Wednesday, October 29, 2025

Ahead Of The Trump-n-Xi Meeting: China's 15th Five-Year Plan

Trump-n-Xi, not to be confused with the Zuider Zee or any other zees, though the plan does accelerate China sea-power 'aspirations'.

The 15th Five-Year Plan will be formally adopted at the National People’s Congress in March 2026 

First up an outsider-looking-in overview from China Briefing, October 28:

China’s 15th Five-Year Plan Recommendations – Key Takeaways for Foreign Businesses 

The 15th Five-Year Plan recommendations outline China’s strategy for high-quality, innovation-driven growth, focusing on industrial upgrading, technological self-reliance, increased domestic demand, and expanded openness, among other policy priorities. For foreign businesses, they signal both new opportunities in advanced industries and heightened competition for the period from 2026 to 2030, as China’s domestic firms move up the value chain.


The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China has released its official recommendations for the 15th Five-Year Plan, providing the most detailed outline yet of the country’s policy priorities for economic and social development over the next five years. Adopted at the fourth plenary session in Beijing from October 20 to 23, the recommendations set the framework for the 15th Five-Year Plan, which is expected to be formally released and implemented in March 2026.

The 15th Five-Year Plan, which covers the years from 2026 to 2030, comes at a pivotal moment as China seeks to complete its transition toward an advanced, innovation-led economy, strengthen social welfare and living standards, and deepen structural reforms to support sustainable and balanced growth. As noted in the communique released following the close of the plenum: “The period covered by the 15th Five-Year Plan will be critical in this process as we work to reinforce the foundations and push ahead on all fronts toward basically achieving socialist modernization by 2035”.

The recommendations place industrial policy at the center of the 15th Five-Year Plan, prioritizing the modernization of traditional industries and fostering emerging sectors as the main drivers of high-quality growth. Other key priorities include technological self-reliance, boosting domestic consumption, and strengthening social services to support broad-based economic and social development.

For foreign companies, these policies create opportunities across a wide range of sectors, including advanced manufacturing, high-tech industries, green energy, digital and AI-driven services, and consumer-focused markets, while also signaling intensified competition from China’s increasingly innovation-driven domestic firms and a regulatory environment that prioritizes national strategic objectives....

....MUCH MORE 

And back to China's continued development of their blue water navy, from the South China Morning Post, October 29:

China’s 5-year plan charts rise to global sea power while countering US 

Aspirations outlined at the fourth plenum stress ‘Chinese-style modernisation’ and maritime development amid rising geopolitical tensions 

China’s ambitious five-year strategic blueprint has revealed the country’s plan to become a global sea power, with pledges to secure its maritime periphery while countering American sanctions and other perceived external security threats.

The aspirations were outlined in a broad policy document for the country’s 15th five-year plan adopted at the Communist Party’s fourth plenum in Beijing last week and released by state news agency Xinhua on Tuesday.

While stressing “Chinese-style modernisation” through coordinated domestic and international strategies, the plan emphasised maritime development and foreign-related national security amid rising geopolitical tensions, especially in the South China and East China seas.

It underscored Beijing’s goal of positioning itself as a defender of national interests and a global power offering an alternative to the Washington-led model of governance as China-US tensions brew....

....MUCH MORE 

Next, just as all politics are local, so too all five-year plans are refracted through the eyes of the reporters and their audiences.

WWD, your go-to source for the geo-politics of fashion and luxury.

From Energy Intelligence: "China Promotes Peak Fossil Fuel Use in 5-Year Plan"

From Travel and Tour World: "China Unveils Bold Tourism Strategy for 2026-2030, Aiming to Become a Premier Global Destination by Expanding Luxury and Cultural Travel Experiences

From Caixin Global Tech Brief (Oct. 29): China Unveils Five-Year Plan to Foster Emerging, Future Industries 

Finally, a few of the State information organs with the Party/government lines:

CGTN (Publicity Department of the Chinese Communist Party): China Development Blueprint: Expert: Future industries and people-centered vision highlights of China's new Five-Year Plan

People's Daily: "China's new 5-year plan lauded

China Daily: "Cross-Strait cooperation highlighted

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