Thursday, July 9, 2020

Chartology: The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE)

Slope of Hope has a very minimalist comment on the XLE chart pattern, consisting of the headline and nothing else.
We'll add a bit after the chart:

XLE Heading for Painville

https://slopeofhope.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/slopechart_XLE.jpg

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XLE close July 8: $36.23 down 0.03 (-0.08%)

Checking in with Thomas Bulkowski for his comments on island reversals—those four daily prints that poke above the red line, with a gap up and a gap down defining the island:
....Island Reversal Identification Guidelines
CharacteristicDiscussion
Price trendTops have price trending upward to the island; bottoms have price trending downward.
ShapeGaps separate a price island from the mainland.
GapsTwo gaps must share some or all of the same price.
VolumeHigh on the day price makes the second gap.
DurationThe island can be one day to several months long.
*****
Important Bull Market Results for Island Reversals
Overall performance rank for up/down breakouts (1 is best): 35 out of 56 (bottoms)/38 out of 53 (tops)
Break even failure rate for up/down breakouts: 31%; 32%
Average rise/decline: 32%; 13%
Throwback/pullback rate: 54%; 55%
Percentage meeting price target for up/down breakouts: 79%; 60%
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