Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Capital Markets: "Oil Falls Further, China Claims Chip Break-Through, and Market Contemplates Fed Hike Tomorrow"

From Marc to Market:

There are three developments to note today. First, the lack of hostilities in the Middle East has oil prices continue to unwind this month’s surge. This has also taken some pressure off major bond markets. Second, reports that China has started to mass produce its own chipmaking tools and has developed DUV lithography tools that etch chip patterns onto silicon weigh on the equities in this space, which had already been hit with profit-taking. South Korea’s Kospi fell nearly 11% today and Taiwan’s Taiex slumped a little more than 4.5% today. The Nasdaq is poised to gap lower today. 

The third development is the heightened speculation of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve tomorrow. On July 16, the Fed funds futures were pricing in about a 10% chance of a hike and now about a 33% chance. The US dollar itself is trading with a clear firmer bias. It is made a new high for the month against several pairs, including the euro, sterling the Australian dollar....

....MUCH MORE