UPDATED—Hurricane Florence: "Hard to come up with a worse scenario or track"

Weathermodels.com's Ryan Maue, 20 minutes ago:

Hard to come up with a worse scenario or track for Hurricane #Florence from the newly updated ECMWF model

Each bubble is a 6-hour location -- they get progressively closer together as storm approaches.  Overlapping = stalling. 

(Watching now at https://t.co/XcmEbEJxko) pic.twitter.com/kgfURPuxrx

— Ryan Maue | weathermodels.com (@RyanMaue) September 12, 2018

And another view of the latest European model run:

Another fascinating ECMWF solution: Landfall Friday near Wilmington, then a turn SW back over open water, scraping the SC coast. Disaster if it verifies. #Florence pic.twitter.com/DShDIUKMfb

— Dan Leonard (@DanLeonard_wx) September 12, 2018

That projected left turn is just nasty for duration of wind and especially rain in the affected areas.