Friday, December 20, 2024

Hey, Things Could Be Worse—You Could Be The Head Of Russia's Central Bank, Mme. Nabiullina

From the Associated Press, December 20:

Russian central bank holds rates steady at 21% amid criticism from key business figures

Russia’s central bank has left its benchmark interest rate at 21%, holding off on further increases as it struggles to snuff out inflation fueled by the government’s spending on the war against Ukraine.

The decision comes amid criticism from influential business figures, including tycoons close to the Kremlin, that high rates are putting the brakes on business activity and the economy.

Factories are running three shifts making everything from vehicles to clothing for the military, while a labor shortage is driving up wages and fat enlistment bonuses are putting more rubles in people’s bank accounts to spend. All that is driving up prices.

On top of that, the weakening Russian ruble raises the prices of imported goods like cars and consumer electronics from China, which has become Russia’s biggest trade partner since Western sanctions disrupted economic relations with Europe and the U.S. 

High rates can dampen inflation but also make it more expensive for businesses to get the credit they need to operate and invest.

Critics of the central bank rates and its Governor Elvira Nabiullina have included Sergei Chemezov, the head of state-controlled defense and technology conglomerate Rostec, and steel magnate Alexei Mordashov. 

Russian President Vladimir Putin opened his annual news conference on Thursday by saying the economy is on track to grow by nearly 4% this year and that while inflation is “an alarming sign” at an annual 9.3%, wages have risen at the same rate and that “on the whole, this situation is stable and secure.”

He acknowledged there had been criticism of the central bank, saying that “some experts believe that the Central Bank could have been more effective and could have started using certain instruments earlier.”....

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As I've said over the years, I would not want to be doing my high-wire act with Vlad Putin looking over my shoulder.