Monday, June 7, 2021

Huge Upward Wage Pressures for Both Skilled and Unskilled Labor

From MishTalk, June 7:

There's huge wage pressures on the high and low end of the jobs scale. Let's discuss why.

It Took Nearly 10 Years, But the Battle for $15 Has Mostly Been Won

Millions of skilled workers have retired and the trend is poised to accelerate.

I crunched these numbers following today's jobs report. For discussion, please see Job Growth Is Well Under Expectations Yet Again.

These trends suggest upward wage pressure for skilled workers.

And please note It Took Nearly 10 Years, But the Battle for $15 Has Mostly Been Won.

On May 13, 2021, I noted Amazon is Hiring 17,000 With $1,000 Signing Bonus at $17 an Hour,

The previous two links suggest wage pressures on the low end. 

Wage Stagnation

The Cause, The Cause, The Cause

Despite the wage pressures Wage Growth Stagnation Hits Men Harder Than Women, What's the Cause? 

The short answer is more women are working but inflation is chewing up any wage increase.  

The long answer dates to Nixon. Bernie Sanders and Progressive in general moan but fail to look at the cause. 

 For further reference, I suggest Bernie read A Friend Asks "Is the Fed Trying to Destroy the US Dollar?"

Wage Pressures on the High End Too

It's not just wage pressures on the low end. Demographics on the high end have huge pressures as well.

For discussion, please consider Explaining the Shortage of Skilled Workers and Why It Will Get Worse

Inflationary Crunch Coming?

On May 7, I commented Add David Rosenberg to List of Those Who Believe Inflation is Transitory

The list was David Rosenberg, Lacy Hunt, and me. 

Rosenberg quoted Bob Farrell’s classic market rule: "When all the experts and forecasts agree, something else is going to happen."

Not everyone is in the inflation camp, but the boat is very lopsided....

....MUCH MORE

Related:
April 30
Employment Cost Index Comes In Hotter Than Expected

May 10
Jobs Report: ICYMI Private Sector Average Hourly Earnings (production employees) Increased At a 9% Annual Rate In April