Monday, April 13, 2015

Risk: "2015 Atlantic hurricane season forecasts well below averages"

From Artemis:
Forecasts for 2015 Atlantic tropical storm and hurricane season activity remain well below both long-term and more recent historical averages, suggesting another low impact year for the U.S. coastline, at least in terms of storm numbers.

2015 hurricane season forecastUpdated forecasts are now available from both the Colorado State University Dept of Atmospheric Science forecast team of Klotzbach and Gray and the Aon Benfield supported Tropical Storm Risk initiative.

Both teams have lowered their forecast view for the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season, in fact the Colorado State team of Klotzbach and Gray have delivered their lowest pre-hurricane season forecast ever for 2015.

Klotzbach and Gray are calling for a record-low number of tropical storms and hurricanes, with a forecast for the 2015 season of 7 named tropical storms, 3 hurricanes and just 1 major hurricane of Category 3 strength or greater.

It’s the lowest forecast numbers since CSU began publishing forecasts back in 1984, a strong indication that the hurricane lull of recent years is set to continue....MUCH MORE