Wednesday, March 25, 2015

Stock Manipulation In the World's Largest Solar Company

Alternate headline: "How to Do Business Journalism."
Seriously.
If the writers were US based, this reporting would be up for a Pulitzer.

From the Financial Times:
For the past two years, 3.50pm in Hong Kong has been a golden moment in the soaring fortunes of Hanergy Thin Film Power Group, the $35.5bn solar company that has transformed its owner into China’s richest man.

A Financial Times analysis of two years of trading data of Hanergy Thin Film stock — more than 800,000 individual trades on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange — shows that shares consistently surged late in the day, about 10 minutes before the exchange’s close, from the start of 2013 until February this year.

The late-day outperformance of HTF, which has emerged as the world’s biggest solar company by value, is a stark reminder that in stocks trading, timing is everything. 

It means that an investor who held HTF shares from the start of trading at 9am to 3.30pm would have lost money — despite the company’s share price rising by 1,168 per cent between January 2013 and February 9 2015.
If all of the trades in HTF had taken place in a single day
A trader who bought HK$1,000 ($129) worth of HTF at 9am on every day of trading since January 2 2013 and sold those shares at 3.30pm each day, would have seen their money shrink to HK$635 by February 2015. But if they held on for just under half an hour more each time, the HK$1,000 would have turned into HK$8,430. This calculation does not include overnight gains....MUCH MORE
...Nothing within the data explains why the HTF surge happens. But analysts, who examined the FT findings, as well as the raw data, laid out three possible scenarios: market manipulation by an unknown trader, an algorithmic trading program is at play, or it occurs randomly....
Hanergy: The 10-minute trade

HT: Barron's Asia Stocks to Watch:
Is Hanergy’s Stock Manipulated? FT Investigates