Wednesday, August 2, 2017

The Swiss National Bank's $750 Billion In Stocks, Bonds and Cash

We promised to follow up on June 12's "Who Is Selling Their Tech Stocks? The Swiss National Bank?" when the bank filed their latest positions. That hasn't happened yet but in the meantime here's the Wall Street Journal, August 2:

Switzerland’s First-World Problem: What to Do With $750 Billion
The Swiss central bank keeps its massive reserves in foreign assets. Some want a piece of that kept home.
Thanks to its efforts to weaken the franc, the Swiss central bank has amassed $750 billion in stocks, bonds and cash. 

That has provoked a lively debate in Switzerland: What should the country do with all of that? And whose money is it, anyway?

For now, the Swiss National Bank holds on to it, and invests it around the world--but not in Switzerland. It held $2.7 billion in Apple Inc. stock, for instance, at the end of March. Some lawmakers and many economists think a sovereign-wealth fund created outside the SNB should invest a chunk at home.

The SNB's profit last year was 24.5 billion francs ($25.4 billion), or about $3,000 per Swiss resident.
Switzerland's central bank isn't the only one making profits. The Federal Reserve earned nearly $100 billion last year from its bond portfolio. Eurozone central banks also make profits. But these central banks pass a big chunk of them to their treasuries.

The SNB's current agreement with the government, which runs through 2020, allows for profit distribution of up to 2 billion francs a year. The SNB has put most of its profits into buffers to guard against large paper losses, which occurred two years ago when the franc soared.

Two dozen Swiss parliamentarians want the arrangement to change and in June backed legislation introduced by Socialist lawmaker Susanne Leutenegger Oberholzer to use some reserves and their profits for a sovereign-wealth fund. Unlike the SNB, which invests the reserves only in non-Swiss assets, a fund could put the money to work inside Switzerland, boosting long-term growth, backers say. The SNB takes passive positions in foreign stocks to mirror broad indexes like the S&P 500.
"Part of the currency reserves, or at least revenues that they generate, should from now on be invested for the interests of the public and future generations including infrastructure investments or in industries with strategic importance," the bill states.

The bill's chances are slim for now: The SNB is skeptical of the idea, and Switzerland's executive branch also wants to keep the money in the central bank's hands. But the debate is likely to rage on, especially if the reserves generate even bigger profits.

The SNB makes bank because so many foreigners want the safety of Swiss assets and have poured cash into Switzerland. To keep the franc from rocketing up and damaging Swiss exporters, the central bank has been printing Swiss francs and selling them. The consequence: The central bank owns buckets of foreign assets, acquired essentially for free.

The SNB declined to comment on the current bill but has objected to past ones. By having ready access to its reserves, the SNB could shrink its balance sheet if needed to tighten monetary policy. "Putting parts of these reserves into an SWF would restrict the SNB's ability to conduct monetary policy," an SNB spokeswoman said, referring to a potential sovereign-wealth fund.

What's more, selling Apple stock and converting the proceeds into Swiss francs to, say, build roads or bridges, would push the franc up--the opposite of what the SNB is trying to do....MUCH MORE