Monday, April 1, 2013

It Was an Awful Time to Get Long(er): "'Firestorm of selling' in grains burns hedge funds"

From Agrimoney:
Hedge funds have been badly burned by the continuing slump in grain and oilseed futures prompted by US crop inventory data, having bet on the stocks statistics sparking a surge in prices.
Managed money, a proxy for speculators, raised their net long position in Chicago corn futures and options to more than 192,000 lots in the week to last Tuesday, according to data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
The net long position – the extent at which long positions, which profit when prices gain, outnumber short ones, which benefit when values fall – was the highest in nearly five months, and extended a hefty switch towards more bullish positioning during March.

And it came ahead of a US Department of Agriculture grain stocks report which had been expected by analysts to show a year-on-year slump of some 1bn bushels in domestic corn inventories as of March 1, thanks to resilient consumption of last year's drought-diminished harvest....MORE
Speculators' net longs in grains and oilseeds, Mar 26, (change on week)
Chicago corn: 192,561 (+47,026)
Chicago soybeans: 112,352 (+12,428)
Chicago soymeal: 41,997, (-8,511)
Kansas wheat: 2,966 (+1,298)
Chicago wheat: -21,782 (+11,675)
Chicago soyoil: -31,548, (+17,628)
Sources: Agrimoney.com, CFTC