From TheStreet, April 9:
One number from inside UBS is going to make a lot of investors do a double take
Key Points
- The model behind this call is not a hype-driven analyst note. It has been around for decades
- Nvidia's performance inside this framework is unlike almost anything the model has seen before
- The number UBS arrived at is so large that even the analyst presenting it expects to be disbelieved
Most Wall Street analysts cover Nvidia with spreadsheets built on earnings estimates and price-to-earnings ratios. UBS has a different tool entirely, and what it is saying about Nvidia is striking.
UBS HOLT, the firm’s proprietary cash flow-based valuation framework, says Nvidia’s share price should be 400% higher than where it currently trades. That would put the company’s market capitalization at $22 trillion, compared with $4.46 trillion on April 8....
....MUCH MORE
Though NVDA is up 86% over the last year the stock is actually down 5% in the last six months:
As a guess, and this is just a guess, the stock needs to close a bit higher, say $185 - 190 to get any meaningful lift-off to new all-time highs.
The ATH was $212.19 on Oct 29, 2026 followed a few days later with a double-top, $211.34 on Nov 3.
$183.73 last, up $1.65 (+0.91%)
