Wednesday, February 17, 2021

So What's The Coup in Burma Got To Do With The Price Of Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Rare Earth Magnetic Material Co., Ltd (60011:Shanghai)

 I'm sorry, Burma is now Myanmar and IMBSREMM co. Ltd. is now China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech Co Ltd.

From Reuters, February 10:

Explainer: Possible impact of Myanmar coup on China's metal and rare earth supply

Myanmar’s military coup and declaration of a state of emergency has sparked concern in neighbouring China over metal and mineral supplies amid already high tin, copper and rare earth prices.

Below is a description of trade flows from Myanmar to China, the world’s top metals consumer, with comment from analysts and associations on the prospects of disruption.

TIN

Myanmar is the world’s third-biggest miner of tin, according to the International Tin Association (ITA), and in 2020 accounted for more than 95% of China’s imports of tin concentrate, used by smelters to make refined tin for circuit-board soldering.

China’s overall import reliance is 30-35%.

Shipments from Myanmar, which borders China’s tin-smelting heartland of Yunnan, fell 13.5% last year amid coronavirus-related disruption.

But since Myanmar’s main tin-mining area is the autonomous ethnic Wa region near China, which acts separately from the central government, it has not been affected by the coup and shipments are still possible, says the ITA, which sees concentrate exports holding steady in February.

Mines in southern Myanmar are likely to reduce production and may eventually have to suspend operations as Chinese mining supplies, which enter at the Ruili border crossing in the north, have been cut off, the ITA says. But these mines only make up about 20% of output, it said.

Reuters Graphic 
RARE EARTHS

China is the world’s dominant producer of rare earths, a group of 17 minerals used in consumer electronics and military equipment. But it relied on Myanmar for about half its heavy rare earth concentrates in 2020, says Adamas Intelligence managing director Ryan Castilloux....

....MUCH MORE

In an oddly delayed reaction Australia's Lynas (LYC:ASX) is up 13.3% overnight despite the implications of what's happening in Myanmar and China's belligerence toward the West being known for a while.

More than likely folks read the FT's story "China targets rare earth export curbs to hobble US defence industry"

And previously in tin: 

Tin Hits Eight Year High

"Want to see a real short squeeze? Come to the tin market"