Saturday, June 20, 2026

I Don't Think The Wars In The Middle East Have Ended

The first reason to think there is more to come is the fact this fellow is still alive:

August 5,  2024 - Iran: "Advisor to IRGC Commander: Zionist Regime Will Not See 80th Birthday, Heavy Blow Awaiting It

Lifted in toto from Iran's Fars News,

An advisor to the commander-in-chief of Iran's Islamic Revolution Guard Corps (IRGC) emphasized that the Zionist regime, through its mistake in assassinating Hamas leader martyr Ismail Haniyeh, will receive an unpredictable blow, adding that the Israeli regime will not see its 80th birthday.

On Sunday morning, Hossein Taeb, speaking to a gathering of Basij university professors in Mashhad in Northeastern Iran, referred to the anti-Zionist operation " Al-Aqsa Storm" carried out by Palestinian resistance factions as the pinnacle of the defeat of the Zionist regime and the United States. 

He said Israel wants to compensate for its defeat in this operation by fomenting war in the region and dragging the US and the West into these conflicts.

Taeb said the operations to assassinate Ismail Haniyeh and the commander of the Lebanese resistance movement, Hezbollah, were carried out by Israel with American permission.

He stated that the Zionist regime, through its mistake in assassinating Haniyeh, will suffer an unpredictable blow.The advisor to the IRGC commander, referred to the power of the resistance front, adding that today the resistance, despite its asymmetric warfare tactics, is a coordinated front whose elements operate in harmony from Yemen to Iraq and Lebanon.

A quick check of the encyclopedia puts the birthday bash at May 14, 2028.

And even when he perishes, there are more like him among the Ayatollahs and the IRGC, Twelver Shia, lusting after apocalypse as religious destiny.

Regarding Iranian proxies, Hamas still rules Gaza and seems oblivious to the history of Black September. As noted ten days after the perverted atrocities of October 2023:

October 17, 2023 - Dead Man Walking: "Far from Gaza hardships, Hamas chief and family enjoy easy life in Qatar"

I would expect the Israelis to hunt down and kill every Hamas leader that they don't find in Gaza. 

Operation Wrath of God which followed the 1972 Munich massacre of 11 Israeli Olympic team members would be the template. And this time, since we are talking the slaughter of 1300 people, including dual-nationals and foreign citizens, the Western governments might be more inclined to turn a blind eye to any mysterious deaths on their territory.

As for Qatar, we shall see....

Which was followed by "Israel: "Shin Bet has new unit to eliminate perpetrators of the Hamas massacre"" on October 21, 2023. 

On May 21, 2026 the Times of Israel quoted the Wall Street Journal:

Israel has list of all Oct. 7 participants, aims to kill or arrest each one — WSJ 

Regarding Hezbollah in Lebanon, they will be used by Iran to disrupt the timing and timeline of any negotiations with the U.S. From The Times of Israel liveblog, June 20, 2026

27 said killed in south Lebanon strikes; Hezbollah says it attacked IDF troops overnight
ToI Staff
Israeli military says it's targeting terror group after some 50 projectiles fired at troops just hours after ceasefire * Lebanese soldier among those killed 

The Houthis remain in control of Yemen with the geographical mastery of the Bab el Mandab strait and the approaches to the Suez Canal.

So no, I don't think the wars in the Middle East have ended. When I raised this point in a conversation last week I was directed to "The Peace of Amiens, 1802". 

Which was followed by "The Redeclaration of War, 1803: The 'Truce' of Amiens". 

If interested see also Muhammad and the Treaty of Hudaybiyya.