Die Welt is about as mainstream as German media gets and I've never seen them write anything that might even hint at contradicting Anthropogenic Global Warming theory.
Combined with the Economist story "Climate science A sensitive matter" which we will be linking to later this afternoon (first line: "The climate may be heating up less in response to greenhouse-gas emissions than was once thought. But that does not mean the problem is going away") which again is, as far as I know, a first, and you have a distinct break with what European mass media has been saying for the last decade.
I can't stress this enough, the change in reporting is a big deal.
I apologize in advance for the Google Translate; between a full schedule and pathological inertia I didn't do the honors myself.
Here's the German language original
Wissenschaftler warnen vor Eiszeit
We've had a few posts re: the possible great cooling, the reason we track this is: cold, and especially cold/wet can set up monster crop failures. Think all of Ukraine and a big chunk of western Russia monster.
Then there's the British natural gas angle, even now the Norwegians are filling the pipeline as fast as they can and it's not enough.
Finally, one of the most perverse effects would be a rise in carbon prices as more hydrocarbons are burned, which carbon price was ostensibly instituted to combat AGW.
One of the more credible earlier posts was 2011's "*****Alert***** "What's down with the Sun? Major drop in solar activity predicted" *****Alert*****" which looked at a paper presented at the annual meeting of the Solar Physics Division of the American Astronomical Society. That one links to a couple prior posts and is worth a look if you are interested in this stuff.
From Die Welt:
March 25, 2013:
Minus 19 degrees in Brandenburg, mild temperatures in southern Germany. What on earth is going on with the weather?
By Ulli Kulke
In Germany inclines one month to the end, which one would not soon forget. At least in the north and east of the country, he could be in the final assessment of the coldest and snowiest especially since the beginning of the detailed records about 100 years ago. In the Brandenburg village Coschen in the night of Sunday, the thermometer dropped to minus 19 degrees at all - it was the coldest place in Germany. Even though it was milder in the south, the first three weeks were still over Germany so far about three and a half degrees colder than the long-term average of this month, and the few days until its end not change anything essential, especially since the meteorologists until much higher temperatures expected Easter. In calculating the total meteorological winter (December to February), the measurements go from March, a longer even, but were also the three winter months together about half a degree colder than "normal." Dark anyway.
Ornithologists have reported that migratory birds coming from the south turned back. Others, equipped with sharper senses, remained the same for longer than usual in the Mediterranean and moved her brood. The flowering is delayed, and less during the mild days formed earlier this month crocus carpet in the parks disappeared for weeks under 20 cm thick snow cover. The construction industry and other industries fear delays, losses and other cost burdens. The tenant association to Hamburg expects that after the winter for a 70 square meter apartment in the next heating bill, a supplement of 100 euros will be paid, in public buildings, the taxpayer debited accordingly. Several times had dozens of flights, such as to and from Frankfurt, canceled due to heavy snow, for a March highly unusual.
Globally, the same temperature extremes from most, but in recent weeks have to look even more closely in order to identify our region particularly warm climes. Japan, for example reports a relatively early onset of spring. Therefore suffered the northeastern United States under snow chaos in New York fell in mid-March because almost half a meter of fresh snow also made many flights. Particularly cold it was and is currently in the European part of northern Russia, as deep dark blue as the current weather map was there rarely have such large areas. They project far into our regions. Perhaps it is no coincidence, therefore, that from Russia louder voices are heard from the science that warn of an impending ice age. Vladimir Bashkin and Rauf Galiulin have only recently discovered this in a study. The two biogeochemist - a discipline which includes the exploration of the Earth's atmosphere is one - have drawn up the paper for the Research Institute VNIIGAZ Gazprom Group, an address that is not sure of lobbying interests acquit altogether. Their reasoning is based on the findings, however, the gain in the independent science more and more ground: The activity of the sun weakens significantly, considered by some experts to a degree as last several hundred years ago, during the "Little Ice Age".
It is not a variation of the warm sunshine that would not be sufficient to explain the climate changes in past centuries. Very influential on the long-term development of underground temperature contrast could be the changes in the solar ionizing radiation emissions, the so-called solar wind. These fluctuations associated with the ups and downs of the number of sunspots. They are to observe from Earth, it is about at least since its discovery by the German-born British astronomer William Herschel in the 18th Performed century book. Herschel had already found a temporal relationship between the number of sunspots and climate impacts, namely the good and bad years in agriculture. His theory of the "hog cycle" was long derided as the declaration was missing. Until they were found a few years ago. Meanwhile, there are methods to track the variations of the solar wind also by other phenomena as sunspots, by isotopes in ice cores, sediments, or millennia old ice. And lo and behold: there are clearly parallel curves between the changes in solar activity and, a few years or decades later, the global temperature - at least insofar as this is retrospectively ascertained what the researchers are always in a better position. Taking account of these delays can be quite the ups and downs of temperatures in the 20 until the beginning of the 21st Century, from the sun to explain their activity in the second half of the last century was the highest rate since the medieval climate optimum any more than it was about one degree warmer than today.
Also a physical explanation for this significant temporal relationship you are currently at several institutions around the track. Among others at the nuclear research center CERN in Geneva and at the state-owned National Space Institute of Denmark. To some extent it was able to win a series of tests a picture of how the solar wind affects the ionizing cloud formation and thus the temperature of the Earth. The delay could be well explained by the buffering effect of the water masses in the oceans. One can only wonder how the scientists who study these connections, see the important fifth "Assessment Report" of the IPCC account, which will be presented in September. So far, it looks even so they will not play a role, and especially the scientists set the tone, the view of man-made carbon dioxide emissions as almost the sole driver of the climate. Here, the one-dimensional explanation of CO2 lately gets by other studies in the review. Last by a scientifically proven work of two climate researchers at the University of Washington in Seattle (USA), published in the February issue of the "Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences" - one of the world's most prestigious scientific magazines. The two researchers came to the conclusion: "The anthropogenic contribution to global warming has been in the second half of the 20th century probably overestimated by a factor of two," actually only half as large as expected. The flow and pressure conditions in the oceans and on the other hand, would fundamentally underestimated.
Before publication in the coming weeks is a study at the University of Oslo, which comes to a similar conclusion. Thus, even a doubling of CO2 by 2050, emanating from the hardly anyone, by far do not have the dramatic effects of which the IPCC says. The influence of natural factors, such as clouds or volcanic eruptions, be much stronger than previously thought. Yet studies do with such content, though they checked all the rules of science ("peer reviewed") are no headlines. Although they appear more frequently lately. The current extreme weather is good for only a limited degree, to support them, weather is fickle. However, this is the other way around for any contrary weather conditions. From the perspective of this winter anyway, it can be definitely: The summer is approaching. Also the next very, very hot. The only question is: When?
Here's the Google Translate results page.
