Tuesday, November 4, 2025

"Asia’s Dual Scramble: Critical Minerals, Energy, and the Traders Holding It Together"

From The Diplomat, November 3:

With global supply chains under unprecedented strain, traders have a critical role to play.

Two revolutions are taking place in Asia simultaneously: clean tech and AI, and both are creating a double-barreled scramble. One is generating a demand for critical minerals at a level hitherto unknown, while the other is fueling energy demand more broadly. Together, these two ongoing transformations are forming the backbone of both a green transition and digital expansion, which is driving a surging demand for copper, nickel, cobalt, LNG, and, of course, technical know-how. Governments continue to hunt high and low to secure their supply chains, while traditional mining companies chase new deposits. New stabilizers, however, are emerging on the scene, the potential of which, to date, has been overlooked. These are the trading and logistics houses quietly keeping the region’s factories, data centers, and power grids adequately supplied.

The Industrial Surge Meets Supply-Chain Friction

Asia’s industrial shift is placing unprecedented strain on global supply chains. The reasons for this can be seen in almost every industrialized economy in the region, including South Korea’s vast EV-battery corridors, India’s data center build-out, and Singapore’s hydrogen ambitions. The International Energy Agency (IEA) has estimated that demand for key minerals will increase by a whopping 300 percent by 2040. Alongside this prediction, regional electricity consumption is projected to increase by a similarly astounding 70 percent by 2035. All of this notwithstanding, shipping bottlenecks, refinery shortages, and new geopolitical fault lines from the Red Sea to the South China Sea threaten the global economies’ most significant arteries of growth.

At the same time, the United States has begun to rewire supply chains through the Inflation Reduction Act and the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF), seeking to pull allies such as Japan, Australia, and the Philippines into a non-Chinese critical-minerals network. This adds an additional layer of competition and opportunity across Asia’s mineral corridors, as regional players reposition between Washington’s friend-shoring agenda and Beijing’s entrenched refining dominance.

Although governments are aware of these looming challenges, they are responding with long-term investments and bilateral deals and strategies that move far too slowly to keep pace with the challenges. The flexibility, financing, and on-the-ground access required to maintain a steady flow of critical materials can instead come from a more flexible and experienced source: private traders. These can serve as adaptable intermediaries, with extensive experience and connections, making them capable of pivoting between the numerous relevant actors in this space, including producers, ports, and end-users.

The Unsung Role of Traders

Commodities traders are more than just intermediaries; a more accurate way to view them is as market shock absorbers. They have the capacity to hedge volatility, reroute shipments, and finance smaller producers and governments who might otherwise be locked out of traditional credit systems. In Asia’s context, where many economies still rely on outdated infrastructure and fragmented transportation networks, adaptability becomes a highly valued form of security. Indeed, with global economic and political uncertainty deepening by the day, such traders are emerging as crucial anchors of Asia’s resource strategy.

Beyond market functionality, these trading houses increasingly operate as decentralized security infrastructures. Their distributed storage networks, data-driven logistics, and AI-based traceability systems allow them to act as real-time stabilizers when state-level arrangements falter. In a world of geopolitical fragmentation, traders’ agility has become a form of economic deterrence, ensuring supply continuity even as governments re-evaluate alliances.

The Traders Defining the New Era

Across the sector, a handful of select firms illustrate this quiet evolution which is underway. Radiant World is an established energy trader that has diversified its holdings into rare-earth and base-metal trading, connecting African producers with Asian buyers seeking access to non-Chinese supply. IXM has been a familiar name in the metals world for a long time. It has recently invested heavily in digital logistics and real-time traceability tools, helping it meet both transparency and ESG compliance requirements. Gunvor, a household name among market followers, has historically focused on oil but has expanded its portfolio to include biofuels and transitional energy commodities, and is now also exploring the battery-metal chain.

And then there is BGN International, a mid-sized but globally active trader adapting decades of energy expertise to the mineral and metals age. Operating out of Geneva, BGN has introduced a hybrid shipping model that blends large deepwater vessels with smaller ships capable of accessing older, shallow ports mirroring Asia’s uneven maritime infrastructure. In September, the company launched a Geneva-based metals trading desk led by former Trafigura trader Claire Blanchelande, alongside a new Asia hub in Singapore under former Squarepoint trader Daniel Yu. The expansion places BGN squarely in the race for base metals and battery materials resources driving the next phase of industrial growth. BGN’s evolution into metals and critical minerals underscores how legacy traders are reengineering their operations to meet modern market demands.

Why It Matters for Asia...

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