Probability
Year to date count
Tornado counts are Detrended and Inflation Adjusted “because the increase in tornado reports over the last 54 years is almost entirely due to secular trends such as population increase, increased tornado awareness, and more robust and advanced reporting networks.” NOAA – Storm Prediction CenterYou'll note the two prior low counts in the 10-year history were 2013 and 2012.
I have not seen a good explanation for this although it is probably just decadal variability.
No matter what the reason, the insurers are groovin'.