Friday, October 7, 2022

Fed Balance Sheet: A Bunch Of Fund Managers, RIA's, Pundits etc. Are About To Be Shown To Have Been Nothing But Bull Market Geniuses

Although the Fed continues to do nothing with the housing paper from Fannie and Freddie the treasury portfolio showed its biggest decrease since QT began. From the most recent Form H.4.1 the two gigantic line items affected by QT:

H.4.1

 

5. Consolidated Statement of Condition of All Federal Reserve Banks

Millions of dollars

Assets, liabilities, and capital

Eliminations from consolidation

Wednesday
Oct 5, 2022

Change since

Wednesday

Wednesday

Sep 28, 2022

Oct 6, 2021

Assets

 

 

 

 

Gold certificate account

 

    11,037

         0

         0

Special drawing rights certificate account

 

     5,200

         0

         0

Coin

 

     1,216

-        6

+        8

Securities, unamortized premiums and discounts, repurchase agreements, and loans

 

 8,652,633

-   37,735

+  309,216

Securities held outright1

 

 8,334,431

-   37,922

+  388,058

U.S. Treasury securities

 

 5,633,926

-   37,922

+  184,649

Bills2

 

   308,699

-    4,035

-   17,345

Notes and bonds, nominal2

 

 4,849,432

-   33,856

+  157,464

Notes and bonds, inflation-indexed2

 

   375,761

         0

+    9,320

Inflation compensation3

 

   100,034

-       31

+   35,210

Federal agency debt securities2

 

     2,347

         0

         0

Mortgage-backed securities4

 

 2,698,158

         0

+  203,409


....MUCH MORE

 From the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis' FRED database the graphic presentation of the total assets side of the balance sheet (mouseover interactive, QT began on June 1 with total assets at $8.915 trillion, not at the April 13 high point $8.965 trillion)


Finally, a quick note on reverse repo's. When the Fed does a repo operation they buy securities from their counterparties and thus inject cash into the system.

When they do a reverse repo they pull cash (and thus liquidity) out of the system. The counterparties love, absolutely love this action.

Yesterday's operations paid the counterparties 3.05% (annualized rate) for the shortest term, lowest risk place to stash cash available anywhere in the world. From the Federal Reserve Bank of New York:

Results
10/6/2022
Operation Type
Reverse Repo
Security TypeAMOUNT ($Billions)RATE (%)
SubmittedAcceptedOfferingAward3
Treasury 2,232.801 2,232.801 3.05 3.05
Operation Date:Thursday, October 06, 2022
Settlement Date:Thursday, October 06, 2022
Maturity Date:Friday, October 07, 2022
Operation Method:Fixed Rate
Settlement:Same Day
Term:Overnight
Term - Calendar Days:1
Release Time:12:45 PM
Close Time:01:15 PM
Participating Counterparties:101
Accepted Counterparties:101