Tuesday, April 28, 2026

Goldman: Net-net, AI has caused a drag of 16,000 jobs per month on payroll growth and a 0.1% boost to the unemployment rate.

"Goldman Sachs economist Elsie Peng warned in a new note that the substitution of artificial intelligence has reduced monthly payroll growth by about 25,000 jobs and raised the unemployment rate by 0.16% over the past year. At the same time, AI augmentation — the use of AI tools by human workers — has added 9,000 jobs to monthly payroll growth and lowered the unemployment rate by 0.06%.

Net-net, AI has caused a drag of 16,000 jobs per month on payroll growth and a 0.1% boost to the unemployment rate.

"These negative effects fall largely on less experienced workers," Peng wrote."

From Yahoo Finance, April 6:

AI agents have stolen a lot of jobs from humans over the past year: Chart  

The AI agents are laughing all the way to the paycheck line, while humans walk hunched over to the unemployment line.

Goldman Sachs economist Elsie Peng warned in a new note that the substitution of artificial intelligence has reduced monthly payroll growth by about 25,000 jobs and raised the unemployment rate by 0.16% over the past year. At the same time, AI augmentation — the use of AI tools by human workers — has added 9,000 jobs to monthly payroll growth and lowered the unemployment rate by 0.06%.

Net-net, AI has caused a drag of 16,000 jobs per month on payroll growth and a 0.1% boost to the unemployment rate.

"These negative effects fall largely on less experienced workers," Peng wrote.

 https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/hG_vuq_FWtT81U81TFLaXw--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTUyOA--/https://s.yimg.com/os/creatr-uploaded-images/2026-04/0f871fe0-3104-11f1-bdbd-ec627ba171f0

Since ChatGPT debuted in 2022, industries and occupations with high AI substitution scores have experienced larger declines in employment and increases in unemployment on average, Peng added....

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