That would be a very good thing. As noted January 8:
Europe's Largest Supervolcano Is Stirring
It has been slowly waking from a four-hundred year slumber for the last eight or nine years.
The last known major eruption was in September - October 1538.
From Il Mattino (Naples), December 22...
Previous visits after the jump.
From Stanford University via SciTechDaily, May 20:
Stanford researchers linked Campi Flegrei’s earthquakes to groundwater pressure, not magma. Managing water flow could reduce seismic risk in the region.
Since 2022, southern Italy has experienced increasingly intense swarms of earthquakes, putting hundreds of thousands of people at risk in the volcanic region of Campi Flegrei, where the ground slowly rises and falls. As officials continue to weigh evacuation plans and disaster response strategies, researchers may have identified a potential method to stop this recurring unrest: managing surface water runoff or reducing groundwater levels to lower fluid pressure in the geothermal reservoir.
Using subsurface imaging and laboratory experiments, scientists at Stanford have demonstrated that pressure from trapped water and vapor beneath Campi Flegrei can cause earthquakes when the caprock, or surface layer, becomes sealed. Published in Science Advances, the study found that this buildup of pressure was responsible for seismic activity and ground deformation in both the early 1980s and more recently, over the past 15 years, leading the team to uncover the key driving mechanism.
These results challenge the long-standing belief that earthquakes in the area are caused by magma or gas rising to the surface from deeper melt zones. Instead, the study reveals how the gradual recharge of water into the reservoir affects land deformation and elevation changes over time.
“To address the problem, we can manage surface runoff and water flow, or even reduce pressure by withdrawing fluids from wells,” said senior study author Tiziana Vanorio, an associate professor of Earth and planetary sciences at the Stanford Doerr School of Sustainability....
....MUCH MORE
Previously:
October 12, 2023
"Italy plans for mass evacuation as quakes continue around supervolcano"
I know that sometimes it seems to be all bad news on the blog but
it's not really. For example, a few takeaways from this piece:
1) most of the time when supervolcanoes experience seismic activity there is no civilization-destroying eruption.
2) should the worst happen, the surviving woodland creatures will benefit from the re-wilding of previously urban areas.
3) It is not as if the volcano is going to go off tomorrow.
- We'll Have About A Year's Notice Of A Volcanic Super-Eruption That Could End Civilization
- "Europe's Most Dangerous Supervolcano Is Reawakening Just In Time For Christmas"
- "Is a super-volcano just 390 miles from London about to erupt?"
- Risk: Supervolcano Near Pompeii Could Have Globally Catastrophic Effects
Deadly European supervolcano could be rumbling towards a colossal eruption – study
And a heads-up for the Stanford researchers, Italians take this "forecasting nature" stuff very seriously. From November 2014:
A Victory For "Experts": Italians Who Proffered Earthquake Advice Aquitted Of Manslaughter by Appeals Court
We've been following this case very closely....
