Wednesday, January 16, 2019

Izabella Kaminska's Yellow Vest Political Unrest Indicator

Don't laugh, this post garnered a "... adds a lot more to the sum of human knowledge" from one of the commenters.

From FT Alphaville, January 14:

Introducing the yellow-vest indicator
In France, it is mandatory to keep an emergency high-viz yellow vest in your car. Hence, it would not have helped to track high-viz jacket internet purchasing trends ahead of the breakout of the gilets jaunes movement to get a heads up on the scale of the populist sentiment backing it. The purchasing had already been done.

With the yellow-vest movement picking up speed abroad, however, now is a good time to consider whether it's worth turning yellow vest sales into something of a forward indicator of regional political unrest.
That's the theory anyway.

Looking on Amazon.co.uk, there's lots of yellow vest stock available without much shipping delay implying no imminent supply-side crunch. The vast majority of sales (at least judging by the reviews) is still being fuelled by things like school excursions, fancy dress parties and other miscellenaous high-viz needs. £2.99 is the price of the best seller vest.

All that said, the reviews are beginning to imply a new type of demand is creeping in:
...MUCH MORE

Meanwhile at ZeroHedge: 
https://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/inline-images/yellow%20vest%20bitcoin.png

Earlier:
A Revolution Too Far: "First Dior Men, Now Thom Browne—The Gilets Jaunes Are Impacting the Fall ’19 Paris Men’s Shows"