Wednesday, May 28, 2025

Locust Watch: "Seasonal precipitation predictions"

Following on the post immediately below, "We've Entered The Predation Phase Of The A.I. Boom: Chamath Palihapitiya Edition"

From the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations:

21/05/2025
Overview:

Contrary to earlier forecasts, both seasonal and subseasonal models now predict a relatively dry June in the Sahel, while pre-monsoon rains may still occur in India and Pakistan. However, a generally wet summer is expected across all three regions, with above-normal rainfall likely from July to September in the Sahel and southern Sahara of northern Africa, along the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden coasts, the Horn of Africa, the interior of the Arabian Peninsula, and the Indo-Pakistan border. Dry conditions are expected to return with the onset of winter. The anticipated above-normal rainfall this summer is associated with weak La NiƱa-like conditions.

Full article

 Most recently:

May 8 - Locust Watch: "Desert locust outbreaks persisted in southern Sahara and Northwestern Africa"

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https://www.fao.org/media/images/locustwatchlibraries/briefs/49388195443_0d3194c600_o763f06fb-ce31-4826-9d92-408a24079a0f.jpg?sfvrsn=424c2fe7_1

Nasty buggers. The FAO/USDA rule of thumb is that a square-kilometer swarm contains 40 million insects and eats enough food to feed 35,000 people for a day. Note camels barely visible through the swarm.