Thursday, November 23, 2023

OpenAI Q*—Credit Where Credit Is Due: The First Article We Saw Hinting That Sam Altman Thought He Was Building God

It was at Futurism on November 15, just pre-firing, re-hiring, etc. :

Sam Altman Seems to Imply That OpenAI Is Building God
Is that what AGI is going to be?

Ever since becoming CEO of OpenAI in 2019, cofounder Sam Altman has made the company's number one mission to build an "artificial general intelligence" (AGI) that is both "safe" and can benefit "all of humanity."

And while we haven't really come to an agreement on what would actually count as AGI, Altman's own vision remains as lofty as it is vague.

Take this new interview with the Financial Times where Altman dished on the upcoming GPT-5 — and described AGI as a "magic intelligence in the sky," which sounds an awful lot like he's implying his company is building a God-like entity.

OpenAI's own definition of AGI is a "system that outperforms humans at most economically valuable work," a far more down-to-earth description of what amounts to an omnipotent "superintelligence" for Altman.

In an interview with The Atlantic earlier this year, Altman painted a rosy and speculative vision an AGI-powered future, describing a utopian society in which "robots that use solar power for energy can go and mine and refine all of the minerals that they need," all without the requiring the input of "human labor."

And Altman isn't the only one invoking the language of a God-like AI in the sky.

"We’re creating God," an AI engineer working on large language models told Vanity Fair in September. "We're creating conscious machines."....

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Sadly for the rest of us and maybe for someone building God, Altman may have a personality disorder. Washington Post, November 22: 

Altman’s polarizing past hints at OpenAI board’s reason for firing him
Before OpenAI, Altman was asked to leave by his mentor at the prominent start-up incubator Y Combinator, part of a pattern of clashes that some attribute to his self-serving approach

Friday’s shocking ouster of Sam Altman, who negotiated his return as CEO of OpenAI late Tuesday night, was not the first time the shrewd Silicon Valley operator has found himself on the outs.

Four years ago, one of Altman’s mentors, Y Combinator founder Paul Graham, flew from the United Kingdom to San Francisco to give his protégé the boot, according to three people familiar with the incident, which has not been previously reported.

Graham had surprised the tech world in 2014 by tapping Altman, then in his 20s, to lead the vaunted Silicon Valley incubator. Five years later, he flew across the Atlantic with concerns that the company’s president put his own interests ahead of the organization — worries that would be echoed by OpenAI’s board.

Though a revered tactician and chooser of promising start-ups, Altman had developed a reputation for favoring personal priorities over official duties and for an absenteeism that rankled his peers and some of the start-ups he was supposed to nurture, said two of the people, as well as an additional person, all of whom spoke on the condition of anonymity to candidly describe private deliberations. The largest of those priorities was his intense focus on growing OpenAI, which he saw as his life’s mission, one person said.

A separate concern, unrelated to his initial firing, was that Altman personally invested in start-ups he discovered through the incubator using a fund he created with his brother Jack — a kind of double-dipping for personal enrichment that was practiced by other founders and later limited by the organization.

“It was the school of loose management that is all about prioritizing what’s in it for me,” said one of the people.

Graham did not respond to a request for comment.

Though Altman’s Friday ouster has been attributed in numerous news media reports to an ideological battle between safety concerns vs. commercial interests, a person familiar with the board’s proceedings said the group’s vote was rooted in worries he was trying to avoid any checks on his power at the company — a trait evidenced by his unwillingness to entertain any board makeup that wasn’t heavily skewed in his favor.

Allegations of self-interest jeopardized the first days of negotiations to broker Altman’s return to OpenAI, which is the leading artificial intelligence company and is responsible for ChatGPT.

Over the weekend, the four members of the original board, including three independent directors, had been willing to bring Altman back as CEO and replace themselves as long as Altman agreed to a group that promised meaningful oversight of his activities, according to the person familiar with the board, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive matters.

Though the board met with and approved of one of Altman’s recommended candidates, Altman was unwilling to talk to anyone he didn’t already know, said the person. By Sunday, it became clear that Altman wanted a board composed of a majority of people who would let him get his way. Another person familiar with Altman’s thinking said he was willing to meet with the board’s shortlist of proposed candidates, except for one person whom he declined on ethical grounds.....

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Here's a backgrounder from Analytics India Magazine, November 23:

OpenAI is reportedly working on a project Q* (pronounced Q-Star), capable of solving unfamiliar math problems. 

A few people at OpenAI believe that Q* could be a big step towards achieving artificial general intelligence (AGI). At the same time, this new model is raising concerns among some AI safety researchers due to the accelerated advancements, particularly after watching the demo of the model circulated within OpenAI in recent weeks, as per The Information.

The model is created by OpenAI’s chief scientist Ilya Sutskevar and other top researchers Jakub Pachocki and Szymon Sidor.  

Interestingly, this new development comes in the background of Andrej Karpathy – who also happened to be building JARVIS at OpenAI – recently posted  on X, saying that he has been thinking of centralisation and decentralisation lately.  

Karpathy is mostly talking about building an AI system where it involves a trade-off between centralisation and decentralisation of decision-making and information. In order to achieve optimal results, you have to balance these two aspects, and Q-Learning seems to be fitting perfectly in the equation to enable all of this. 

What is Q-Learning?
Experts believe that Q* is built on the principles of Q-learning which is a foundational concept in the field of AI, specifically in the area of reinforcement learning. Q-learning’s algorithm is categorised as model-free reinforcement learning, and is designed to understand the value of an action within a specific state...

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Coming up: "More On Q* and Q Learning"