Jeremy Grantham's "Six Most Important Asset Bubbles In Modern Times"
From ZeroHedge:
According to GMO's Jeremy Grantham, the six most important asset bubbles in modern times are the following:
And some additional color from the legendary investor:
The six most important asset bubbles in modern times (in my opinion)
are shown in Exhibit 1 and, as you can see, each of them qualifies on
the 2-sigma definition, although the 1965-72 peak, known in the trade
then as the “Nifty-Fifty” event, did so by a modest margin. This event
fell short in providing the usual good examples of extreme investment
craziness. Perhaps, though, the very definition of the Nifty Fifty as
“one decision stocks” may have qualified it, with one extremely crazy
theme substituting for many smaller ones, for “one decision stocks” were
so named because you only had to make one decision: to buy. These
stocks were generally believed then to be so superior that once bought
they would be held for life. (Most, like Coca-Cola and Merck, stood the
test of time well enough, but unfortunately several then unchallengeable
examples like Eastman Kodak and Polaroid went the way of all flesh, or
all film.)
There is one very important event that influenced our lives,
financial and otherwise: 2008. The U.S. housing market leaped past
2-sigma all the way to 3.5-sigma (a 1 in 5,000-year event!). The U.S.
equity market, though, was overshadowed by the then recent record bubble
of 2000, although it still made it to a 2-sigma event on some
definitions. But what was unique about 2008 was the near universality of
its asset class overpricing: every equity market....MORE