Sunday, June 9, 2019

Shipping: "The axe will fall on Ceva as CMA CGM's cost-cutting exercise gathers speed"

Cost cutting was a huge focus of the last earnings report, links below.
From The Loadstar, June 6:
Last week’s headlines pointed to a rationalisation in the number of routes that CMA CGM would serve in future, as well as brands consolidation as part of a comprehensive efficiency push, yet its consolidated numbers clearly suggest where the axe will fall if it hits its ambitious $1.5bn savings targets. And that’s staff – predominantly, I expect, Ceva Logistics’ staff.

The gist: the 3PL subsidiary it now fully controls via a near-100% stake is central in cost-cutting considerations, although it’s likely that divestments of targeted assets, a la CMA CGM Log, would also ensue as soon as this year, according to sources close to CMA CGM’s thinking.

Healthy comparisons
Comparable numbers – the figures that can actually be compared, given the latest IFRS-16 adjustments – from 3PL rivals paint a neat picture here, strongly justifying the view that Ceva must be run differently than in the past few years.

Although 2017 offered a glimpse of light in pure free cash flow terms and had the bulls arguing it was on the right track, financially, unfortunately 2018 in that respect was a very bad year, with its IPO delaying the effectiveness of a restructuring plan that had been going on forever.
Where was it then, after CMA CGM came to the rescue?

Take three diversified freight forwarding (FF)/contract logistics (CL) companies offering some decent disclosure: Kuehne + Nagel (K+N), DSV and Panalpina. They are different from Ceva, whose business is almost evenly split between CL and FF activities, but are a good proxy for our purposes.

In the first quarter, K+N’s personnel costs stood at 19% and 23%, respectively, against gross and net revenues numbers. K+N’s assets mix comprises core air and sea freight FF, overland activities and CL operations, with the latter amounting to only about 20% of total gross revenues....
....MUCH MORE

And the earnings report:
May 30  
Shipping: "CMA CGM Delivers Loss, Takes New Step in Transformation"
And: 
Shipping: "CMA CGM sees southeast Asia taking up shipping slack in trade war"