Thursday, June 9, 2016

Deutsche Bank On the European Central Bank: We Are Governed By Idiots

From FT Alphaville:

We may be misreading this, but it seems Deutsche still has a problem with the ECB
ICYMI on Wednesday, here’s Deutsche’s chief economist David Folkerts-Landau taking another, expanded, shot at the ECB:
Over the past century central banks have become the guardians of our economic and financial security. The Bundesbank and Federal Reserve are respected for achieving monetary stability, often in the face of political opposition. But central bankers can also lose the plot, usually by following the economic dogma of the day. When they do, their mistakes can be catastrophic.

Today the behaviour of the European Central Bank suggests that it too has gone awry. After seven years of ever-looser monetary policy there is increasing evidence that following the current dogma, broad-based quantitative easing and negative interest rates, risks the long-term stability of the eurozone.

Already it is clear that lower and lower interest rates and ever larger purchases are confronting the law of decreasing returns. What is more, the ECB has lost credibility within markets and more worryingly among the public.

But the ECB’s response is to push policy to further extremes. This causes misallocations in the real economy that become increasingly hard to reverse without even greater pain. Savers lose, while stock and apartment owners rejoice. 

Worse, by appointing itself the eurozone’s “whatever it takes” saviour of last resort, the ECB has allowed politicians to sit on their hands with regard to growth-enhancing reforms and necessary fiscal consolidation....MORE
Read the comments as well.

Here's Deutsche Bank's "The ECB  must change  course", June 8, 2016 (12 page PDF)