Tuesday, June 22, 2021

"Inflation to “sharply increase” hurricane claims costs, warns Swiss Re"

Over the years we've mentioned that these big companies have a predilection toward warning about this, that and the other thing:

From "No Surprise: Chile Leads to Reinsurance Rate Increase Debate" BRK-A; BRK-B

No kidding.
A brisk breeze gets the boys in Omaha, Zurich, Munich and London (Lloyds) talking about premium increases.
Not to mention the herverzekering crowd in Amsterdam, they're tough bastards....

And yet, they somehow survive.

From Artemis:

Swiss Re has warned that insurance and reinsurance firms will face increased indemnity costs after land-falling hurricanes in the United States this year, as inflationary factors are set to drive claims amounts higher.

In summarising what to expect from the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, according to the forecasts, Swiss Re also touches on what is a key issue for the industry this year.

Inflation is driving prices higher and while the insurance and reinsurance industry may have been hoping that claims inflation from litigious claims could be close to reducing, thanks to legislative efforts in Florida, there are other inflationary factors that are a cause for concern.

Overall, economic conditions are increasingly tipping towards inflation, as a side-effect of the pandemic and related financing.

“Economic factors such as inflation also affect hurricane risk assessment for the insurance industry. US inflation is rising, fed by the economic recovery and consumer spending as well as fiscal stimulus from the crisis,” Swiss Re explained.

Chief among the inflationary factors being seen that will affect the hurricane season for the insurance and reinsurance industry are prices of materials and costs in thee construction industry.

Swiss Re said that, “Construction prices in particular are surging due to a booming housing market.”

We covered this exact topic in a recent Artemis Live video interview, where we discussed how inflation could be a driver of higher costs this hurricane season, as well as for other major catastrophe or property claims events.

Swiss Re believes that the industry faces the prospect of elevated industry losses from hurricanes this year, because of the inflationary factors impacting prices and in particular those related to repairs of properties....

....MUCH MORE

So though the fact of higher prices for reconstruction is a reality, I think the reinsurers will somehow, God willing, make it through this challenge too.