Notable: "Fleckenstein to Restart Short Fund"
From The Street:
From the looks of this market, you might think Bill Fleckenstein
needs to have his head examined for what he's about to do: Restart his
short-selling fund, which he shut four years ago.
As it turns out, he's one of several ex-short-sellers I've
talked to in recent weeks who have said they think the time is right to
return.
So far, Fleckenstein, who made his name shorting mostly tech
companies, but who quit in 2009 to start an opportunistic long-only
fund, is the first to go public with his plans.
"For four years and counting, there was no reason to think about
shorting," he told me. "I survived from 2000 to 2009, even when the
market was going up, because I made what the Fed was doing a key variable."
When that variable changed, he figured "it would be impossible to make
money on the short side. I knew the Fed and the other central bankers
would print a tremendous amount of money and it would be impossible to
be short until the time the bond market takes away the printing presses -- I mean, forces them to stop."
Which, he believes, is where we are right now.
He cites the dynamic between the widespread belief that the Fed would
slowly turn off the low-interest rate, bond-buying, quantitative easing
cash spigot by so-called "tapering" -- and the stubbornly steadfast yields on 10-year Treasuries.
On tapering fears, he points out, yields leaped from 1.6% to 3%. But the
Fed didn't taper and rates backed off, but just down to 2.7%. That's a
far cry from pretapering-talk levels....MORE
HT:
Business Insider