coming off the 2006 €30 per tonne price level but the tout was €50; €80; €100 per tonne and Russ wanted some of that action, no point in letting the Chinese with the 'ol HFC-23 scam (HFC-23 is 11,700 times more powerful than CO2 as a greenhouse gas, the CCP would build factories to produce it and then get paid BILLIONS for shutting them down) or the Russians  with the Gazprom leaky pipes scam (unburned methane is 20x more powerful than CO2 as a greenhouse gas), the Russians were looking at $50 billion.

"I don't know if climate change is caused by burning coal or sun flares or what," said the Moscow-based carbon cowboy. "And I don't really give a shit. Russia is the most energy inefficient country around, and carbon is the most volatile market ever. There's a lot of opportunity to make money."
 
Yeah we've been doing this for a while. Rio, 1992.
Here's one of our posts on Russ George:

Planktos' Russ George Is Back

One of the Vancouver denizens.
In his last incarnation we got to watch his stock go to zero.
From Pacific Standard:
In July 2012, a commercial fishing charter called Ocean Pearl motored through the frigid waters of the North Pacific. It carried 100 tons of iron dust and a crew of 11, led by a tall and heavyset 62-year-old American named Russ George. Passing beyond Canada’s territorial limit, the vessel arrived at an area of swirling currents known as the Haida eddies. There, in an eddy that had been chosen for the experiment, George and his crew mixed their cargo of iron with seawater and pumped it into the ocean through a hose, turning the waters a cloudy red. In early August, the ship returned to port, where the crew loaded an additional 20 tons of iron. They dumped it near the same Haida eddy a few weeks later, bringing to an end the most audacious and, before long, notorious attempt yet undertaken by man to modify Earth’s climate.
The expedition was grand in its aims and obscure in its patronage. Funding George’s voyage was a village of Haida Indians on Haida Gwaii, a remote Canadian archipelago about 500 miles northwest of Vancouver. George and his business partners had gained the town’s support for a project of dumping iron dust into the ocean to stimulate the growth of a plankton bloom. The plankton would help feed starving salmon, upon which the Haida had traditionally depended for their livelihood, and also remove a million tons of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. (In algae form, plankton, like all plants, absorbs CO2 through photosynthesis.) The intended result: a replenished fish population—and millions of dollars’ worth of “carbon credits” that could be sold on the international market.

Back on land, in Vancouver, George and his associates drafted a report on the expedition. It claimed that Ocean Pearl had seeded more than 3,800 square miles of barren waters, leaving in its wake “a verdant emerald sea lush with the growth of a hundred million tonnes of plankton.” According to the account, fin, sperm, and sei whales, rarely seen in the region, appeared in large numbers, along with killer whales, dolphins, schools of albacore tuna, and armies of night-feeding squid. Albatross, storm petrels, sooty shearwaters, and other seabirds had circled above the ship, while flocks of Brant geese came to rest on the water and drifted with the bloom.

But George did little to publicize these findings. Instead, he set about compiling the data in private, telling people that he intended to produce a precise estimate of the CO2 he had removed from the atmosphere and then invite an independent auditor to certify his claims.

If that was the plan, it quickly fell apart. In October 2012, the Guardian of London broke the news of George’s expedition, saying it “contravenes two UN conventions” against large-scale ocean fertilization experiments. Numerous media outlets followed up with alarmed, often savage, reports, some of which went so far as to label George a “rogue geoengineer” or “eco-terrorist.” Amid the uproar, Canadian environment minister Peter Kent accused George of “rogue science” and promised that any violation of the country’s environmental law would be “prosecuted to the full extent.”

George, for his part, spoke of media misrepresentation, and he stressed that he was engaged in cautious research. Amid the controversy, in an interview with Scientific American, he was asked whether his iron fertilization had worked. “We don’t know,” he answered. “The correct attitude is: ‘Data, speak to me.’ Do the work, get the data, let it speak to you and tell you what the facts might be.” While most commenters seemed to think George had gone too far, some expressed sympathy—or at least puzzled ambivalence. A Salon headline the following summer asked, “Does Russ George Deserve a Nobel Prize or a Prison Sentence?

GEORGE’S EFFORTS PLACE HIM in the company of a small but growing group of people convinced that global warming can be halted only with the aid of dramatic intervention in our planet’s natural processes, an approach known as geoengineering. The fixes envisioned by geoengineers range from the seemingly trivial, like painting roads and roofs white to reflect solar radiation, to the extraterrestrial, like a proposal by one Indian physicist to use the explosive power of nuclear fusion to elongate Earth’s orbit by one or two percent, thus reducing solar intensity. (It would also add 5.5 days to the year.)...MORE
Possibly also of interest:

Did Planktos Commit a Fraud Upon the Market? (PLKT.PK)
Planktos: $2 MM Private Placement
A Problem with Planktos
Is Something Very Wrong With Planktos? (PLKT.OB)
Planktos (PLKT.OB): Denied Landing Rights! AND What the hell is the boat doing in the Canary Islands?
Planktos Highlights Real Ocean/Climate Crises & Responds to Recent Misinformation Campaigns
 
And Il Papa?
 
A July 2007 post:
The Outlook wasn't brilliant for the Rustville nine that day:

...
They thought, if only Rusty could get but a whack at that -
We'd put up even money, now, with Rusty at the bat.

...
Ten thousand eyes were on him as he rubbed his hands with ore;

...With a smile of Christian charity great Rusty's visage shone;
He stilled the rising tumult; he bade the game go on;

..."Fraud!" cried the maddened thousands, and echo answered fraud;
But one scornful look from Rusty and the audience was awed.

...Oh, somewhere in this favored land the sun is shining bright;
The band is playing somewhere, and somewhere hearts are light,
And somewhere men are laughing, and somewhere children shout;
But there is no joy in Rustville - mighty Rusty has struck out.
Apologies to Ernest Lawrence Thayer. Original at the Baseball Almanac

After getting shellacked by the WWF; spanked by Greenpeace and clobbered by the International Maritime Organisation, Planktos had to go deep into the bullpen to bring out:
Il Papa.

Planktos/KlimaFa's New Vatican Climate Forest Initiative to Fully Green the Holy See
San Francisco -- July 12, 2007 -- By agreement with the Vatican, Planktos/KlimaFa is now pleased and honored to announce that the Vatican plans to become the world's first entirely carbon neutral sovereign state, and it has accepted KlimaFa ecorestoration offsets to achieve this historic goal. In a brief ceremony on July 5th the Vatican declared that it had gratefully accepted KlimaFa's offer to create a new Vatican Climate Forest in Europe that will initially offset all of the Vatican City State's CO2 emissions for this year.

His Most Reverend Eminence Cardinal Paul Poupard presided at the event and stated, “As President of the Pontifical Council of Culture; I am honored to receive this donation from the leaders of Planktos-Klimafa. This donation means an entire section of a national park in central Europe will be reforested.
And now, Numbers 11:32
"... he that gathered least, gathered ten homers..."
but Rusty still struck out. 

Of course it was just part of the stock promotion. January, 2008:
....The December 19, 2007 press release had no mention of Il Papa:
...As a result of the unanticipated events in the Canary Islands as well as the fact that the Company is presently in need of funds to support its ocean and forest-based projects, the decision has been made to remain in Madeira until the Company can better assess its priorities and funding needs. 
Madeira, nice hood.
Except maybe when the Pope you are jacking around was Benedict, formerly head of of the Congregation for the Doctrine of the Faith, also known as The Spanish Inquisition
 
The story so far: 
October 28

Friday, May 22, 2020

When Margin Loans Go Bad: Credit Suisse and Others Try To Recoup US$500 million From Luckin Coffee Family

From Bloomberg via the Straits Times, May 22:

Banks target Luckin Coffee ex-billionaire's family assets to recoup $709m in losses
Lenders led by Credit Suisse Group are targeting the family assets of Luckin Coffee Inc chairman Lu Zhengyao as they try to recoup losses on more than US$500 million (S$709 million) in margin loans that soured after the company became embroiled in an accounting scandal.

Credit Suisse is seeking a court order to appoint liquidators for Haode Investment Inc, according to a notice posted in the BVI Gazette on Thursday (May 21). Haode, controlled by Lu's family trust, defaulted on a loan facility backed by Luckin shares, according to a statement from lenders in early April. Spokespeople for Credit Suisse and Luckin declined to comment.

The liquidation request adds to a long list of challenges facing Lu, who became a billionaire after his fast-growing Chinese coffee chain went public in the US with help from some of the biggest names on Wall Street. Much of Lu's wealth has been wiped out by a 92 per cent plunge in Luckin's stock since April, when the company disclosed that some of its employees may have fabricated billions of yuan in sales.

Luckin's fall from grace has made it a poster child for concerns about Chinese corporate governance, fueling a debate in Washington over the extent to which US money and capital markets should be accessible by firms from a growing geopolitical rival. Nasdaq is moving to delist Luckin from its exchange, while the Senate approved legislation Wednesday that could lead to some Chinese companies being barred from US bourses.

Lu said in a statement on Wednesday that he's "deeply disappointed" Nasdaq is moving to delist the shares before Luckin releases final results of an internal probe into its accounting.

Banks that participated in the loan facility to Lu's investment vehicle signaled in April that they plan to sell Luckin shares that were pledged as collateral, though its unclear whether the banks have started offloading the shares or how much money they'll be able to recoup.

Credit Suisse and Morgan Stanley each put up about US$100 million as part of the loan facility, while China's Haitong International Securities Group lent about US$140 million....
....MORE

Although not directly comparable I am reminded of a post from 2010:
My Favorite Stock Scam Blowhards
After doing this a while you don't even need to call in the forensic accountants to spot the weird ones. A bit of backround, Equisure Inc. was purportedly a reinsurer based in Belgium that had, in a remarkably short period of time gone from the NASDAQ bulletin board to the American Stock Exchange by way of a reverse merger with a dormant shell company.

The heart of the scam was to hype the stock by way of news releases to a) gun the stock for the early buyers and b) get the stock on the Federal Reserve Board's list of marginable securities.
That step is a bit more sophisticated than your run-of-the-mill pump and dump because it allows the crooks to borrow against the shares rather than having to sell them. The lack of selling pressure makes it easier to maintain the run-up until the plug is pulled.

Of course the scammers also took whatever petty cash was in the company's coffers.
I never saw a complete accounting but a fair estimate of the EQE take was $100 Mil.....
Which led to one of the signature moves of scam artists in all places and at all times: bluster, bluff and bloviation.
From our June 27, 2007 post "Planktos Highlights Real Ocean/Climate Crises & Responds to Recent Misinformation Campaigns":

...But first, one of my favorite examples of a stock scam (I told you, I have a morbid fascination with the underbelly of the markets, it's like watching the lions approach the wildebeest at the watering hole, you don't want to see it but you can't look away):
...Peter Uttley, Equisure's chairman and a former Lloyds of London executive, took control of the company this week, assuming the chief executive post....

...Uttley said in the press release that his chairman role had been a "passive" one, but he now plans an active reorganization of the company, whose reputation has been stained by allegations that it is a scam insurance operation....

...In an unusually emotional statement to the press, sent from an Equisure board meeting Friday in London, Uttley told his version of events over the summer, which eventually led to the delisting of Equisure shares on the American Stock Exchange.

"The simple truth was consumed in the belly of deception, but now has been vomited for the world to see," Uttley began.

He then proceeded to tell a story of three men, whom he described as "liars," "cheats," and "scallywags," who worked with law enforcement officials and the press to spread false rumors about the company with the intent of buying Equisure out at 50 cents a share, a tiny fraction of the stock's trading price of $15, before AMEX suspended trading Aug. 1.
That is world class bloviating