Wednesday, May 15, 2013

"Almost 6 years after financial crisis began, consensus emerging there is no sovereign debt crisis in EU"

From Trust Your Instincts:
In his Reuters Macroscope post, Pedro da Costa explains how a consensus is emerging that the EU is not facing a sovereign debt crisis, but rather a bank solvency led financial crisis.

This is very important because the cure for a bank solvency led financial crisis is well known: adopt the Swedish Model and require the banks to recognize upfront all their losses on the excess private and public debt in the financial system.

Modern banks are designed to absorb these losses and continue operating and supporting the real economy.  Banks can do this because of the combination of deposit insurance and access to central bank funding.  When banks have low or negative book capital levels, deposit insurance effectively makes the taxpayers the banks' silent equity partner.

Instead, argues Blyth, it is merely a sequel to the U.S. financial meltdown that started, like its American counterpart, with dangerously-indebted risk-taking on the part of a super-sized banking sector.
In a new book entitled “Austerity: The history of a dangerous idea,” Blythe writes that sovereign budgets have come under strain primarily because taxpayers of various nations have been forced to shoulder the burden of failed banking systems.
Taxpayers have been forced to shoulder the burden because they are being called on to bailout the banks when the banks are perfectly capable of rebuilding their book capital levels through retention of future earnings....MORE